3725 Kershaw Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This West Toledo home has been loved and meticulously cared for by the same owner for over 40 years! Built-in shelves flank the fireplace, cove ceilings and large picture window provides natural light in spacious living room. Oversize arched doorway opens living room to dining area that features a sliding door to the back deck. Kitchen with white cabinets and appliances stay. On the upper level you will find 3 bedrooms with ceiling fans & ample closet space; hardwood in 2 of the bedrooms. Updated full bath. Lower level finished area provides added living space, separate laundry area - washer/dryer stay, half bath, and a room perfect for storage! Replacement windows/glass block. Brand
Key facts
- 5,600 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Concrete parking surfaces; Approximately 2 parking spaces (including 1.5 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Sanitary sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); Two levels; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Block foundation; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Deck; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (upper level); Bedroom 2 (upper level); Bedroom 3 (upper level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Cove ceilings; Built-in features; Full, partially finished basement; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($350/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (14.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Deveaux Elementary School (math 13% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,400 of 1,584 statewide, top 90%, 475 students, 0% FRL); Start High School (math 11% / reading 33%, grade F, #672 of 781 statewide, top 86%, 1,242 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.89%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,775
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3725 Kershaw Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,225 (0%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $118 | 97 |
| 3656 Anderson Pkwy | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,180 (-4%) | 1mo | $167,000 | $142 | 90 |
| 3664 Sherbrooke Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,255 (+2%) | 0mo | $149,000 | $119 | 83 |
| 2239 Eastbrook Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,238 (+1%) | 2mo | $156,000 | $126 | 78 |
| 3424 Saint Bernard Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,281 (+5%) | 1mo | $154,400 | $121 | 70 |
| 3621 Sherbrooke Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,119 (-9%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $83 | 69 |
| 3509 Rushland Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,286 (+5%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $156 | 69 |
| 2044 Brussels St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-2%) | 1mo | $59,900 | $50 | 68 |
| 3720 Kelly Ave Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,189 (-3%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $118 | 66 |
| 1936 Mansfield St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,168 (-5%) | 1mo | $79,900 | $68 | 64 |
| 2014 Barrows St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,069 (-13%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 3848 Drummond Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,324 (+8%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $132 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-20,467
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-13,998
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43613
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,194 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,467/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $29
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3644 Harley Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $975 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2301 Portsmouth Ave Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $1,395 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3430 Anderson Pkwy Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2244 W Sylvania Ave Unit 6 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1951 Loxley Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $975 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3683 Upton Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4030 Elmhurst Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4030 Elmhurst Rd Apt 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $900 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1846 Loxley Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $900 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3022 Letchworth Pkwy Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $970 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1732 Talbot St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1731 Mansfield Rd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1138 | $1,195 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3070 Carskaddon Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1838 Giant St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1705 Marlow Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $1,000 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2802 Gunckel Blvd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,100 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2734 Powhattan Pkwy Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $900 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1804 Bigelow St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $937 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2956 Central Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,495 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2956 Central Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4315 Garden Park Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,423 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3835 Monroe St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1718 Giant St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2650 Christie St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $849 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3803 Monroe St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $850 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4435 Jackman Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $922 | $1.27 | 13d | 3 | 1.12mi |
| 3817 Burton Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $1,015 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1489 Berdan Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3901 Leybourn Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,150 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2704 Kenwood Blvd Toledo, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,488 | $1.80 | 13d | 71 | 1.20mi |
| 4137 Secor Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $921 | $1.23 | 13d | 7 | 1.22mi |
| 4038 Lyman Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,395 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3519 Secor Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $930 | $1.28 | 13d | 5 | 1.27mi |
| 1573 Jermain Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $1,195 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4120 Parrakeet Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3606 Revere Dr Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3713 Hazelhurst Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1352 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3805 Hoiles Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1370 | $1,025 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4223 Birchall Rd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1338 | $1,395 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3725 Hoiles Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,245 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-18historical Contingent
-
2026-04-17$139,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,467 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,825 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$358/yr (+$30/mo · 24.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,329
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,467
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,146
- − Management
- −$1,146
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$2,036
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$489
- After-tax cash flow
- $838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,780
- Household income
- $64,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 917.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 15% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.37%
- Current HPI
- 239.1345
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Contingent — NORIS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $139,900 NORIS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,467 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…