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16191 Salem 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 60.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

16191 Salem · Detroit, MI 48219
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 847 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1950 6,970 sqft lot Est $119k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained tenant-occupied home located in a desirable residential neighborhood near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways. Features a full basement and 2-car garage. Currently rented at $1,000 per month. Showings and inspections will be scheduled only upon acceptance of an offer. BATVAI.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Near shopping
  • Full basement

Tags

FULL BASEMENTNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR PARKSNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR MAJOR ROADWAYS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1950
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Lot of 0.16 acres; Public water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Two total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $89,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$119,427) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.28%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$119,427
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16618 Salem St 0.18mi 2/1.0 833 (-2%) 4mo $47,500 $57 85
24859 Puritan 0.11mi 2/1.0 768 (-9%) 2mo $92,000 $120 78
25012 Midland 0.23mi 2/1.0 900 (+6%) 4mo $85,000 $94 76
16230 Winston St 0.12mi 3/1.0 (+1) 917 (+8%) 1mo $80,000 $87 75
15490 Dixie 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+8%) 2mo $135,000 $148 62
15854 Leona Dr 0.42mi 2/1.0 768 (-9%) 5mo $130,000 $169 60
15512 Dixie 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (+9%) 4mo $130,000 $141 59
15887 Beech Daly 0.62mi 2/1.0 898 (+6%) 4mo $158,000 $176 58
16841 Winston St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 954 (+13%) 4mo $95,500 $100 57
15938 Lola Dr 0.48mi 2/1.0 950 (+12%) 3mo $139,000 $146 55
25339 Keeler 0.63mi 2/1.0 768 (-9%) 3mo $141,000 $184 53
17324 Salem St 0.60mi 2/1.0 954 (+13%) 2mo $74,900 $79 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-1,560
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$34,753
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,106 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$254 /mo · $3,046/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $966
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16581 Wormer St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 44d 1 0.33mi
16207 Woodbine St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 5d 1 0.34mi
15490 Dixie Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,600 $1.75 5d 1 0.37mi
16800 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 18d 1 0.41mi
24651 W McNichols Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 44d 4 0.41mi
16131 Dale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 18d 1 0.47mi
24244 Dale St Unit 211 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $800 $1.45 24d 1 0.50mi
24235 W McNichols Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 44d 4 0.52mi
16800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 775 $875 $1.13 44d 1 0.54mi
17324 Salem St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 989 $1,200 $1.21 24d 1 0.63mi
15195 Aubrey Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 769 $1,395 $1.81 17d 1 0.71mi
25822 W 6 Mile Rd Redford Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 24d 1 0.75mi
18302 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1046 $1,475 $1.41 44d 1 1.08mi
15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,325 $1.46 5d 1 1.10mi
18732 Salem Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,050 $1.14 12d 1 1.31mi
14292 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.36mi
14286 Riverview St Unit HF Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.37mi
14302 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.37mi
14298 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 44d 1 1.37mi
14294 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.37mi
14300 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 44d 1 1.37mi
14290 Riverview St Unit 106 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $695 $1.26 44d 1 1.37mi
14290 Riverview St Unit 208 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $845 $1.54 44d 1 1.37mi
14296 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 44d 1 1.37mi
14310 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.37mi
14284 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 44d 1 1.38mi
14282 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 44d 1 1.38mi
14283 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.38mi
14252 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 44d 1 1.38mi
14250 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.38mi
14262 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 44d 1 1.38mi
14272 Riverview St Unit 214 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $695 $1.26 44d 1 1.38mi
14260 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.38mi
14272 Riverview St Apt 213 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $845 $1.54 44d 1 1.38mi
14264 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.38mi
14272 Riverview St Unit 216 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $795 $1.45 44d 1 1.38mi
14266 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.38mi
14268 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 44d 1 1.38mi
14246 Riverview St Unit A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 44d 1 1.39mi
14246 Riverview St Unit RB Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 44d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 301-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,046 · $254/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,046 · $254/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,270
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$3,046
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,062
− Management
−$1,062
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable loss
−$0
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$0
After-tax cash flow
$1,330/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $305,000 Public Records
  • 2023-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
  • 2022-09-01 Price Changed $1,200 RENT.
  • 2022-07-26 Price Changed $1,200 RENT.
  • 2008-01-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-30 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $85,600 Public Records
  • 2005-06-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-12-27 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,046 · +32.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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