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627 S Alabama Ave
D+ Composite 48.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.2/10.0

$23,000

627 S Alabama Ave · Okmulgee, OK 74447
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,096 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 144 Days on market
Built 1920 7,501 sqft lot Est $41k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special! This 2 Bed/ 1 Bath home has a lot of potential! Get a vision for what a great home this could be with some restoration!

Key facts

  • 7,501 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 143 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Capital Heights addition; Homestead not claimed; Living area reported as 1,096 (assessor)
  • Financial info: Loan qualification available; Not assumable
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details listed
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: No utilities listed; Flood insurance not required
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One level
  • Construction: Asbestos construction material; Other roof type; Combination foundation; Existing property
  • Exterior features: No exterior features listed; Lot features: Other

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: No flooring details listed
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Floor furnace heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: One living area; One dining area; No fireplace; No study; No in-law plan
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $23k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $23k).
  • Recommended offer: $20k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 40.9% vs local median 7.6% in Okmulgee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#300 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Okmulgee (town): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #264 of 270 in OK (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Okmulgee Primary Es (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #766 of 845 statewide, top 94%, 532 students, 0% FRL); Okmulgee Hs (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #430 of 447 statewide, top 99%, 331 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $159 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $690 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 35% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $23k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $20,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.49%
Cap rate
40.87%
Cash-on-cash
123.48%
DSCR
6.49
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$40,552
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
518 S Morton Ave 0.21mi 2/1.0 1,064 (-3%) 20mo $15,000 $14 69
705 S Muskogee Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,080 (-2%) 12mo $155,000 $144 65
414 E 12th St 0.52mi 2/1.0 1,106 (+1%) 17mo $35,000 $32 60
701 S Muskogee Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,133 (+3%) 14mo $148,000 $131 60
810 S Taft Ave 0.34mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,040 (-5%) 13mo $139,000 $134 58
706 E 13th St 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,088 (-1%) 15mo $37,500 $34 53
409 E 20th St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,112 (+2%) 17mo $45,000 $40 47
905 S Creek Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,020 (-7%) 10mo $30,000 $29 46
1201 W 5th St 0.65mi 2/1.0 1,008 (-8%) 15mo $37,500 $37 44
716 E 12th St 0.74mi 2/2.0 1,138 (+4%) 16mo $27,500 $24 42
620 E 15th St 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,212 (+11%) 19mo $85,000 $70 33
504 Emerson Dr 0.74mi 2/1.0 936 (-15%) 15mo $30,000 $32 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.98×
Total profit
$38,492
Equity at exit
$3,429
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.65×
Total profit
$87,916
Equity at exit
$1,989

Cash invested: $6,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74447

Home prices YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,033 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$121
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $275/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$663

Break-even live

Break-even rent $194
Max offer price $23,000
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,750
Closing costs
$690
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1104 W 8th St Okmulgee, OK 2.0 1.0 1084 $850 $0.78 3d 1 0.51mi
324 E 6th St Unit 214 Okmulgee, OK 2.0 1.0 891 $1,200 $1.35 24d 1 0.59mi
324 E 6th St Unit 204 Okmulgee, OK 2.0 1.0 770 $1,150 $1.49 24d 1 0.59mi
324 E 6th St Unit 116 Okmulgee, OK 2.0 1.0 776 $1,060 $1.37 24d 1 0.59mi
118 N Taft Ave Okmulgee, OK 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,000 $0.83 15d 1 0.60mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $23,000 Active 144 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $23,000 Active 143 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $23,000 Active 142 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $23,000 Active 141 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 139 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $25,000 Active 138 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 135 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 134 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 133 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 132 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $25,000 Active 129 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 128 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 127 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 126 DOM
  15. 2026-03-01
    price $25,000
  16. 2026-01-26
    historical
  17. 2026-01-25
    listed $17,000 Active
  18. 2026-01-02
    status Active
  19. 2025-11-04
    status Pending
  20. 2025-09-07
    price $18,000
  21. 2025-07-26
    listed $25,000 Active
  22. 2025-03-28
    soldstatus $12,000 Closed 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Investor special! This 2 Bed/ 1 Bath home has a lot of potential! Get a vision for what a great home this could be with some restoration!

  23. 2025-02-05
    status Pending 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Investor special! This 2 Bed/ 1 Bath home has a lot of potential! Get a vision for what a great home this could be with some restoration!

  24. 2025-01-31
    listed $12,000 Active 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Investor special! This 2 Bed/ 1 Bath home has a lot of potential! Get a vision for what a great home this could be with some restoration!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$275 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$275 · $23/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,392
− Mortgage interest
−$1,288
− Property taxes
−$275
− Insurance
−$115
− Repairs & maintenance
−$991
− Management
−$991
− Depreciation
−$669
Taxable income
$8,062
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,935
After-tax cash flow
$6,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okmulgee
NCES district ID
4022800
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
7% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$31,078
Composite
3.66/100
National rank
#10069
State rank
#264 of 270 in OK

Livability — Okmulgee

Score
61/100
State rank
#300
US rank
#17773

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Okmulgee, OK
Population (ZIP)
15,500

Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,543 people
By 2030
36,528 · -2.7%
By 2040
34,430 · -8.3%
By 2050
32,498 · -13.4%
By 2075
28,814 · -23.3%
By 2100
25,193 · -32.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Native American 15% Two or more races 15% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.69%
Current HPI
257.2856
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-01 Price Changed $25,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-01-26 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $17,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-01-02 Relisted MLSOK
  • 2025-11-04 Pending MLSOK
  • 2025-09-07 Price Changed $18,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-07-26 Listed $25,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-03-28 Sold (MLS) $12,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-02-05 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-01-31 Listed $12,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $275 · +68.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…