502 Pleasant Valley Blvd · Altoona, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AS IS Condition
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage not specified — 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Frontage approximately 45 x 100
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom breakdown not provided)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($549/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $150k implies a 273% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.31%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 Hudson Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $142 | 82 |
| 1018 S 10th St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-6%) | 3mo | $131,900 | $112 | 68 |
| 125 Crawford Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (-2%) | 10mo | $128,900 | $105 | 67 |
| 408 Bell Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+5%) | 8mo | $122,000 | $93 | 66 |
| 712 Logan Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,403 (+12%) | 9mo | $88,000 | $63 | 61 |
| 412 E Logan Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,302 (+4%) | 1mo | $211,000 | $162 | 59 |
| 801 3rd Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,288 (+3%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $27 | 57 |
| 409 2nd St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (-8%) | 1mo | $12,500 | $11 | 54 |
| 1313 Grant Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,371 (+10%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $179 | 50 |
| 224 E 3rd Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,377 (+10%) | 0mo | $98,700 | $72 | 48 |
| 431 E Logan Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,380 (+11%) | 8mo | $189,900 | $138 | 43 |
| 425 E Logan Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,406 (+13%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $96 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-21,366
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-14,818
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16602
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,344 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,007/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $790 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 315 10th St Unit Rear- 1st Fl Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1101 E Walton Ave Altoona, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,605 | $1.65 | 44d | 9 | 1.13mi |
| 1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $899 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31$149,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,007 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,188 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- +$181/yr (+$15/mo · 9.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,126
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,007
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,290
- − Management
- −$1,290
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$1,969
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$472
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,022/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Altoona Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202340
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,465
- Composite
- 30.85/100
- National rank
- #6130
- State rank
- #406 of 539 in PA
Livability — Altoona
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #2060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altoona, PA
- County
- Blair County · 59,867 people
- City population
- 59,867
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,352
- Household income
- $55,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 740.0
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.37%
- Current HPI
- 212.2268
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+1159.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $149,900 AHARMLS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $148,500 AHARMLS
- 2008-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $40,200 Public Records
- 2008-01-25 Sold (MLS) $40,200 AHARMLS
- 2007-10-16 Listed $45,000 AHARMLS
- 1967-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,007 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…