131 Thornton Ln · Elk City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Home sitting close to 2 parks, Colonel Herring Park and Lions Park! This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath home has updated windows, gas heat and 2 split units to keep you comfortable. The double carport sits nicely close to the front porch for easy access to your car/house trek, along with an inground cellar to keep you safe! Also included is a Storage building with shelving. This home is easy to show, and has lots of space.
Key facts
- 6,464 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 192 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead not claimed; Manual geocode; directions available
- Financial info: Not assumable; Loan qualification does not apply
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Existing property; Located in the Country Club addition
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Conventional foundation; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Interior lot; Below-ground storm shelter
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Zoned gas heating; Zoned electric cooling
- Interior features: One living area; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (16.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.2% in Elk City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#141 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Elk City (town): math 14% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #218 of 270 in OK (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Elk City Es (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 753 students, 0% FRL); Elk City Ies (math 21% / reading 14%, grade F, #186 of 345 statewide, top 55%, 434 students, 0% FRL); Elk City Hs (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 615 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Beckham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beckham County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.23%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $147,472
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Hoover Cir | 0.30mi | 3/3.0 | 1,400 (-1%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $71 | 78 |
| 401 Mcarthur Blvd | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,396 (-2%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $107 | 78 |
| 402 Mcarthur Blvd | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (+4%) | 7mo | $149,000 | $101 | 74 |
| 135 Blackburn Blvd | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (-8%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $119 | 70 |
| 1101 Colorado Ave | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,446 (+2%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $138 | 68 |
| 116 Currell Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,245 (-12%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $88 | 66 |
| 406 Mcarthur Blvd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (+11%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $108 | 65 |
| 101 Rowsey | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,329 (-6%) | 8mo | $158,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 155 Blackburn Blvd | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,582 (+12%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $104 | 62 |
| 602 N Main St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,626 (+15%) | 7mo | $169,900 | $104 | 45 |
| 515 N Booth Ave | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,334 (-6%) | 8mo | $128,000 | $96 | 41 |
| 820 N Randall Ave | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,516 (+7%) | 13mo | $149,500 | $99 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-15,933
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,589
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73644
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $317/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $183 | -5% $144 | +0% $105 | +5% $65 | +10% $26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13 | -5% $59 | +0% $105 | +5% $151 | +10% $196 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $175 | -0.5pp $140 | base $105 | +0.5pp $69 | +1.0pp $32 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2025-12-11$139,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $317 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,251 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$934/yr (+$78/mo · 294.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$317
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,115
- − Management
- −$1,115
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable loss
- −$1,130
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$271
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,527/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elk City
- NCES district ID
- 4010740
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,040
- Composite
- 13.26/100
- National rank
- #9547
- State rank
- #218 of 270 in OK
Livability — Elk City
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #13090
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elk City, OK
- City population
- 13,687
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,687
Population outlook (Beckham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,564 people
- By 2030
- 28,217 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 31,865 · +20.0%
- By 2050
- 35,862 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 47,189 · +77.6%
- By 2100
- 55,622 · +109.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Beckham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.1) · D 14.2% · R 84.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -56.1pp · 2024: -70.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.1 2020: R+72.0 2016: R+70.8 2012: R+59.1 2008: R+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.11%
- Current HPI
- 178.0217
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-12-11 Listed $139,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $317 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…