128 Virginia Rd Unit B · Valhalla, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully maintained and renovated first floor co-op within the Valhalla School District. In unit laundry, updated Kitchen and Bath, hardwood floors and just about 1 mile to Metro North Trains Station and steps away from several stores and restaurants.
Key facts
- Built 1954
- Listed 19 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly additional fee of $147.78 for capital projects through 12/31/2028
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Unassigned parking
- Utilities: Con Edison electric; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative property; Two-story building; Entry level: 1; Living area listed as 900
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront; No additional parcels
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Includes a first-floor bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Washer/dryer hookup; Dining area; Updated/remodeled condition; No basement; No attic
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $265k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $261k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.8% in Valhalla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#795 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Valhalla Union Free School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #119 of 590 in NY (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Virginia Road Elementary School (317 students, 16% FRL); Valhalla Middle School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 301 students, 24% FRL); Valhalla High School (math 98% / reading 70%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 429 students, 25% FRL).
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.93%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-11,923
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $29,798
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10603
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,017 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$634
- Net cashflow
- $486
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Custis Ave Unit 2nd floor White Plains, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,500 | $3.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 13 Summitt Pl Valhalla, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 566 | $2,500 | $4.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4 Wyndover Woods Ln Unit 12 White Plains, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,500 | $2.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 13 Granada Cres #1 White Plains, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,500 | $3.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $265,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31status $265,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,205
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$3,975
- − Insurance
- −$2,122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,896
- − Management
- −$2,896
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable income
- $1,761
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$423
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained and updated condo is in excellent condition and ready for immediate occupancy.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
- Rental Replace ceiling fan — A modern ceiling fan can improve air circulation and add to the home's appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance ↑
- Rental Replace ceiling fan — A modern ceiling fan can improve air circulation and add to the home's appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valhalla Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629400
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $106,068
- Composite
- 62.26/100
- National rank
- #699
- State rank
- #119 of 590 in NY
Livability — Valhalla
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #795
- US rank
- #15361
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 7,180
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,201
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 35% White 34% Black 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.72%
- Current HPI
- 317.8177
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-29 Coming Soon $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…