CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
22121 Karlov Ave
D Composite 42.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

22121 Karlov Ave · Richton Park, IL 60471
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 761 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1967 7,040 sqft lot Est $145k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 Bedroom Frame Raised Ranch in need of Updates and Repairs. Hardwood Floors and a full finished Basement with Family Room and 2 extra Bedrooms and Half Bath. (Cash or Rehab Loans Only) Property sold "as is" with "as is" Rider needed. No Survey or Termite Inspection Given. Taxes prorated 100%. Pre-Approval or Proof of Funds and copy of the Earnest Money Check must accompany all Offers.

Key facts

  • 7,040 sq ft lot
  • Built 1967
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Single-story (1 story); Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Built 51-60 years ago; Brick and frame construction; Property built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 64 x 110; Lot is less than 0.25 acre; Interstate access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms; 2 additional bedrooms in the basement (property can have up to 4 bedrooms total)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Basement includes bathroom access
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished full basement; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($879/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.3% in Richton Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#415 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.10%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$145,351
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4247 Greenbrier Ln 0.28mi 3/2.0 720 (-5%) 11mo $93,000 $129 65
22427 Ridgeway Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 765 (+0%) 10mo $149,000 $195 58
4204 Greenbrier Ln 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+14%) 14mo $62,100 $72 51
22114 Kostner Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 864 (+14%) 21mo $165,000 $191 44
4534 Saratoga Rd 0.57mi 3/1.5 845 (+11%) 12mo $180,000 $213 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-19,450
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-10,226
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60471

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,706 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$426 /mo · $5,116/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$73

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,614
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $158 -5% $116 +0% $73 +5% $31 +10% $-12
Rent -10% $-62 -5% $6 +0% $73 +5% $141 +10% $208
Rate -1.0pp $149 -0.5pp $111 base $73 +0.5pp $34 +1.0pp $-5

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3905 Tower Dr Richton Park, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $1,795 $1.98 0d 19 0.28mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22419-109 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 798 $1,310 $1.64 8d 1 0.36mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22400-311 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 882 $1,360 $1.54 8d 1 0.36mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22407-204 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 837 $1,325 $1.58 0d 1 0.36mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-514 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.5 1021 $1,365 $1.34 8d 1 0.36mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-506 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 882 $1,325 $1.50 8d 1 0.36mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22415-207 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.5 944 $1,360 $1.44 8d 1 0.36mi
4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 23d 1 0.42mi
4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 13d 1 0.42mi
4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 8d 1 0.42mi
4020 216th St Unit 2E Matteson, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 0d 1 0.75mi
4561 Heartland Dr Unit 3F Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 25d 1 1.05mi
277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 966 $2,000 $2.07 4d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $149,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,116 · $426/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,116 · $426/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,478
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$5,116
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,638
− Management
−$1,638
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$1,421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$341
After-tax cash flow
$1,220/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Richton Park

Score
69/100
State rank
#415
US rank
#8530

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richton Park, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
12,848
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
12,848
Household income
$64,494
Rent vs Own
50.1% rent · 49.9% own
Severe rent burden
799.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.01%
Current HPI
226.6786
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+252.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-25 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-22 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-18 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-01 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-14 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2017-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2009-06-22 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-05-26 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-05-16 Listed $32,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 1986-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records
  • 1982-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
  • 1979-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,116 · +47.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…