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131 Thornton Ln
D+ Composite 45.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

131 Thornton Ln · Elk City, OK 73644
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,418 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 192 Days on market
Built 1950 6,464 sqft lot Est $147k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great Home sitting close to 2 parks, Colonel Herring Park and Lions Park! This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home has updated windows, gas heat and 2 split units to keep you comfortable. The double carport sits nicely close to the front porch for easy access to your car/house trek, along with an inground cellar to keep you safe! Also included is a Storage building with shelving. This home is easy to show, and has lots of space.

Key facts

  • 6,464 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 192 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead not claimed; Manual geocode; directions available
  • Financial info: Not assumable; Loan qualification does not apply
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Home design: Single family residence; One level; Existing property; Located in the Country Club addition
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Conventional foundation; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Interior lot; Below-ground storm shelter

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Zoned gas heating; Zoned electric cooling
  • Interior features: One living area; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (16.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.2% in Elk City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#141 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Elk City (town): math 14% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #218 of 270 in OK (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Elk City Es (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 753 students, 0% FRL); Elk City Ies (math 21% / reading 14%, grade F, #186 of 345 statewide, top 55%, 434 students, 0% FRL); Elk City Hs (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 615 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Beckham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Beckham County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,190 (16.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.23%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,472
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 Hoover Cir 0.30mi 3/3.0 1,400 (-1%) 2mo $100,000 $71 78
401 Mcarthur Blvd 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,396 (-2%) 5mo $150,000 $107 78
402 Mcarthur Blvd 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,480 (+4%) 7mo $149,000 $101 74
135 Blackburn Blvd 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,302 (-8%) 11mo $155,000 $119 70
1101 Colorado Ave 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,446 (+2%) 7mo $200,000 $138 68
116 Currell Ln 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,245 (-12%) 7mo $110,000 $88 66
406 Mcarthur Blvd 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,576 (+11%) 4mo $170,000 $108 65
101 Rowsey 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,329 (-6%) 8mo $158,000 $119 62
155 Blackburn Blvd 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,582 (+12%) 5mo $165,000 $104 62
602 N Main St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,626 (+15%) 7mo $169,900 $104 45
515 N Booth Ave 0.72mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,334 (-6%) 8mo $128,000 $96 41
820 N Randall Ave 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,516 (+7%) 13mo $149,500 $99 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.3%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-15,933
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,589
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73644

Home prices YoY
-24.0%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,162 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $317/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,029
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $183 -5% $144 +0% $105 +5% $65 +10% $26
Rent -10% $13 -5% $59 +0% $105 +5% $151 +10% $196
Rate -1.0pp $175 -0.5pp $140 base $105 +0.5pp $69 +1.0pp $32

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,000 Active 192 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,000 Active 191 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 187 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 186 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,000 Active 183 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 180 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 177 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,000 Active 174 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 173 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 172 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 171 DOM
  17. 2025-12-11
    listed $139,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$317 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,251 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$934/yr (+$78/mo · 294.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,943
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$317
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,115
− Management
−$1,115
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable loss
−$1,130
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$271
After-tax cash flow
$1,527/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elk City
NCES district ID
4010740
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$49,040
Composite
13.26/100
National rank
#9547
State rank
#218 of 270 in OK

Livability — Elk City

Score
65/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#13090

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elk City, OK
City population
13,687
Population (ZIP)
13,687

Population outlook (Beckham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,564 people
By 2030
28,217 · +6.2%
By 2040
31,865 · +20.0%
By 2050
35,862 · +35.0%
By 2075
47,189 · +77.6%
By 2100
55,622 · +109.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Beckham

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.1) · D 14.2% · R 84.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.0pp toward R · 2008: -56.1pp · 2024: -70.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.1 2020: R+72.0 2016: R+70.8 2012: R+59.1 2008: R+56.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.11%
Current HPI
178.0217
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-12-11 Listed $139,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $317 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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