12108 Mcguire Way #108 · Tyler, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 55.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,300
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our Fannin Meadows community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! -------------------------------------- Enjoy the convenience of a 3-bedroom split floor plan starter home with energy-efficient appliances, an island with a dining room area, and sliding patio doors offering loads of natural light. The private primary bedroom a tub shower combo, and a large walk-in closet. Primary Bedroom with on-suite bath and walk-in closet Utility / Laundry area High Energy Efficiency Frigidaire Kitchen Appliance Package 2- Panel White Arched Interior Doors Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $76,300, 10.44 APR, $2999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,387, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2024
- Listed 653 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $738 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 3.6% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
- Winona ISD (rural): math 32% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #539 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $528 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 654 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 654 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.43%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $35,711
- Equity at exit
- $11,377
- IRR
- 45.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.50×
- Total profit
- $96,141
- Equity at exit
- $6,597
Cash invested: $21,364 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75701
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,601 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$400
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$95 /mo · $1,144/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $738
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,075
- Closing costs
- $2,289
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12277 State Highway 155 Tyler, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,299 | $0.93 | 13d | 5 | 0.24mi |
| 12336 Chapman Rd Tyler, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1395 | $1,425 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $76,300 Active 654 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $76,300 Active 653 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $76,300 Active 652 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $76,300 Active 651 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $76,300 Active 650 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $76,300 Active 648 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $76,300 Active 647 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $76,300 Active 645 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $76,300 Active 644 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $76,300 Active 643 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,300 Active 642 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $76,300 Active 637 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $76,300 Active 636 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,300 Active 635 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $76,300 Active 634 DOM
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2026-04-02price $76,300 1395-char remark
Show marketing remark (1395 chars)
Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our Fannin Meadows community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! -------------------------------------- Enjoy the convenience of a 3-bedroom split floor plan starter home with energy-efficient appliances, an island with a dining room area, and sliding patio doors offering loads of natural light. The private primary bedroom a tub shower combo, and a large walk-in closet. Primary Bedroom with on-suite bath and walk-in closet Utility / Laundry area High Energy Efficiency Frigidaire Kitchen Appliance Package 2- Panel White Arched Interior Doors Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $76,300, 10.44 APR, $2999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,387, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
-
2026-02-07price $79,599 1395-char remark
Show marketing remark (1395 chars)
Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our Fannin Meadows community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! -------------------------------------- Enjoy the convenience of a 3-bedroom split floor plan starter home with energy-efficient appliances, an island with a dining room area, and sliding patio doors offering loads of natural light. The private primary bedroom a tub shower combo, and a large walk-in closet. Primary Bedroom with on-suite bath and walk-in closet Utility / Laundry area High Energy Efficiency Frigidaire Kitchen Appliance Package 2- Panel White Arched Interior Doors Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $76,300, 10.44 APR, $2999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,387, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
-
2025-08-27price $83,199 1395-char remark
Show marketing remark (1395 chars)
Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our Fannin Meadows community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! -------------------------------------- Enjoy the convenience of a 3-bedroom split floor plan starter home with energy-efficient appliances, an island with a dining room area, and sliding patio doors offering loads of natural light. The private primary bedroom a tub shower combo, and a large walk-in closet. Primary Bedroom with on-suite bath and walk-in closet Utility / Laundry area High Energy Efficiency Frigidaire Kitchen Appliance Package 2- Panel White Arched Interior Doors Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $76,300, 10.44 APR, $2999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,387, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
-
2025-02-28status Active 1395-char remark
Show marketing remark (1395 chars)
Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our Fannin Meadows community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! -------------------------------------- Enjoy the convenience of a 3-bedroom split floor plan starter home with energy-efficient appliances, an island with a dining room area, and sliding patio doors offering loads of natural light. The private primary bedroom a tub shower combo, and a large walk-in closet. Primary Bedroom with on-suite bath and walk-in closet Utility / Laundry area High Energy Efficiency Frigidaire Kitchen Appliance Package 2- Panel White Arched Interior Doors Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $76,300, 10.44 APR, $2999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,387, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
-
2025-02-28price $79,500 1395-char remark
Show marketing remark (1395 chars)
Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our Fannin Meadows community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! -------------------------------------- Enjoy the convenience of a 3-bedroom split floor plan starter home with energy-efficient appliances, an island with a dining room area, and sliding patio doors offering loads of natural light. The private primary bedroom a tub shower combo, and a large walk-in closet. Primary Bedroom with on-suite bath and walk-in closet Utility / Laundry area High Energy Efficiency Frigidaire Kitchen Appliance Package 2- Panel White Arched Interior Doors Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $76,300, 10.44 APR, $2999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,387, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
-
2024-10-10historical 1395-char remark
Show marketing remark (1395 chars)
Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our Fannin Meadows community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! -------------------------------------- Enjoy the convenience of a 3-bedroom split floor plan starter home with energy-efficient appliances, an island with a dining room area, and sliding patio doors offering loads of natural light. The private primary bedroom a tub shower combo, and a large walk-in closet. Primary Bedroom with on-suite bath and walk-in closet Utility / Laundry area High Energy Efficiency Frigidaire Kitchen Appliance Package 2- Panel White Arched Interior Doors Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $76,300, 10.44 APR, $2999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,387, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
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2024-04-16$78,889 Active 1395-char remark
Show marketing remark (1395 chars)
Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our Fannin Meadows community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! -------------------------------------- Enjoy the convenience of a 3-bedroom split floor plan starter home with energy-efficient appliances, an island with a dining room area, and sliding patio doors offering loads of natural light. The private primary bedroom a tub shower combo, and a large walk-in closet. Primary Bedroom with on-suite bath and walk-in closet Utility / Laundry area High Energy Efficiency Frigidaire Kitchen Appliance Package 2- Panel White Arched Interior Doors Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $76,300, 10.44 APR, $2999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,387, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,214
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,274
- − Property taxes
- −$1,144
- − Insurance
- −$382
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,537
- − Management
- −$1,537
- − Depreciation
- −$2,220
- Taxable income
- $8,120
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,949
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of functionality and style, making it a solid investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value
- Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can improve home aesthetics and energy efficiency
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value ↑
- Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can improve home aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winona ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4846230
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,761
- Composite
- 28.98/100
- National rank
- #6624
- State rank
- #539 of 826 in TX
Livability — Tyler
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #147
- US rank
- #4181
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Smith County · 180,570 people
- City population
- 127,842
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,344
- Household income
- $66,401
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1116.0
Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,890 people
- By 2030
- 261,665 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 286,114 · +15.0%
- By 2050
- 308,006 · +23.8%
- By 2075
- 354,171 · +42.3%
- By 2100
- 372,828 · +49.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Smith
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.78%
- Current HPI
- 207.238
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.66%
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-3.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $76,300 Zillow
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $79,599 Zillow
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $83,199 Zillow
- 2025-02-28 Price Changed $79,500 Zillow
- 2025-02-28 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-10-10 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-16 Listed $78,889 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…