47 Hilltop Ave · Akron, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this stunning, almost brand-new 2024 mobile home at 47 Hilltop Ave—freshly built and ready for its next chapter! With modern finishes throughout, this home delivers comfort, convenience, and incredible value in a low-maintenance package. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizes, or anyone seeking easy living without the upkeep of a traditional site-built home.
Key facts
- Built 2024
- Listed 85 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#638 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Ephrata Area SD (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #173 of 539 in PA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.23%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,046
- Equity at exit
- $13,121
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $23,642
- Equity at exit
- $7,609
Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17501
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,677 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $819/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$507
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,000
- Closing costs
- $2,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $507 · $6,084/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $88,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $88,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $88,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $88,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $88,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $88,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $88,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $88,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $88,000 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Come see this stunning, almost brand-new 2024 mobile home at 47 Hilltop Ave—freshly built and ready for its next chapter! With modern finishes throughout, this home delivers comfort, convenience, and incredible value in a low-maintenance package. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizes, or anyone seeking easy living without the upkeep of a traditional site-built home.
-
2026-03-25$90,000 Active 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Come see this stunning, almost brand-new 2024 mobile home at 47 Hilltop Ave—freshly built and ready for its next chapter! With modern finishes throughout, this home delivers comfort, convenience, and incredible value in a low-maintenance package. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizes, or anyone seeking easy living without the upkeep of a traditional site-built home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $819 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,105 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$286/yr (+$24/mo · 34.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,119
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,929
- − Property taxes
- −$819
- − Insurance
- −$440
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,610
- − Management
- −$1,610
- − HOA
- −$6,084
- − Depreciation
- −$2,560
- Taxable income
- $2,068
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$496
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,517/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 2024 manufactured home is nearly new, featuring modern finishes and a low-maintenance design, making it an excellent investment for first-time buyers or downsizers.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Resale Replace countertops — Modern countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale Install new lighting fixtures — Updated lighting enhances the home's ambiance and value
- Both Add a smart home system — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency, attracting tech-savvy buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace countertops — Modern countertops improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Install new lighting fixtures — Updated lighting enhances the home's ambiance and value ↑
- Both Add a smart home system — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency, attracting tech-savvy buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ephrata Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209270
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,320
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3078
- State rank
- #173 of 539 in PA
Livability — Akron
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #638
- US rank
- #6217
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Akron, PA
- City population
- 4,823
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,823
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.31%
- Current HPI
- 278.9238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-2.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $88,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2026): $819 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…