162 Carlos St · Bayou Cane, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Are you looking to add to your investment portfolio? Then this tenant occupied property is a must see. Don’t miss out. Call today, for your private showing!
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1965
- Listed 505 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.3% in Bayou Cane — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Terrebonne Parish (other): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 98 in LA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 312 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 300 units permitted in Terrebonne Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 506 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $115k implies a 785% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 506 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.55%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,024
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- 45.53%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $7,892
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $40,900
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70364
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,395 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $407/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $417
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $482 | -5% $450 | +0% $417 | +5% $385 | +10% $352 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $307 | -5% $362 | +0% $417 | +5% $472 | +10% $527 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $475 | -0.5pp $446 | base $417 | +0.5pp $387 | +1.0pp $357 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Marcel Ln Unit A Houma, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 108 Marcel Ln Unit B Houma, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 208 Monarch Dr Unit 103-A Houma, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,000 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 100 Belmere Luxury Ct Houma, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1076 | $1,645 | $1.53 | 45d | 27 | 1.15mi |
| 735 A School St Unit A Houma, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1140 Church St Unit B Houma, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 461 S Hollywood Rd Houma, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1140 | $1,575 | $1.38 | 45d | 17 | 1.43mi |
| 179 Garnet St Unit B Houma, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 506 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 504 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 503 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 502 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 501 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 500 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 498 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 497 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 495 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 494 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 493 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 492 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 489 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 488 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 487 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 486 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 484 DOM
-
2025-01-31$115,000 Active 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Are you looking to add to your investment portfolio? Then this tenant occupied property is a must see. Don't miss out. Call today, for your private showing!
-
2025-01-31$115,000 Active 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Are you looking to add to your investment portfolio? Then this tenant occupied property is a must see. Don't miss out. Call today, for your private showing!
-
2003-09-26soldstatus
-
1976-03-31soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $407 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $632 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$225/yr (+$19/mo · 55.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$407
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,339
- − Management
- −$1,339
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $3,293
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$790
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,216/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Terrebonne Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201740
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,612
- Composite
- 33.38/100
- National rank
- #5480
- State rank
- #23 of 98 in LA
Livability — Bayou Cane
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #12522
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bayou Cane, LA
- County
- Terrebonne Parish · 57,290 people
- Metro
- Houma-Thibodaux, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,716
- Household income
- $68,843
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 387.0
Population outlook (Terrebonne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,724 people
- By 2030
- 120,321 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 121,894 · +2.7%
- By 2050
- 121,119 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 117,270 · -1.2%
- By 2100
- 107,544 · -9.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Native American 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 17% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Terrebonne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.5% · R 75.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.9pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+41.2 2008: R+40.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.75%
- Current HPI
- 113.1047
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houma-Thibodaux, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+784.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-01-31 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-31 Listed $115,000 GBRMLS
- 2003-09-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1976-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $407 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…