967 Calle Aragon · Laguna Woods, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
$360,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $750 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1965
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community contains 6 total units
- HOA & community: Member of Laguna Village Homeowners Association; Monthly HOA fee of $750; Community amenities include pickleball, racquetball court, pool, spa, fire pit, barbecue/outdoor cooking area and picnic area; Senior community
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
- Home design: Attached condominium; Single-story; Has a view; Entry level: 1
- Construction: House structure type; Year built listed from public records
- Exterior features: Community pool; Located in a suburban setting with street lighting, sidewalks and storm drains; Part of a 6-unit community
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level floor plan; All bedrooms on the main level; Entry accessed via 6 steps
- Laundry & utility: Community laundry facilities
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-627 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (30.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $304k (15.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (30.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.4% in Laguna Woods — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#200 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, cost of living F.
- Saddleback Valley Unified (suburban): math 51% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #67 of 517 in CA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,038/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1572% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $267k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.46%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.88% appreciation · 6.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $73,944
- Equity at exit
- $223,673
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $278,631
- Equity at exit
- $403,362
Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92637
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,038 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,888
- Tax from tax record
- −$239 /mo · $2,868/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$750
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$638
- Net cashflow
- $-627
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,000
- Closing costs
- $10,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 254 Calle Aragon Unit D Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1009 | $3,000 | $2.97 | 17d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 969 Calle Aragon Unit 1B Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $2,900 | $2.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 29 Calle Aragon Unit Q Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $3,100 | $2.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 24299 Paseo De Valencia Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $3,770 | $2.80 | 22d | 7 | 0.08mi |
| 53 Calle Aragon Unit O Laguna Woods, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $2,200 | $2.86 | 12d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 46 Calle Aragon Unit R Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,800 | $2.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 59 Calle Cadiz Unit B Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $3,500 | $3.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 21 Avenida Castilla Unit D Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $3,200 | $3.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 74 Calle Aragon Unit A Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,700 | $2.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 8 Via Castilla Unit N Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $3,250 | $3.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 8 Via Castilla Unit T Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,650 | $2.55 | 5d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 8 Via Castilla Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,250 | $3.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 8 Via Castilla Unit S Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 57 Calle Cadiz Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,800 | $2.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 57 Calle Cadiz Unit N Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,900 | $2.79 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 479 Calle Cadiz Unit B Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $3,300 | $3.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 477 Calle Cadiz Unit A Laguna Woods, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $2,500 | $3.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 263 Calle Aragon Unit A Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $3,800 | $2.98 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 92 Calle Aragon Unit R Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1009 | $2,650 | $2.63 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2049 Via Mariposa E Unit H Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $2,900 | $3.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2022 Via Mariposa E Unit D Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $4,000 | $3.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2022 Via Mariposa E Unit B Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $3,200 | $2.42 | 18d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 132 Avenida Majorca Unit B Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $2,400 | $2.41 | 6d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 281 Avenida Carmel Unit 0Q Laguna Woods, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $2,300 | $2.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 480 Calle Cadiz Unit B Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $3,100 | $2.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2037 Via Mariposa E Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $3,300 | $2.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 205 Avenida Majorca Unit A Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $3,600 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 107 Via Estrada Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,700 | $2.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 494 Calle Cadiz Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,900 | $3.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 224 Avenida Majorca Unit B Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1009 | $2,600 | $2.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 221 Avenida Majorca Unit D Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $3,200 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 23491 Via San Miguel Aliso Viejo, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $3,850 | $3.10 | 12d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2014 Via Mariposa W Unit A Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,850 | $2.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 23491 Los Adornos Aliso Viejo, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,600 | $2.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 170 Avenida Majorca Unit D Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 158 Avenida Majorca Unit D Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $3,200 | $2.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 24391 Avenida de la Carlota Laguna Hills, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $3,965 | $4.14 | 1d | 18 | 0.64mi |
| 24555 Los Alisos Blvd Laguna Hills, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $3,356 | $3.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 24555 Los Alisos Blvd Laguna Hills, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $2,515 | $3.40 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 24555 Los Alisos Blvd Laguna Hills, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $3,250 | $3.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $750 · $9,000/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $360,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17$360,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,868 · $239/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,868 · $239/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,457
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,166
- − Property taxes
- −$2,868
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,917
- − Management
- −$2,917
- − HOA
- −$9,000
- − Depreciation
- −$10,473
- Taxable loss
- −$13,682
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,284
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,238/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saddleback Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633860
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,577
- Composite
- 56.05/100
- National rank
- #1185
- State rank
- #67 of 517 in CA
Livability — Laguna Woods
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #200
- US rank
- #6421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laguna Woods, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 17,289
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,289
- Household income
- $59,269
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1572.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Asian 24% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Chinese 8% Korean 7% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.88%
- Current HPI
- 180.1191
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.79%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+453.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $360,000 CRMLS
- 2024-04-07 Rental Removed $2,650 CRMLS
- 2024-03-30 Listed for Rent $2,650 CRMLS
- 2023-12-30 Rental Removed $2,590 CRMLS
- 2023-12-02 Price Changed $2,590 CRMLS
- 2023-11-16 Price Changed $2,650 CRMLS
- 2023-09-28 Listed for Rent $2,700 CRMLS
- 2022-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $267,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 1997-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1978-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,868 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…