1806 S Livingston St · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come take a lot at your new property! Starter home waiting for your finishing touches!
Key facts
- 3,810 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1910
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($937 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($26k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $530 of equity ($277 loan paydown + $253 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.90%
- DSCR
- 3.26
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $22,658
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- 76.54%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500 S Westmoreland Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 820 (+3%) | 4mo | $8,500 | $10 | 73 |
| 1404 S Arago St | 0.34mi | 3/— (+1) | 828 (+4%) | 2mo | $2,500 | $3 | 71 |
| 2616 W Fremont St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 760 (-4%) | 9mo | $52,000 | $68 | 66 |
| 2322 W Marquette St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-3%) | 2mo | $33,000 | $43 | 65 |
| 2607 W Humboldt St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 740 (-7%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $47 | 60 |
| 1509 S Western Ave | 0.33mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-9%) | 8mo | $12,000 | $17 | 57 |
| 1810 W Latrobe St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 840 (+6%) | 9mo | $34,000 | $40 | 55 |
| 2506 W Humboldt St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 908 (+14%) | 2mo | $10,000 | $11 | 51 |
| 1609 S Idaho St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-9%) | 6mo | $40,000 | $56 | 48 |
| 2507 W Latrobe St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+13%) | 10mo | $41,000 | $46 | 48 |
| 2502 W Malone St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+9%) | 10mo | $9,000 | $10 | 48 |
| 3010 W Seibold St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 705 (-11%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $50 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $30,297
- Equity at exit
- $12,896
- IRR
- 55.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.43×
- Total profit
- $72,015
- Equity at exit
- $16,566
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61605
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $937 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $463/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $475
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $498 | -5% $486 | +0% $475 | +5% $464 | +10% $452 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $401 | -5% $438 | +0% $475 | +5% $512 | +10% $549 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $495 | -0.5pp $485 | base $475 | +0.5pp $465 | +1.0pp $454 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1507 S Livingston St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $946 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2320 W Garden St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2804 W Humboldt St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $995 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2916 W Meidroth St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,049 | $0.93 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2807 W Nevada St Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $629 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1825 S Kneer Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $858 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2116 W Proctor St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $879 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 928 S Matthew St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $748 | $0.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2822 W Antoinette St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,149 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 945 S Shelley St Peoria, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $910 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3001 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 906 S Tonti Cir Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $950 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3031 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2317 W Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2-214 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $800 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2317 W Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 1-106 Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $775 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2317 W Martin Luther King Junior Dr Peoria, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 697 | $800 | $1.15 | 14d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 1540 W Kettelle St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1001 | $748 | $0.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $40,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $40,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $40,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-03-27$40,000 Active 86-char remark
Show marketing remark (86 chars)
Come take a lot at your new property! Starter home waiting for your finishing touches!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $463 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $686 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$222/yr (+$19/mo · 48.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,241
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$463
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$899
- − Management
- −$899
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $5,375
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,290
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,410/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,424
- Household income
- $26,392
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1385.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Current HPI
- 170.5814
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2024): $463 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…