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4548 Springs Rd
B- Composite 69.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

4548 Springs Rd · Hickory, NC 28613
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 732 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1947 0.56 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Handyman special being sold "as is" with some repairs complete and others started. Over half and acre lot. New roof installed. New windows installed. Well on property went dry so hook up to Hickory City water has been completed. New plumbing installation mostly complete with a few items still in need of completion/correction. New electrical wiring with new breaker box mostly complete with outlets and fixtures still needing to be installed. Front porch boards replaced. Back deck mostly replaced with a few items still needed to be complete. No information is available on the septic system and it has not been inspected. It was working when the house was last lived in but that has bee

Key facts

  • Well on property
  • New roof installed
  • 0.56 acre lot

Tags

OVER HALF AN ACRE LOTNEW ROOF INSTALLEDNEW WINDOWS INSTALLEDWELL ON PROPERTYNEW PLUMBING INSTALLATIONNEW ELECTRICAL WIRING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R-20; Directions: From Hickory, travel northeast on Springs Road. Property is about one mile on the right after Springs Road goes from four lanes to two lanes.
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: City water; Sewer described as 'Other - See Remarks'
  • Home design: Single-family residential home; Site-built construction; One level
  • Construction: Asbestos siding/materials; Basement and crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot is approximately 0.56 acres; Roads are gravel and paved; Publicly maintained road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliances specified
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Basement with dirt floor; Wood-burning fireplace; No heating system specified; No cooling system specified; No built-in appliances listed
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry facilities (none listed)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.9% in Hickory — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#92 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Catawba County Schools (rural): math 54% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #54 of 178 in NC (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 2,016 units permitted in Catawba County in 2024 (255 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Catawba County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $90k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.51%
Cash-on-cash
22.22%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$15,093
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$51,272
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28613

Home prices YoY
-22.7%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $526/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$466

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 689-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$526 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$737 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$211/yr (+$18/mo · 40.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,475
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$526
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,238
− Management
−$1,238
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$4,373
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,049
After-tax cash flow
$4,543/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Catawba County Schools
NCES district ID
3700690
Math proficiency
54% ▲ 9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$48,180
Composite
44.71/100
National rank
#2754
State rank
#54 of 178 in NC

Livability — Hickory

Score
71/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#6361

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
84,442
Population (ZIP)
23,486

Population outlook (Catawba County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
156,513 people
By 2030
155,267 · -0.8%
By 2040
151,110 · -3.5%
By 2050
145,524 · -7.0%
By 2075
134,047 · -14.4%
By 2100
119,424 · -23.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9% Asian 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Guatemala
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Catawba

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.0) · D 30.6% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-13.0pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -38.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.0 2020: R+37.0 2016: R+38.0 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.84%
Current HPI
257.5894
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+221.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $89,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $526 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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