🏷️ Likely Rental
3339 W Tennyson Ave · Breckenridge Hills, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This wonderful investment opportunity contains a two-bedroom; one-bathroom single family home in North St. Louis County. This home sits in the heart of Breckenridge Hills. The property is occupied cash flowing $820/month all paid by HUD.
Key facts
- 6,250 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 64 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#193 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools F.
- Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $105k implies a 346% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.08%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,022
- List price
- $104,900
- Delta
- -20.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3525 Wismer Rd | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-3%) | 5mo | $148,500 | $182 | 79 |
| 3219 Royalton Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-6%) | 3mo | $102,500 | $129 | 78 |
| 9844 Mecca Ln | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+11%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $107 | 72 |
| 3507 Westridge Ln | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+3%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $191 | 72 |
| 3294 W Tennyson Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-12%) | 6mo | $40,000 | $54 | 70 |
| 10262 Breckenridge Rd | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-6%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $126 | 61 |
| 10019 Saint Martha Ln | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+3%) | 4mo | $188,000 | $218 | 61 |
| 3329 Dix Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+7%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $144 | 60 |
| 3548 Saint Genevieve Ln | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 774 (-8%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $155 | 51 |
| 9429 Burdella Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 939 (+12%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $133 | 49 |
| 3106 Quiet Ln | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (-14%) | 3mo | $148,000 | $204 | 46 |
| 9440 Baltimore Ave | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (-14%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $174 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,156
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $23,177
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63114
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,288 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,240/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3434 Sims Ave Saint Ann, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 988 | $1,545 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3219 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,095 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3209 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 10116 Saint Katherine Ln Saint Ann, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,865 | $1.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 9618 De Porres Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 10214 Saint Anthony Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,200 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 10205 Saint Daniel Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,450 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3209 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9733 Overland, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 830 | $1,200 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9627 Overland, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 830 | $1,200 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3208 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,235 | $1.88 | 10d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9535 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,145 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3648 Edmundson Rd Unit 1 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3529 Saint Joachim Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3529 Saint Joachim Ln Unit NA St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 20d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2732 Annapolis Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt B St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt C St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9429 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9448 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,495 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3010 Woodson Rd Breckenridge Hills, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $895 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9807 Guthrie Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 10069 Livingston Ave St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3961 Jane Ave Unit 3963 St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9183 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,200 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4120 Geraldine Ave St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 922 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4120 Geraldine Ave St Ann, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $875 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4120 Geraldine Ave St Ann, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $875 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 10145 Cabana Club Dr St Ann, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 776 | $1,060 | $1.37 | 43d | 8 | 1.33mi |
| 2323 Woodson Rd Apt J Overland, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 605 | $875 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2323 Woodson Rd Apt I Overland, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $875 | $1.35 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 8819 McNulty Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $1,225 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 10742 Tropic Dr Unit VACANT St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18price $104,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-15$109,900 Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This wonderful investment opportunity contains a two-bedroom; one-bathroom single family home in North St. Louis County. This home sits in the heart of Breckenridge Hills. The property is occupied cash flowing $820/month all paid by HUD.
-
2020-07-24soldstatus $23,500
-
2020-05-29soldstatus $18,000
-
2019-04-11soldstatus $35,000
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2009-07-16soldstatus $14,900
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2005-01-03soldstatus $59,000
-
2001-09-04soldstatus $40,000
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1997-06-13soldstatus $12,000
-
1997-06-01soldstatus
-
1959-06-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,240 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,240 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,451
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,240
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,236
- − Management
- −$1,236
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $2,287
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$549
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ritenour
- NCES district ID
- 2926640
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,410
- Composite
- 17.04/100
- National rank
- #9125
- State rank
- #304 of 324 in MO
Livability — Breckenridge Hills
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #193
- US rank
- #10013
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Breckenridge Hills, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,969
- Household income
- $55,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1595.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -276.62%
- Current HPI
- 223.9305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+815.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $109,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
- 2020-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 2019-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $14,900 Public Records
- 2005-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2001-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1959-06-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+18.0%/yrLatest (2022): $1,240 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…