3007 Bonner St · La Porte, TX
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This bright and welcoming La Porte home opens into a spacious living room that flows naturally into the dining area, creating a comfortable and connected main floor. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet space to keep everything organized and within reach. The primary bedroom features a private ensuite half bath for added convenience, and outside, the fully fenced yard is a standout with a large three-car garage and generous greenspace — a rare and practical bonus. Additional opportunity: adjacent lot at 3011 is also available. Offers may be submitted for both properties. La Porte's charming downtown dining scene delivers with Ed's Bistro, a beloved local gem for brunch and elevated fa
Key facts
- 5,501 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 18 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story entry (home built in 1950)
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1950
- Exterior features: Fenced yard with private backyard; Backs to greenbelt/park; Side yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 15 x 12); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12 x 10); Total of 2 rooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments / coverings; Combined living and dining area
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (17.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.4% in La Porte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#360 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- La Porte ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #260 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: La Porte J H (math 41% / reading 43%, grade D-, #572 of 1,662 statewide, top 36%, 527 students, 65% FRL); La Porte H S (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #954 of 1,632 statewide, top 59%, 2,069 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.75%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,154
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -19.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139 Pine Bluff St | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 878 (-15%) | 16mo | $70,000 | $80 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-29,372
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-36,202
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77571
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,614 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,924/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $-131
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-57 | -5% $-94 | +0% $-131 | +5% $-168 | +10% $-204 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-258 | -5% $-195 | +0% $-131 | +5% $-67 | +10% $-3 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-65 | -0.5pp $-98 | base $-131 | +0.5pp $-165 | +1.0pp $-199 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3036 S Broadway St La Porte, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1245 | $1,209 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 514 Fountain St La Porte, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,295 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1831 Texas 146 Unit 1864 La Porte, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $1,972 | $1.55 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1831 Texas 146 Unit 1868 La Porte, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,425 | $1.63 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1831 Texas 146 Unit 1888 La Porte, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,468 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1831 Texas 146 Unit 424 La Porte, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,441 | $1.64 | 6d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-07status Active 848-char remark
-
2026-04-28status Pending 848-char remark
-
2026-04-23$130,000 Active 848-char remark
-
2025-03-10historical $1,600
-
2025-03-08$1,600
-
2025-03-07historical $2,300
-
2025-03-04historical $2,300
-
2025-02-28$2,300
-
2025-02-24price $1,600
-
2025-02-04$2,100
-
2025-01-29historical $2,500
-
2025-01-27$2,500
-
2015-05-19soldstatus
-
2003-07-17soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,924 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,924 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$2,924
- − Insurance
- −$5,768
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,550
- − Management
- −$1,550
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$3,485
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$836
- After-tax cash flow
- $-734/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Porte ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826190
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,841
- Composite
- 38.65/100
- National rank
- #4151
- State rank
- #260 of 826 in TX
Livability — La Porte
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #7754
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Porte, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 38,543
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,543
- Household income
- $81,850
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1176.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.81%
- Current HPI
- 255.0768
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.81%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+5100.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-04-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $130,000 HARMLS
- 2025-03-10 Rental Removed $1,600 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-03-08 Listed for Rent $1,600 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-03-07 Rental Removed $2,300 HARMLS
- 2025-03-04 Rental Removed $2,300 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-02-28 Listed for Rent $2,300 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-02-24 Price Changed $1,600 HARMLS
- 2025-02-04 Listed for Rent $2,100 HARMLS
- 2025-01-29 Rental Removed $2,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-01-27 Listed for Rent $2,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2015-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-07-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,924 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…