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85 Fraser Dr
C- Composite 52.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$151,000

85 Fraser Dr · Jacksonville, AR 72076
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,470 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1971 0.50 ac lot $103/sqft · 19% below area Est $188k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely remodeled home with plenty of space, a big beautifully landscaped yard and 2 car garage. New cabinets, floors, French doors, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances. New New New! Come see it today before its gone! Seller is also providing a one year home warranty.

Key facts

  • 0.5 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1971

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage with automatic door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas; Cable TV available; Private telephone service; Insulated windows and doors; Attic vent (turbo)
  • Home design: Single-family property; 0.5 acre lot
  • Construction: Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Patio; Porch; Level lot; Rural property in a subdivision; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Electric range / surface range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator stays; Ice maker connection
  • Flooring: Tile; Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central cooling (electric)
  • Interior features: Tile and luxury vinyl flooring; Wood-burning site-built fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $151k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#231 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Jacksonville North Pulaski School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #211 of 238 in AR (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 185 units permitted in Lonoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lonoke County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $117k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,399 (11.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.15%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$187,514
List price
$151,000
Delta
-19.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.3%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-17,351
Equity at exit
$22,515
10-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,793
Equity at exit
$13,056

Cash invested: $42,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72076

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,334 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$792
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,058/yr
Insurance
$63
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,194
Max offer price $151,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,750
Closing costs
$4,530
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $151,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $151,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $151,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $151,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $151,000 Price Change 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $151,000 Price Change 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $151,000 Price Change 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $151,000 Price Change 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    pricestatus $151,000 Price Change 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $161,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $161,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $161,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $161,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $161,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $161,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $161,000 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $161,000 Active 25 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    listed $161,000 New Listing 481-char remark
  19. 2019-12-04
    soldstatus $117,000
  20. 2019-12-02
    soldstatus $117,000 Sold 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Completely remodeled home with plenty of space, a big beautifully landscaped yard and 2 car garage. New cabinets, floors, French doors, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances. New New New! Come see it today before its gone! Seller is also providing a one year home warranty.

  21. 2019-10-12
    historical Take Backups 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Completely remodeled home with plenty of space, a big beautifully landscaped yard and 2 car garage. New cabinets, floors, French doors, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances. New New New! Come see it today before its gone! Seller is also providing a one year home warranty.

  22. 2019-10-02
    status Back on Market 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Completely remodeled home with plenty of space, a big beautifully landscaped yard and 2 car garage. New cabinets, floors, French doors, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances. New New New! Come see it today before its gone! Seller is also providing a one year home warranty.

  23. 2019-09-18
    historical Take Backups 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Completely remodeled home with plenty of space, a big beautifully landscaped yard and 2 car garage. New cabinets, floors, French doors, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances. New New New! Come see it today before its gone! Seller is also providing a one year home warranty.

  24. 2019-08-27
    price $119,900 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Completely remodeled home with plenty of space, a big beautifully landscaped yard and 2 car garage. New cabinets, floors, French doors, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances. New New New! Come see it today before its gone! Seller is also providing a one year home warranty.

  25. 2019-08-10
    price $123,900 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Completely remodeled home with plenty of space, a big beautifully landscaped yard and 2 car garage. New cabinets, floors, French doors, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances. New New New! Come see it today before its gone! Seller is also providing a one year home warranty.

  26. 2019-07-01
    listed $124,900 New Listing 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Completely remodeled home with plenty of space, a big beautifully landscaped yard and 2 car garage. New cabinets, floors, French doors, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances. New New New! Come see it today before its gone! Seller is also providing a one year home warranty.

  27. 2019-03-06
    soldstatus $35,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Are you an investor or someone looking to put in some elbow grease to make a place to live? Take a look at this one, it has potential. Property being sold "As is, Where is No Repairs. Seller will not assist with closing cost. No repairs. No Disclosures, owners never lived here. BUYER will be responsible to turn on utilities for inspection. Sell will NOT assist with closing cost.

  28. 2019-02-23
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Are you an investor or someone looking to put in some elbow grease to make a place to live? Take a look at this one, it has potential. Property being sold "As is, Where is No Repairs. Seller will not assist with closing cost. No repairs. No Disclosures, owners never lived here. BUYER will be responsible to turn on utilities for inspection. Sell will NOT assist with closing cost.

  29. 2019-02-21
    listed $37,000 New Listing
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Are you an investor or someone looking to put in some elbow grease to make a place to live? Take a look at this one, it has potential. Property being sold "As is, Where is No Repairs. Seller will not assist with closing cost. No repairs. No Disclosures, owners never lived here. BUYER will be responsible to turn on utilities for inspection. Sell will NOT assist with closing cost.

  30. 2015-05-20
    historical
  31. 2015-04-01
    listed $45,580

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,058 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,058 · $88/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,008
− Mortgage interest
−$8,458
− Property taxes
−$1,058
− Insurance
−$755
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,281
− Management
−$1,281
− Depreciation
−$4,393
Taxable loss
−$1,217
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$292
After-tax cash flow
$1,623/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jacksonville North Pulaski School District
NCES district ID
0500419
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,869
Composite
17.16/100
National rank
#9110
State rank
#211 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
61/100
State rank
#231
US rank
#17378

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
38,437
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
38,437
Household income
$54,379
Rent vs Own
46.6% rent · 53.4% own
Severe rent burden
1733.0

Population outlook (Lonoke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,072 people
By 2030
80,673 · +3.3%
By 2040
84,977 · +8.8%
By 2050
87,778 · +12.4%
By 2075
91,398 · +17.1%
By 2100
87,858 · +12.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lonoke

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.2% · R 75.8% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.2pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -53.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+53.3 2012: R+50.9 2008: R+47.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.51%
Current HPI
201.6405
Rent YoY
▲ 3.07%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+231.3% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $151,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $161,000 CARMLS
  • 2019-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
  • 2019-12-02 Sold (MLS) $117,000 CARMLS
  • 2019-10-12 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2019-10-02 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2019-09-18 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2019-08-27 Price Changed $119,900 CARMLS
  • 2019-08-10 Price Changed $123,900 CARMLS
  • 2019-07-01 Listed $124,900 CARMLS
  • 2019-03-06 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CARMLS
  • 2019-02-23 Pending CARMLS
  • 2019-02-21 Listed $37,000 CARMLS
  • 2015-05-20 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2015-04-01 Listed $45,580 CARMLS

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,058 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…