627 S Alabama Ave · Okmulgee, OK
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.2/10.0
$23,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special! This 2 Bed/ 1 Bath home has a lot of potential! Get a vision for what a great home this could be with some restoration!
Key facts
- 7,501 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 143 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Capital Heights addition; Homestead not claimed; Living area reported as 1,096 (assessor)
- Financial info: Loan qualification available; Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details listed
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: No utilities listed; Flood insurance not required
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One level
- Construction: Asbestos construction material; Other roof type; Combination foundation; Existing property
- Exterior features: No exterior features listed; Lot features: Other
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: No flooring details listed
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Floor furnace heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: One living area; One dining area; No fireplace; No study; No in-law plan
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $23k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $23k).
- Recommended offer: $20k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 40.9% vs local median 7.6% in Okmulgee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#300 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Okmulgee (town): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #264 of 270 in OK (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Okmulgee Primary Es (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #766 of 845 statewide, top 94%, 532 students, 0% FRL); Okmulgee Hs (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #430 of 447 statewide, top 99%, 331 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $159 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $690 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 35% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $23k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 40.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 123.48%
- DSCR
- 6.49
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $40,552
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518 S Morton Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (-3%) | 20mo | $15,000 | $14 | 69 |
| 705 S Muskogee Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,080 (-2%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $144 | 65 |
| 414 E 12th St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,106 (+1%) | 17mo | $35,000 | $32 | 60 |
| 701 S Muskogee Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,133 (+3%) | 14mo | $148,000 | $131 | 60 |
| 810 S Taft Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,040 (-5%) | 13mo | $139,000 | $134 | 58 |
| 706 E 13th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,088 (-1%) | 15mo | $37,500 | $34 | 53 |
| 409 E 20th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,112 (+2%) | 17mo | $45,000 | $40 | 47 |
| 905 S Creek Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (-7%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $29 | 46 |
| 1201 W 5th St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-8%) | 15mo | $37,500 | $37 | 44 |
| 716 E 12th St | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,138 (+4%) | 16mo | $27,500 | $24 | 42 |
| 620 E 15th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,212 (+11%) | 19mo | $85,000 | $70 | 33 |
| 504 Emerson Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-15%) | 15mo | $30,000 | $32 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.98×
- Total profit
- $38,492
- Equity at exit
- $3,429
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.65×
- Total profit
- $87,916
- Equity at exit
- $1,989
Cash invested: $6,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74447
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,033 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$121
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $275/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $663
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,750
- Closing costs
- $690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1104 W 8th St Okmulgee, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $850 | $0.78 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 324 E 6th St Unit 214 Okmulgee, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,200 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 324 E 6th St Unit 204 Okmulgee, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,150 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 324 E 6th St Unit 116 Okmulgee, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,060 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 118 N Taft Ave Okmulgee, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $23,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $23,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $23,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-15pricedays on market $23,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $25,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $25,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-03-01price $25,000
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2026-01-26historical
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2026-01-25$17,000 Active
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2026-01-02status Active
-
2025-11-04status Pending
-
2025-09-07price $18,000
-
2025-07-26$25,000 Active
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2025-03-28soldstatus $12,000 Closed 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
Investor special! This 2 Bed/ 1 Bath home has a lot of potential! Get a vision for what a great home this could be with some restoration!
-
2025-02-05status Pending 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
Investor special! This 2 Bed/ 1 Bath home has a lot of potential! Get a vision for what a great home this could be with some restoration!
-
2025-01-31$12,000 Active 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
Investor special! This 2 Bed/ 1 Bath home has a lot of potential! Get a vision for what a great home this could be with some restoration!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $275 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $275 · $23/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,288
- − Property taxes
- −$275
- − Insurance
- −$115
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$991
- − Management
- −$991
- − Depreciation
- −$669
- Taxable income
- $8,062
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,935
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,017/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okmulgee
- NCES district ID
- 4022800
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,078
- Composite
- 3.66/100
- National rank
- #10069
- State rank
- #264 of 270 in OK
Livability — Okmulgee
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #17773
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Okmulgee, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,500
Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,543 people
- By 2030
- 36,528 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 34,430 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 32,498 · -13.4%
- By 2075
- 28,814 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 25,193 · -32.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Native American 15% Two or more races 15% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.69%
- Current HPI
- 257.2856
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+108.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-01 Price Changed $25,000 MLSOK
- 2026-01-26 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2026-01-25 Listed $17,000 MLSOK
- 2026-01-02 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2025-11-04 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $18,000 MLSOK
- 2025-07-26 Listed $25,000 MLSOK
- 2025-03-28 Sold (MLS) $12,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-02-05 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-01-31 Listed $12,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $275 · +68.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…