CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2204 24th St
B Composite 70.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$144,900

2204 24th St · Orange, TX 77630
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,075 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1957 0.95 ac lot $70/sqft · 27% below area Est $198k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large Home On A Big Beautiful Lot Close To The Golf Course! Gutted and ready to build back to your liking. This home has a lot of potential, featuring three bedrooms, a large living area, and sits on almost an acre. Call for your tour today!

Key facts

  • Formal dining area
  • Formal living room
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

FORMAL LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING AREAINVITING DENUPDATED KITCHENAMPLE STORAGEEXPANSIVE OUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: Located in the John Creamer subdivision; Nearly one acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Single-story layout

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.8% in Orange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#286 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • West Orange-Cove CISD (suburban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #784 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: West Orange-Stark El (math 14% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,990 of 4,322 statewide, top 93%, 1,130 students, 94% FRL); West Orange-Stark Middle (math 20% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,428 of 1,662 statewide, top 87%, 505 students, 92% FRL); West Orange-Stark H S (math 19% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,250 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 660 students, 88% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,553 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.22%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,603
List price
$144,900
Delta
-26.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2309 Tilley Cir 0.34mi 4/2.0 2,121 (+2%) 5mo $219,900 $104 73
2140 Live Oak Rd 0.20mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,242 (+8%) 4mo $259,900 $116 68
11 Regency 0.60mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,088 (+1%) 1mo $249,900 $120 63
2600 Country Club Dr 0.30mi 4/2.0 2,142 (+3%) 17mo $249,900 $117 63
29 Knotty Pine Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,318 (+12%) 1mo $259,900 $112 58
2012 Melwood 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,840 (-11%) 9mo $229,900 $125 48
2517 Thunderbird Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,211 (+7%) 6mo $222,500 $101 46
2308 Tilley Cir 0.37mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,194 (+6%) 24mo $99,500 $45 42
3117 Pebble Beach Ln 0.58mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,975 (-5%) 22mo $237,000 $120 40
2514 Thunderbird Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,799 (-13%) 7mo $214,500 $119 33
1210 17th St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,877 (-10%) 15mo $45,000 $24 29
1705 Burton Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,249 (+8%) 23mo $179,900 $80 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.01% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$25,286
Equity at exit
$49,541
10-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$92,906
Equity at exit
$65,894

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77630

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
338
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,691 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$355
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,339
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $360 -5% $319 +0% $278 +5% $237 +10% $196
Rent -10% $145 -5% $211 +0% $278 +5% $345 +10% $412
Rate -1.0pp $351 -0.5pp $315 base $278 +0.5pp $241 +1.0pp $202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2801 W Sunset Dr Orange, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1113 $1,400 $1.26 15d 27 0.33mi
1117 18th St Orange, TX 4.0 2.0 1716 $1,500 $0.87 45d 1 0.70mi
1205 Wrenway Orange, TX 4.0 2.0 1551 $1,775 $1.14 15d 1 0.76mi
20 Pinewood Cir Orange, TX 3.0 2.5 2252 $2,150 $0.95 45d 1 0.79mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 401 Orange, TX 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,725 $1.01 22d 1 1.17mi
4417 Willowglen St Orange, TX 3.0 2.0 1658 $1,650 $1.00 15d 1 1.28mi
306 Bridal Wreath Ave Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 1529 $1,195 $0.78 22d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $144,900 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,900 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,900 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,900 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $144,900 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,900 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $144,900 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,900 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $144,900 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $154,900 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $154,900 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,900 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,900 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $154,900 Active 35 DOM
  17. 2026-04-25
    listed $154,900 Active 727-char remark
  18. 2021-10-29
    soldstatus 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Large Home On A Big Beautiful Lot Close To The Golf Course! Gutted and ready to build back to your liking. This home has a lot of potential, featuring three bedrooms, a large living area, and sits on almost an acre. Call for your tour today!

  19. 2021-10-13
    listed $60,000 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Large Home On A Big Beautiful Lot Close To The Golf Course! Gutted and ready to build back to your liking. This home has a lot of potential, featuring three bedrooms, a large living area, and sits on almost an acre. Call for your tour today!

  20. 2015-01-20
    soldstatus
  21. 2010-06-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,848 · $237/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,848 · $237/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,289
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$2,848
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,623
− Management
−$1,623
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable income
$1,138
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$273
After-tax cash flow
$3,064/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Orange-Cove CISD
NCES district ID
4845090
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$37,329
Composite
15.86/100
National rank
#9260
State rank
#784 of 826 in TX

Livability — Orange

Score
71/100
State rank
#286
US rank
#6456

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Orange, TX
County
Orange County · 87,112 people
City population
22,976
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,983
Household income
$64,373
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
1018.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,065 people
By 2030
89,591 · +1.7%
By 2040
91,982 · +4.4%
By 2050
93,023 · +5.6%
By 2075
94,871 · +7.7%
By 2100
88,155 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 13% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.01%
Current HPI
264.14
Rent YoY
▲ 5.71%
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+141.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $144,900 BBOR
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $154,900 BBOR
  • 2021-10-29 Sold (MLS) BBOR
  • 2021-10-13 Listed $60,000 BBOR
  • 2015-01-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-06-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,848 · +20.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…