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967 Calle Aragon
D Composite 41.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0

$360,000

967 Calle Aragon · Laguna Woods, CA 92637
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,164 sqft · Condo public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1965 $750/mo HOA · 25% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • $750 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community contains 6 total units
  • HOA & community: Member of Laguna Village Homeowners Association; Monthly HOA fee of $750; Community amenities include pickleball, racquetball court, pool, spa, fire pit, barbecue/outdoor cooking area and picnic area; Senior community

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
  • Home design: Attached condominium; Single-story; Has a view; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: House structure type; Year built listed from public records
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Located in a suburban setting with street lighting, sidewalks and storm drains; Part of a 6-unit community

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling
  • Interior features: One-level floor plan; All bedrooms on the main level; Entry accessed via 6 steps
  • Laundry & utility: Community laundry facilities

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-627 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (30.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $304k (15.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $249k (30.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.4% in Laguna Woods — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#200 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, cost of living F.
  • Saddleback Valley Unified (suburban): math 51% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #67 of 517 in CA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,038/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1572% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $267k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Recommended offer $249,278 (30.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
4.20%
Cash-on-cash
-7.46%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.88% appreciation · 6.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$73,944
Equity at exit
$223,673
10-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$278,631
Equity at exit
$403,362

Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92637

Home prices YoY
3.4%
Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,038 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,888
Tax from tax record
$239 /mo · $2,868/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$750
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$638
Net cashflow
$-627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,831
Max offer price $249,278
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$90,000
Closing costs
$10,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
254 Calle Aragon Unit D Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1009 $3,000 $2.97 17d 1 0.05mi
969 Calle Aragon Unit 1B Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1195 $2,900 $2.43 24d 1 0.05mi
29 Calle Aragon Unit Q Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1040 $3,100 $2.98 43d 1 0.08mi
24299 Paseo De Valencia Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1347 $3,770 $2.80 22d 7 0.08mi
53 Calle Aragon Unit O Laguna Woods, CA 1.0 1.0 770 $2,200 $2.86 12d 1 0.12mi
46 Calle Aragon Unit R Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1040 $2,800 $2.69 18d 1 0.15mi
59 Calle Cadiz Unit B Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1070 $3,500 $3.27 43d 1 0.16mi
21 Avenida Castilla Unit D Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 940 $3,200 $3.40 18d 1 0.17mi
74 Calle Aragon Unit A Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 1.0 950 $2,700 $2.84 24d 1 0.19mi
8 Via Castilla Unit N Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1040 $3,250 $3.12 24d 1 0.20mi
8 Via Castilla Unit T Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1040 $2,650 $2.55 5d 1 0.20mi
8 Via Castilla Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,250 $3.25 43d 1 0.20mi
8 Via Castilla Unit S Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,000 $3.00 43d 1 0.20mi
57 Calle Cadiz Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1040 $2,800 $2.69 43d 1 0.21mi
57 Calle Cadiz Unit N Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1040 $2,900 $2.79 3d 1 0.21mi
479 Calle Cadiz Unit B Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1050 $3,300 $3.14 17d 1 0.30mi
477 Calle Cadiz Unit A Laguna Woods, CA 1.0 1.0 770 $2,500 $3.25 24d 1 0.34mi
263 Calle Aragon Unit A Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1275 $3,800 $2.98 17d 1 0.35mi
92 Calle Aragon Unit R Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1009 $2,650 $2.63 18d 1 0.36mi
2049 Via Mariposa E Unit H Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 1.0 866 $2,900 $3.35 43d 1 0.37mi
2022 Via Mariposa E Unit D Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1305 $4,000 $3.07 43d 1 0.39mi
2022 Via Mariposa E Unit B Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1325 $3,200 $2.42 18d 1 0.40mi
132 Avenida Majorca Unit B Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 1.0 995 $2,400 $2.41 6d 1 0.40mi
281 Avenida Carmel Unit 0Q Laguna Woods, CA 1.0 1.0 770 $2,300 $2.99 43d 1 0.41mi
480 Calle Cadiz Unit B Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1324 $3,100 $2.34 43d 1 0.42mi
2037 Via Mariposa E Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1325 $3,300 $2.49 43d 1 0.44mi
205 Avenida Majorca Unit A Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1278 $3,600 $2.82 43d 1 0.44mi
107 Via Estrada Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1040 $2,700 $2.60 24d 1 0.45mi
494 Calle Cadiz Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,900 $3.90 43d 1 0.46mi
224 Avenida Majorca Unit B Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1009 $2,600 $2.58 43d 1 0.48mi
221 Avenida Majorca Unit D Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1438 $3,200 $2.23 24d 1 0.52mi
23491 Via San Miguel Aliso Viejo, CA 3.0 2.0 1240 $3,850 $3.10 12d 1 0.53mi
2014 Via Mariposa W Unit A Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 2.0 1040 $2,850 $2.74 43d 1 0.53mi
23491 Los Adornos Aliso Viejo, CA 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,600 $2.88 43d 1 0.58mi
170 Avenida Majorca Unit D Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,500 $2.50 24d 1 0.60mi
158 Avenida Majorca Unit D Laguna Woods, CA 2.0 1.0 1300 $3,200 $2.46 43d 1 0.63mi
24391 Avenida de la Carlota Laguna Hills, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 957 $3,965 $4.14 1d 18 0.64mi
24555 Los Alisos Blvd Laguna Hills, CA 2.0 2.0 1007 $3,356 $3.33 43d 1 0.64mi
24555 Los Alisos Blvd Laguna Hills, CA 1.0 1.0 739 $2,515 $3.40 7d 1 0.64mi
24555 Los Alisos Blvd Laguna Hills, CA 2.0 2.0 1014 $3,250 $3.21 15d 1 0.64mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$750 · $9,000/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $360,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $360,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,868 · $239/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,868 · $239/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,457
− Mortgage interest
−$20,166
− Property taxes
−$2,868
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,917
− Management
−$2,917
− HOA
−$9,000
− Depreciation
−$10,473
Taxable loss
−$13,682
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,284
After-tax cash flow
$-4,238/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saddleback Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0633860
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$85,577
Composite
56.05/100
National rank
#1185
State rank
#67 of 517 in CA

Livability — Laguna Woods

Score
72/100
State rank
#200
US rank
#6421

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment C Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Laguna Woods, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
17,289
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
17,289
Household income
$59,269
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
1572.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Asian 24% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
31% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Chinese 8% Korean 7% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.88%
Current HPI
180.1191
Rent YoY
▲ 6.79%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+453.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $360,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-04-07 Rental Removed $2,650 CRMLS
  • 2024-03-30 Listed for Rent $2,650 CRMLS
  • 2023-12-30 Rental Removed $2,590 CRMLS
  • 2023-12-02 Price Changed $2,590 CRMLS
  • 2023-11-16 Price Changed $2,650 CRMLS
  • 2023-09-28 Listed for Rent $2,700 CRMLS
  • 2022-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $267,000 Public Records
  • 2007-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 1997-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1978-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,868 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…