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1287 Maryland Ave
C+ Composite 63.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$52,500

1287 Maryland Ave · Johnstown, PA 15906
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,168 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market
5,227 sqft lot Est $37k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move right into this charming 2-bedroom home in Lower Yoder, ideally situated on a quiet no-outlet street with a wooded setting. Lovingly maintained over the years, this home offers a comfortable living room with carpeting and an open staircase, a separate dining room, and a spacious kitchen with all appliances included. Just off the larger bedroom is an 8x10 bonus room, perfect for a home office, nursery, or walk-in closet. Relax and enjoy the beautiful views from the covered front porch. Featuring a newer boiler and low taxes, this well-cared-for home is ready for its next owner. Call today for your personal tour!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Separate dining room
  • 8x10 bonus room

Tags

QUIET NO-OUTLET STREETWOODED SETTINGSEPARATE DINING ROOMSPACIOUS KITCHEN8X10 BONUS ROOMCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer / sewer available
  • Home design: Two-level single family home; Residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range, oven and refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Includes dryer, range, oven, refrigerator and washer; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $52k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($848 rent vs $52k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $363 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $52,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
13.58%
Cash-on-cash
26.01%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$37,376
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
48 D St 0.25mi 2/1.0 1,127 (-4%) 12mo $42,500 $38 70
151 R Stackhouse St 0.15mi 2/1.0 1,024 (-12%) 2mo $39,000 $38 68
612 Virginia Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 1,162 (-0%) 18mo $26,500 $23 64
217 Olds Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,148 (-2%) 8mo $50,000 $44 63
153 D St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,250 (+7%) 15mo $20,000 $16 50
86 K St 0.63mi 2/1.5 1,220 (+4%) 18mo $24,900 $20 48
77 Boyer St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,236 (+6%) 6mo $39,500 $32 46
354 Kennard St 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,086 (-7%) 8mo $35,000 $32 46
222 Strayer St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,160 (-1%) 15mo $34,900 $30 46
120 D St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-14%) 15mo $27,000 $27 42
214 Gable St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,280 (+10%) 11mo $62,000 $48 38
192 Beatty Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-14%) 13mo $33,500 $34 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$11,793
Equity at exit
$7,828
10-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$36,425
Equity at exit
$4,539

Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15906

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$848 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$275
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $652/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $445
Max offer price $52,500
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,125
Closing costs
$1,575
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 Burkhard St Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 856 $825 $0.96 23d 1 0.40mi
213 Stone St Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 989 $1,100 $1.11 23d 1 0.86mi
444 Stone St Unit 444 Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $700 $0.74 23d 1 0.91mi
444 Stone St Johnstown, PA 2.0 1.0 908 $700 $0.77 43d 1 0.93mi
459 Stone St Johnstown, PA 3.0 1.0 1120 $900 $0.80 23d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $52,500 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $52,500 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $52,500 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 623-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $52,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$652 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$741 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$89/yr (+$7/mo · 13.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,180
− Mortgage interest
−$2,941
− Property taxes
−$652
− Insurance
−$262
− Repairs & maintenance
−$814
− Management
−$814
− Depreciation
−$1,527
Taxable income
$3,168
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$760
After-tax cash flow
$3,063/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greater Johnstown SD
NCES district ID
4210950
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,890
Composite
13.25/100
National rank
#9550
State rank
#509 of 539 in PA

Livability — Johnstown

Score
77/100
State rank
#363
US rank
#3168

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,654

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.26%
Current HPI
77.6797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $52,500 CSMLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $652 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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