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121 Chapin St Duplex
D- Composite 39.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$419,000

121 Chapin St · Binghamton, NY 13905
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,848 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1938 $147/sqft · 18% above area Est $355k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

TURN KEY 2 unit 7 bedroom property fully rented through May 2027. Offered at approximately an 11.5% cap rate. Listing Broker has ownership interest in the property.

Key facts

  • Built 1938
  • Listed 59 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $419k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $103/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $398k (5.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $398k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Binghamton City School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #557 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Binghamton High School (math 71% / reading 79%, grade A-, #631 of 1,100 statewide, top 58%, 1,341 students, 69% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 75% at this address vs 37% district-wide (+38 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Binghamton City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.2%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,977/mo this rent would consume 89% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1875% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($406k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $180k; list at $419k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $397,700 (5.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.11%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$355,311
List price
$419,000
Delta
17.92%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
51 Murray St 0.30mi 6/2.0 2,970 (+4%) 6mo $160,000 $54 70
25 Clarke St 0.41mi 6/3.0 2,972 (+4%) 7mo $110,000 $37 68
104 Walnut St 0.28mi 6/3.5 2,952 (+4%) 16mo $290,000 $98 66
84 Walnut St 0.18mi 7/— (+1) 2,700 (-5%) 16mo $305,000 $113 65
108 Walnut St 0.31mi 7/2.0 (+1) 3,032 (+6%) 14mo $237,000 $78 55
33 Oak St 0.32mi 5/4.0 (-1) 3,044 (+7%) 21mo $330,000 $108 47
36 Kneeland Ave 0.73mi 6/2.0 3,056 (+7%) 8mo $290,000 $95 44
200 Murray St 0.65mi 6/2.0 2,442 (-14%) 8mo $92,500 $38 35
26 Murray St 0.43mi 7/3.5 (+1) 3,217 (+13%) 19mo $190,000 $59 35
2-4 Catherine St 0.47mi 7/2.0 (+1) 3,196 (+12%) 20mo $235,000 $74 32
109 Seminary Ave 0.45mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,456 (-14%) 20mo $299,500 $122 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-33,638
Equity at exit
$62,474
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$83,651
Equity at exit
$36,227

Cash invested: $117,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13905

Home prices YoY
-31.1%
Rents YoY
11.2%
Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
17.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,977 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,197
Tax from tax record
$563 /mo · $6,761/yr
Insurance
$175
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$835
Net cashflow
$207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,716
Max offer price $419,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $444 -5% $325 +0% $207 +5% $88 +10% $-31
Rent -10% $-108 -5% $49 +0% $207 +5% $364 +10% $521
Rate -1.0pp $418 -0.5pp $313 base $207 +0.5pp $98 +1.0pp $-12

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,977

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$104,750
Closing costs
$12,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2 Chapel Pl Binghamton, NY 6.0 3.0 2600 $650 $0.25 45d 1 0.11mi
16 North St Unit 1-1 Binghamton, NY 5.0 2.0 2600 $650 $0.25 45d 1 0.29mi
19 Edwards St Binghamton, NY 7.0 3.0 2989 $600 $0.20 45d 1 0.34mi
16 Highland Ave Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 6.0 1.0 2000 $2,750 $1.38 45d 1 0.74mi
90 Conklin Ave Binghamton, NY 5.0 2.0 2000 $575 $0.29 15d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $419,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $419,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $419,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $419,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $419,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $419,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $419,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $419,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $419,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-04-11
    listed $419,000 Active 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    TURN KEY 2 unit 7 bedroom property fully rented through May 2027. Offered at approximately an 11.5% cap rate. Listing Broker has ownership interest in the property.

  11. 2023-06-21
    soldstatus $180,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,761 · $563/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,921 · $577/mo
Expected delta
+$160/yr (+$13/mo · 2.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$47,724
− Mortgage interest
−$23,471
− Property taxes
−$6,761
− Insurance
−$2,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,818
− Management
−$3,818
− Depreciation
−$12,189
Taxable loss
−$4,427
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,063
After-tax cash flow
$3,541/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Binghamton City School District
NCES district ID
3604870
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$30,475
Composite
30.09/100
National rank
#6342
State rank
#557 of 590 in NY

Livability — Binghamton

Score
78/100
State rank
#174
US rank
#2710

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Binghamton, NY
County
Broome County · 126,805 people
City population
65,170
Metro
Binghamton, NY
Population (ZIP)
27,988
Household income
$53,362
Rent vs Own
52.9% rent · 47.1% own
Severe rent burden
1875.0

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Asian 10% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.70%
Current HPI
298.9847
Rent YoY
▲ 11.19%
Metro
Binghamton, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+132.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $419,000 GBAOR
  • 2023-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,761 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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