2932 Q St · Lincoln, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$186,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your offer! Opportunity awaits. Bring your offers! Spacious 5BD/2.5BA home on nearly ¼ acre in a central location near downtown, both campuses, and shopping. Main level features a large kitchen, open living/dining areas, bedroom, and bath. Upstairs includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an arch-enclosed balcony. The third-floor loft offers a huge open space ideal for an office, studio, or additional bedroom. Daylight basement with private entrance and non-conforming bedroom provides excellent guest or rental potential. Enjoy a fully fenced yard, storage shed, and alley access. Flexible layout and strong investment potential, don’t miss this opportunity! Call me to schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Centrally located
- Near downtown
- 3rd floor loft
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $186k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $186k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.74%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $206,077
- List price
- $186,000
- Delta
- -9.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2811 S St | 0.18mi | 5/2.0 | 2,052 (-11%) | 4mo | $199,000 | $97 | 70 |
| 3410 L St | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,355 (+2%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $138 | 63 |
| 425 S 26th St | 0.53mi | 5/1.5 | 2,114 (-8%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $102 | 51 |
| 342 S 29th St | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,647 (+15%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $89 | 49 |
| 3353 M St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,601 (+13%) | 3mo | $399,000 | $153 | 49 |
| 635 S 29th St | 0.60mi | 5/2.0 | 2,084 (-10%) | 12mo | $242,000 | $116 | 46 |
| 3400 X St | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,494 (+8%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $100 | 44 |
| 3601 L St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,094 (-9%) | 5mo | $320,000 | $153 | 44 |
| 1105 N 33rd St | 0.66mi | 5/3.0 | 2,628 (+14%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $116 | 42 |
| 3040 Dudley St | 0.73mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,468 (+7%) | 7mo | $269,000 | $109 | 38 |
| 1070 N 33rd St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,009 (-13%) | 8mo | $362,000 | $180 | 37 |
| 2624 K St | 0.51mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 1,991 (-14%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $73 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-12,688
- Equity at exit
- $27,733
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $8,140
- Equity at exit
- $16,082
Cash invested: $52,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68503
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,987 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$975
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,687/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $293
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,500
- Closing costs
- $5,580
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2608 Q St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $1,550 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2253 Orchard St Unit 1 Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1424 F St Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3091 | $2,095 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $186,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $186,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $186,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $186,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $186,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $186,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $186,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $186,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $186,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $186,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $186,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $186,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $186,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $186,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-08historical
-
2026-03-06$186,000 New 720-char remark
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Bring your offer! Opportunity awaits. Bring your offers! Spacious 5BD/2.5BA home on nearly ¼ acre in a central location near downtown, both campuses, and shopping. Main level features a large kitchen, open living/dining areas, bedroom, and bath. Upstairs includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an arch-enclosed balcony. The third-floor loft offers a huge open space ideal for an office, studio, or additional bedroom. Daylight basement with private entrance and non-conforming bedroom provides excellent guest or rental potential. Enjoy a fully fenced yard, storage shed, and alley access. Flexible layout and strong investment potential, don’t miss this opportunity! Call me to schedule your showing today.
-
2026-03-06$186,000 New
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Bring your offer! Opportunity awaits. Bring your offers! Spacious 5BD/2.5BA home on nearly ¼ acre in a central location near downtown, both campuses, and shopping. Main level features a large kitchen, open living/dining areas, bedroom, and bath. Upstairs includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an arch-enclosed balcony. The third-floor loft offers a huge open space ideal for an office, studio, or additional bedroom. Daylight basement with private entrance and non-conforming bedroom provides excellent guest or rental potential. Enjoy a fully fenced yard, storage shed, and alley access. Flexible layout and strong investment potential, don’t miss this opportunity! Call me to schedule your showing today.
-
2026-03-06historical
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Bring your offer! Opportunity awaits. Bring your offers! Spacious 5BD/2.5BA home on nearly ¼ acre in a central location near downtown, both campuses, and shopping. Main level features a large kitchen, open living/dining areas, bedroom, and bath. Upstairs includes 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an arch-enclosed balcony. The third-floor loft offers a huge open space ideal for an office, studio, or additional bedroom. Daylight basement with private entrance and non-conforming bedroom provides excellent guest or rental potential. Enjoy a fully fenced yard, storage shed, and alley access. Flexible layout and strong investment potential, don’t miss this opportunity! Call me to schedule your showing today.
-
2026-01-06$189,000 New
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2026-01-05price $189,000
-
2025-10-14$199,000 New
-
2022-01-14status Pending
-
2022-01-06historical
-
2021-11-17price $150,000
-
2021-10-20$160,000 Active - New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,687 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,218 · $268/mo
- Expected delta
- +$531/yr (+$44/mo · 19.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,419
- − Property taxes
- −$2,687
- − Insurance
- −$930
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,907
- − Management
- −$1,907
- − Depreciation
- −$5,411
- Taxable income
- $579
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$139
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,373/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172840
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,273
- Composite
- 44.05/100
- National rank
- #2880
- State rank
- #59 of 111 in NE
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, NE
- County
- Lancaster County · 291,509 people
- City population
- 291,509
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,867
- Household income
- $54,232
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 820.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 352,806 people
- By 2030
- 377,899 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 428,582 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 483,103 · +36.9%
- By 2075
- 632,390 · +79.2%
- By 2100
- 759,513 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.46%
- Current HPI
- 260.3421
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.39%
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+16.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-08 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $186,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $186,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-01-06 Listed $189,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $189,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-10-14 Listed $199,000 GPRMLS
- 2022-01-14 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2022-01-06 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2021-11-17 Price Changed $150,000 GPRMLS
- 2021-10-20 Listed $160,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,687 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…