207 Glen Oaks Dr · Dothan, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.6/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
IMMACULATE 4 bedroom/2bath w/ office, open floor plan w/ glassed-in porch overlooking the fenced in level, corner lot. Wood floors flow through the main living area, office & master suite. The Master suite features a walk-in closet, private bath w/ tiled shower, dual vanities & soaker tub. Kitchen overlooks living & dining w/ granite countertops & stainless appliances. Step outside to the 24x30 Man Cave/She Shed w/ half bath & extra sink & 2T HVAC, lawn & garden utiity closet attached around back.
Key facts
- 0.53 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2012
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot about 0.53 acre
- HOA & community: HOA fee roughly $10/month
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces (total 2 spaces)
- Security: Fire sprinkler system; Security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Additional porch features; Has spa/hot tub (bath)
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator; Disposal; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Pantry; Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Eat-in kitchen; Bidet; Double-pane windows; Window treatments; Electric fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $318k (9.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $318k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Beverlye Intermediate School (math 6% / reading 25%, grade F, #503 of 627 statewide, top 80%, 388 students, 90% FRL); Dothan Preparatory Academy (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #163 of 257 statewide, top 64%, 1,133 students, 78% FRL); Dothan High School (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #163 of 305 statewide, top 54%, 1,454 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 59% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $276k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.43%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $309,430
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Littleleaf Ct | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 2,272 (+6%) | 1mo | $374,000 | $165 | 82 |
| 206 Glen Oaks Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,045 (-4%) | 11mo | $333,000 | $163 | 71 |
| 105 Halls Creek Ln | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 2,076 (-3%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $152 | 70 |
| 213 Glen Oaks Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,992 (-7%) | 16mo | $300,000 | $151 | 66 |
| 200 Oliver Dr | 0.46mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,016 (-6%) | 1mo | $295,110 | $146 | 55 |
| 221 Mairead Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 2,175 (+2%) | 13mo | $312,000 | $143 | 55 |
| 501 Oliver Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 | 2,175 (+2%) | 13mo | $308,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 109 Halls Creek Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,047 (-4%) | 22mo | $277,000 | $135 | 47 |
| 414 Oliver Dr | 0.61mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,016 (-6%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $144 | 43 |
| 118 Kieran Trce | 0.63mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,019 (-5%) | 13mo | $290,000 | $144 | 37 |
| 419 Oliver Dr | 0.62mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,012 (-6%) | 14mo | $292,000 | $145 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-28,644
- Equity at exit
- $52,171
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $10,720
- Equity at exit
- $30,253
Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36301
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 412
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,180 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $940/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$10
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$668
- Net cashflow
- $443
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $641 | -5% $542 | +0% $443 | +5% $344 | +10% $245 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $192 | -5% $317 | +0% $443 | +5% $569 | +10% $694 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $619 | -0.5pp $532 | base $443 | +0.5pp $352 | +1.0pp $260 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,475
- Closing costs
- $10,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 Christopher Dr Miami, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,900 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1605 Ivy Dr Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $3,400 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $10 · $120/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $349,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $349,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18$349,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $940 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,435 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$495/yr (+$41/mo · 52.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,600
- − Property taxes
- −$940
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,053
- − Management
- −$3,053
- − HOA
- −$120
- − Depreciation
- −$10,179
- Taxable loss
- −$535
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$128
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,446/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dothan City
- NCES district ID
- 0101230
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,279
- Composite
- 24.56/100
- National rank
- #7640
- State rank
- #73 of 129 in AL
Livability — Dothan
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #146
- US rank
- #13662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dothan, AL
- City population
- 47,783
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,627
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,280 people
- By 2030
- 112,668 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 116,149 · +5.3%
- By 2050
- 117,805 · +6.8%
- By 2075
- 118,577 · +7.5%
- By 2100
- 110,940 · +0.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.46%
- Current HPI
- 161.1212
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+27.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $349,900 SAMLS
- 2021-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $275,500 Public Records
- 2021-04-23 Sold (MLS) $274,500 WBR
- 2021-04-23 Sold (MLS) $274,500 MAAR
- 2021-04-23 Sold (MLS) $274,500 SAMLS
- 2021-03-22 Listed $274,500 WBR
- 2021-03-22 Listed $274,500 MAAR
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $940 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…