3022 Orchard Ct · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
$335,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect Location! Wonderful Gated Community close to the Medical Center and easy on and off access to Interstate 610. Less than 10 miles to Downtown and Uptown Park and even closer to the shopping and dining in Rice Village, the Houston Zoo, Hermann Park and WildCat Golf Club. Lovely Free Standing Patio Home with three huge bedrooms each with private bathrooms ensuite. Surround sound home theaters in 2nd floor Living Room and in first floor Bedroom/Exercise room/Game Room. Perfect open floor plan for entertaining while maintaining a warm, inviting and quiet peacefulness. Kitchen has electric stove and oven, though gas is also available for gas stove and cooktop. Double drawer dishwashers, additional double drawer refrigerators in extended kitchen island with 5 custom made bar stools. Romantic Electric firebox with mantle in primary bedroom. K-9 grass in back yard and two french drains for easy cleanup. The Orchard never flooded. Freshly painted for move-in ready purchase.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Backyard access
- 1,794 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered
- HOA & community: The Orchard HOA with annual fee of $4,200
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2005; Slab foundation
- Construction: Stucco construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Subdivision setting; Backs to greenbelt/park
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on third level (18x13); Additional bedroom on third level (11x14); Bedroom on first level (18x13)
- Flooring: Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Decorative electric free-standing fireplaces (2 total)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $335k).
- Recommended offer: $330k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Shearn El (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #4,021 of 4,322 statewide, top 94%, 478 students, 97% FRL); Pershing Middle (math 36% / reading 49%, grade D-, #553 of 1,662 statewide, top 34%, 1,390 students, 60% FRL); Madison H S (math 9% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,537 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,924 students, 93% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 272 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,707/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2814% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 12785% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.40%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $350,143
- List price
- $335,000
- Delta
- -4.32%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9910 Orchard Ct | 0.03mi | 3/3.5 | 2,540 (-3%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $138 | 90 |
| 10416 Marston Vineyard Dr | 0.48mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,619 (-0%) | 13mo | $489,000 | $187 | 62 |
| 2610 Starboard Point Dr | 0.37mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,478 (-6%) | 10mo | $410,000 | $165 | 60 |
| 9281 Buffalo Speedway | 0.67mi | 3/3.5 | 2,731 (+4%) | 3mo | $449,900 | $165 | 60 |
| 9030 Lakes At 610 Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 2,328 (-11%) | 4mo | $329,900 | $142 | 54 |
| 2617 Edgefield Lakes Dr | 0.52mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,419 (-8%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $159 | 49 |
| 2619 Edgefield Lakes Dr | 0.52mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,276 (-13%) | 4mo | $370,000 | $163 | 45 |
| 9814 Abigail Grace Ct | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 2,284 (-13%) | 6mo | $314,900 | $138 | 45 |
| 9830 Samantha Suzanne Ct | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 2,284 (-13%) | 9mo | $345,000 | $151 | 41 |
| 9614 Mariposa St | 0.47mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 3,004 (+14%) | 11mo | $899,000 | $299 | 38 |
| 9705 Riddlewood Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 2,285 (-13%) | 11mo | $349,900 | $153 | 34 |
| 9707 Riddlewood Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 2,285 (-13%) | 12mo | $339,500 | $149 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-57,805
- Equity at exit
- $49,950
- IRR
- -19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-81,850
- Equity at exit
- $28,965
Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77054
- Home prices YoY
- -2.6%
- Rents YoY
- -2.8%
- Active inventory
- 272
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,707 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$573 /mo · $6,872/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$350
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$778
- Net cashflow
- $110
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $299 | -5% $204 | +0% $110 | +5% $15 | +10% $-80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-183 | -5% $-37 | +0% $110 | +5% $256 | +10% $402 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $278 | -0.5pp $195 | base $110 | +0.5pp $23 | +1.0pp $-66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,750
- Closing costs
- $10,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9016 Bayview Cove Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2245 | $4,200 | $1.87 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 9715 Riddlewood Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2285 | $3,200 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 8314 Greenbush St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1952 | $9,500 | $4.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8314 Greenbush St Unit 1019557P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1948 | $16,712 | $8.58 | 26d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3627 Main Plaza Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2014 | $2,200 | $1.09 | 9d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11504 Main Elm Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2042 | $2,450 | $1.20 | 7d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11504 Main Elm Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2042 | $2,450 | $1.20 | 9d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9306 Bassoon Dr Unit 1024979P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1819 | $13,361 | $7.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 9306 Bassoon Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $9,750 | $5.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3838 N Braeswood Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1266 | $3,213 | $2.54 | 3d | 35 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $350 · $4,200/yr
- Likely covers
- gaselectricsecurity
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $335,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $335,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $335,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $335,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $335,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $335,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $335,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $335,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $335,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $335,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $335,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $340,000 968-char remark
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2026-04-22price $345,000 968-char remark
-
2026-04-12price $420,000 968-char remark
-
2026-04-03price $2,700
-
2026-03-14$2,900
-
2026-03-13$440,000 Active 968-char remark
-
2023-11-08soldstatus
-
2022-09-02soldstatus
-
2022-09-01soldstatus Sold 989-char remark
Show marketing remark (989 chars)
Perfect Location! Wonderful Gated Community close to the Medical Center and easy on and off access to Interstate 610. Less than 10 miles to Downtown and Uptown Park and even closer to the shopping and dining in Rice Village, the Houston Zoo, Hermann Park and WildCat Golf Club. Lovely Free Standing Patio Home with three huge bedrooms each with private bathrooms ensuite. Surround sound home theaters in 2nd floor Living Room and in first floor Bedroom/Exercise room/Game Room. Perfect open floor plan for entertaining while maintaining a warm, inviting and quiet peacefulness. Kitchen has electric stove and oven, though gas is also available for gas stove and cooktop. Double drawer dishwashers, additional double drawer refrigerators in extended kitchen island with 5 custom made bar stools. Romantic Electric firebox with mantle in primary bedroom. K-9 grass in back yard and two french drains for easy cleanup. The Orchard never flooded. Freshly painted for move-in ready purchase.
-
2022-08-16status Pending 989-char remark
Show marketing remark (989 chars)
Perfect Location! Wonderful Gated Community close to the Medical Center and easy on and off access to Interstate 610. Less than 10 miles to Downtown and Uptown Park and even closer to the shopping and dining in Rice Village, the Houston Zoo, Hermann Park and WildCat Golf Club. Lovely Free Standing Patio Home with three huge bedrooms each with private bathrooms ensuite. Surround sound home theaters in 2nd floor Living Room and in first floor Bedroom/Exercise room/Game Room. Perfect open floor plan for entertaining while maintaining a warm, inviting and quiet peacefulness. Kitchen has electric stove and oven, though gas is also available for gas stove and cooktop. Double drawer dishwashers, additional double drawer refrigerators in extended kitchen island with 5 custom made bar stools. Romantic Electric firebox with mantle in primary bedroom. K-9 grass in back yard and two french drains for easy cleanup. The Orchard never flooded. Freshly painted for move-in ready purchase.
-
2022-08-05status Option Pending 989-char remark
Show marketing remark (989 chars)
Perfect Location! Wonderful Gated Community close to the Medical Center and easy on and off access to Interstate 610. Less than 10 miles to Downtown and Uptown Park and even closer to the shopping and dining in Rice Village, the Houston Zoo, Hermann Park and WildCat Golf Club. Lovely Free Standing Patio Home with three huge bedrooms each with private bathrooms ensuite. Surround sound home theaters in 2nd floor Living Room and in first floor Bedroom/Exercise room/Game Room. Perfect open floor plan for entertaining while maintaining a warm, inviting and quiet peacefulness. Kitchen has electric stove and oven, though gas is also available for gas stove and cooktop. Double drawer dishwashers, additional double drawer refrigerators in extended kitchen island with 5 custom made bar stools. Romantic Electric firebox with mantle in primary bedroom. K-9 grass in back yard and two french drains for easy cleanup. The Orchard never flooded. Freshly painted for move-in ready purchase.
-
2022-07-31price $359,000 989-char remark
Show marketing remark (989 chars)
Perfect Location! Wonderful Gated Community close to the Medical Center and easy on and off access to Interstate 610. Less than 10 miles to Downtown and Uptown Park and even closer to the shopping and dining in Rice Village, the Houston Zoo, Hermann Park and WildCat Golf Club. Lovely Free Standing Patio Home with three huge bedrooms each with private bathrooms ensuite. Surround sound home theaters in 2nd floor Living Room and in first floor Bedroom/Exercise room/Game Room. Perfect open floor plan for entertaining while maintaining a warm, inviting and quiet peacefulness. Kitchen has electric stove and oven, though gas is also available for gas stove and cooktop. Double drawer dishwashers, additional double drawer refrigerators in extended kitchen island with 5 custom made bar stools. Romantic Electric firebox with mantle in primary bedroom. K-9 grass in back yard and two french drains for easy cleanup. The Orchard never flooded. Freshly painted for move-in ready purchase.
-
2022-07-28price $368,000 989-char remark
Show marketing remark (989 chars)
Perfect Location! Wonderful Gated Community close to the Medical Center and easy on and off access to Interstate 610. Less than 10 miles to Downtown and Uptown Park and even closer to the shopping and dining in Rice Village, the Houston Zoo, Hermann Park and WildCat Golf Club. Lovely Free Standing Patio Home with three huge bedrooms each with private bathrooms ensuite. Surround sound home theaters in 2nd floor Living Room and in first floor Bedroom/Exercise room/Game Room. Perfect open floor plan for entertaining while maintaining a warm, inviting and quiet peacefulness. Kitchen has electric stove and oven, though gas is also available for gas stove and cooktop. Double drawer dishwashers, additional double drawer refrigerators in extended kitchen island with 5 custom made bar stools. Romantic Electric firebox with mantle in primary bedroom. K-9 grass in back yard and two french drains for easy cleanup. The Orchard never flooded. Freshly painted for move-in ready purchase.
-
2022-07-16price $369,000 989-char remark
Show marketing remark (989 chars)
Perfect Location! Wonderful Gated Community close to the Medical Center and easy on and off access to Interstate 610. Less than 10 miles to Downtown and Uptown Park and even closer to the shopping and dining in Rice Village, the Houston Zoo, Hermann Park and WildCat Golf Club. Lovely Free Standing Patio Home with three huge bedrooms each with private bathrooms ensuite. Surround sound home theaters in 2nd floor Living Room and in first floor Bedroom/Exercise room/Game Room. Perfect open floor plan for entertaining while maintaining a warm, inviting and quiet peacefulness. Kitchen has electric stove and oven, though gas is also available for gas stove and cooktop. Double drawer dishwashers, additional double drawer refrigerators in extended kitchen island with 5 custom made bar stools. Romantic Electric firebox with mantle in primary bedroom. K-9 grass in back yard and two french drains for easy cleanup. The Orchard never flooded. Freshly painted for move-in ready purchase.
-
2022-06-30$389,000 Active 989-char remark
Show marketing remark (989 chars)
Perfect Location! Wonderful Gated Community close to the Medical Center and easy on and off access to Interstate 610. Less than 10 miles to Downtown and Uptown Park and even closer to the shopping and dining in Rice Village, the Houston Zoo, Hermann Park and WildCat Golf Club. Lovely Free Standing Patio Home with three huge bedrooms each with private bathrooms ensuite. Surround sound home theaters in 2nd floor Living Room and in first floor Bedroom/Exercise room/Game Room. Perfect open floor plan for entertaining while maintaining a warm, inviting and quiet peacefulness. Kitchen has electric stove and oven, though gas is also available for gas stove and cooktop. Double drawer dishwashers, additional double drawer refrigerators in extended kitchen island with 5 custom made bar stools. Romantic Electric firebox with mantle in primary bedroom. K-9 grass in back yard and two french drains for easy cleanup. The Orchard never flooded. Freshly painted for move-in ready purchase.
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2014-09-10soldstatus
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2014-09-03soldstatus Sold
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2014-09-01status Pending, Continue to Show
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2014-08-21status Option Pending
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2014-07-03$399,900 Active
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2007-09-26historical
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2007-07-24$395,000
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2006-03-22historical
-
2005-04-18$299,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,872 · $573/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,872 · $573/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,485
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,765
- − Property taxes
- −$6,872
- − Insurance
- −$1,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,559
- − Management
- −$3,559
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$9,745
- Taxable loss
- −$3,890
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$934
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,272
- Household income
- $62,106
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2814.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% Asian 22% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · China, Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 7% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.51%
- Current HPI
- 170.4017
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.82%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-99.1% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-20 Price Changed $2,550 HARMLS
- 2026-06-06 Listed for Rent $2,600 HARMLS
- 2026-06-05 Rental Removed $2,600 HARMLS
- 2026-06-05 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-06-05 Listed $335,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $335,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $2,600 HARMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $340,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $345,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $420,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $2,700 HARMLS
- 2026-03-14 Listed for Rent $2,900 HARMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $440,000 HARMLS
- 2023-11-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-09-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-09-01 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2022-08-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-08-05 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-07-31 Price Changed $359,000 HARMLS
- 2022-07-28 Price Changed $368,000 HARMLS
- 2022-07-16 Price Changed $369,000 HARMLS
- 2022-06-30 Listed $389,000 HARMLS
- 2014-09-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-09-03 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2014-09-01 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-08-21 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-07-03 Listed $399,900 HARMLS
- 2007-09-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2007-07-24 Listed $395,000 HARMLS
- 2006-03-22 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2005-04-18 Listed $299,900 HARMLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,872 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…