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2202 Brown St
B Composite 72.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$42,500

2202 Brown St · Flint, MI 48503
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 833 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1928 3,920 sqft lot Est $45k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention Investors 2202 Brown Street is the next project for you. Solid home offering 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, beautiful hardwood floors, basement and a detached garage. Whether your business is flips or rentals, this home is worth evaluating for your next project.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1928

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-and-a-half story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (40 x 92.5)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $477 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
  • Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $32k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $42,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.38%
Cap rate
19.76%
Cash-on-cash
48.09%
DSCR
3.14
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$44,982
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2210 Brown St 0.02mi 2/1.0 816 (-2%) 1mo $49,900 $61 95
1114 Christopher St 0.28mi 2/1.0 832 (-0%) 4mo $30,000 $36 84
2641 Brown St 0.39mi 2/1.0 783 (-6%) 2mo $36,500 $47 70
2429 Brown St 0.16mi 2/1.0 933 (+12%) 4mo $8,500 $9 69
2737 Swayze St 0.50mi 2/1.0 783 (-6%) 8mo $65,000 $83 60
1326 Hughes Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 814 (-2%) 6mo $70,900 $87 60
2810 Gibson St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 892 (+7%) 1mo $15,500 $17 59
2729 Chicago Blvd 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 895 (+7%) 2mo $88,000 $98 58
2710 Reynolds St 0.46mi 2/1.0 751 (-10%) 5mo $56,500 $75 58
2734 Cumings Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 889 (+7%) 8mo $40,000 $45 55
924 Hammond Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 948 (+14%) 5mo $51,000 $54 45
1202 Hughes Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 950 (+14%) 5mo $20,000 $21 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.4%
Equity multiple
3.43×
Total profit
$28,875
Equity at exit
$6,337
10-year hold
IRR
58.8%
Equity multiple
8.46×
Total profit
$88,762
Equity at exit
$3,675

Cash invested: $11,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48503

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,013 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$223
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $996/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$477

Break-even live

Break-even rent $410
Max offer price $42,500
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,625
Closing costs
$1,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
352 Bradley Ave Unit 343 Sheffield Ave-Apt C Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 21d 1 0.67mi
343 Sheffield Apt. C Ave heuristic Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 25d 1 0.75mi
314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 896 $1,250 $1.40 21d 1 0.79mi
806 Barney Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 21d 1 0.88mi
3701 Whitney Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 13d 1 1.04mi
3901 Herrick St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 13d 1 1.17mi
1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 21d 1 1.24mi
1023 Barrie Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 660 $775 $1.17 21d 1 1.24mi
3929 Larchmont St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 13d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $42,500 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    remarks 265-char remark
  3. 2026-06-16
    listed $42,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$996 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$996 · $83/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,159
− Mortgage interest
−$2,381
− Property taxes
−$996
− Insurance
−$212
− Repairs & maintenance
−$973
− Management
−$973
− Depreciation
−$1,236
Taxable income
$5,388
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,293
After-tax cash flow
$4,430/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,347
Household income
$44,411
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1293.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.84%
Current HPI
130.1152
Rent YoY
▲ 12.35%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $42,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $42,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-11-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-11-20 Sold (MLS) $32,000 REALCOMP
  • 1996-11-20 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-10-16 Listed $33,900 REALCOMP
  • 1996-10-16 Listed $33,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1994-11-07 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 1994-08-10 Listed $32,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $996 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…