22121 Karlov Ave · Richton Park, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bedroom Frame Raised Ranch in need of Updates and Repairs. Hardwood Floors and a full finished Basement with Family Room and 2 extra Bedrooms and Half Bath. (Cash or Rehab Loans Only) Property sold "as is" with "as is" Rider needed. No Survey or Termite Inspection Given. Taxes prorated 100%. Pre-Approval or Proof of Funds and copy of the Earnest Money Check must accompany all Offers.
Key facts
- 7,040 sq ft lot
- Built 1967
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Single-story (1 story); Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Built 51-60 years ago; Brick and frame construction; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 64 x 110; Lot is less than 0.25 acre; Interstate access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms; 2 additional bedrooms in the basement (property can have up to 4 bedrooms total)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Basement includes bathroom access
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($879/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.3% in Richton Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#415 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.10%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,351
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4247 Greenbrier Ln | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 720 (-5%) | 11mo | $93,000 | $129 | 65 |
| 22427 Ridgeway Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 765 (+0%) | 10mo | $149,000 | $195 | 58 |
| 4204 Greenbrier Ln | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+14%) | 14mo | $62,100 | $72 | 51 |
| 22114 Kostner Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+14%) | 21mo | $165,000 | $191 | 44 |
| 4534 Saratoga Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 845 (+11%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $213 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-19,450
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-10,226
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60471
- Home prices YoY
- -17.5%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,706 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$426 /mo · $5,116/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $73
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $158 | -5% $116 | +0% $73 | +5% $31 | +10% $-12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-62 | -5% $6 | +0% $73 | +5% $141 | +10% $208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $149 | -0.5pp $111 | base $73 | +0.5pp $34 | +1.0pp $-5 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3905 Tower Dr Richton Park, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,795 | $1.98 | 0d | 19 | 0.28mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22419-109 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,310 | $1.64 | 8d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22400-311 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,360 | $1.54 | 8d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22407-204 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,325 | $1.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-514 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1021 | $1,365 | $1.34 | 8d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-506 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,325 | $1.50 | 8d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22415-207 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 944 | $1,360 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 8d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4020 216th St Unit 2E Matteson, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 0d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4561 Heartland Dr Unit 3F Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13$149,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,116 · $426/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,116 · $426/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$5,116
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,638
- − Management
- −$1,638
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$1,421
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$341
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,220/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Richton Park
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #415
- US rank
- #8530
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richton Park, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 12,848
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,848
- Household income
- $64,494
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 799.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.01%
- Current HPI
- 226.6786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+252.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-25 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-01 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-14 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2017-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-22 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-26 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-16 Listed $32,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 1986-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records
- 1982-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
- 1979-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2023): $5,116 · +47.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…