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541 Whittier Ave
C- Composite 51.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$215,000

541 Whittier Ave · Syracuse, NY 13204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1920 4,125 sqft lot Est $201k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely remodeled home in a great location. Walking distance to Burnet Park! The home has brand new carpet, a brand new kitchen with formica countertops, freshly painted throughout, remodeled bathroom, sealed dry basement. Wonderful enclosed porch and a two car detached garage!

Key facts

  • Quartz counters
  • Built in shelving
  • Newer appliances

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSBUILT IN SHELVINGFIREPLACEQUARTZ COUNTERSBACKSPLASHNEWER APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with electricity and garage door opener; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available; Circuit breaker electric panel
  • Home design: 2-story single-family home; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Enclosed porch; Porch; Fully fenced yard; Blacktop driveway; Corner lot; Near public transit; Rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Quartz countertops; Breakfast bar
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Separate/formal dining room; Kitchen island; Open living/dining area; Quartz countertops; Sliding glass door(s); Storage; Natural woodwork
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (located in basement); Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,837/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2073% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $104k; list at $215k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $183,685 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.93%
Cash-on-cash
2.27%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$200,736
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
541 Whittier Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,312 (0%) 0mo $285,100 $217 100
415 Whittier Ave 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,364 (+4%) 7mo $220,000 $161 78
557 Tennyson Ave 0.11mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,427 (+9%) 3mo $220,000 $154 70
112 Bryant Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,292 (-2%) 4mo $165,000 $128 70
513 Whittier Ave 0.04mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,457 (+11%) 1mo $202,000 $139 69
461 Whittier Ave 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,462 (+11%) 6mo $175,000 $120 69
619 Ulster St 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (-7%) 2mo $243,500 $199 66
1907 W Genesee St 0.56mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,328 (+1%) 4mo $118,000 $89 63
305 Myrtle St 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,176 (-10%) 1mo $272,500 $232 60
201 Cadwell St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,352 (+3%) 0mo $75,000 $55 60
629 S Wilbur Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,389 (+6%) 2mo $124,000 $89 54
311 Erie St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,157 (-12%) 3mo $177,000 $153 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$134,002
Equity at exit
$193,689
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
7.86×
Total profit
$412,824
Equity at exit
$417,698

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13204

Home prices YoY
31.6%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,837 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,440/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$114

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,692
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $236 -5% $175 +0% $114 +5% $53 +10% $-8
Rent -10% $-31 -5% $41 +0% $114 +5% $187 +10% $259
Rate -1.0pp $222 -0.5pp $169 base $114 +0.5pp $58 +1.0pp $2

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
349 Bryant Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,300 $1.53 14d 1 0.23mi
121 Whittier Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $600 $0.43 44d 1 0.52mi
202 Cayuga St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,750 $1.69 14d 1 0.55mi
1741 W Onondaga St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 14d 3 0.70mi
315 Grant Ave #17 Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,275 $0.86 14d 1 0.99mi
1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,500 $1.04 44d 1 1.01mi
410 Chemung St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 14d 1 1.09mi
122 Putnam St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1064 $2,050 $1.93 21d 1 1.13mi
318 Kellogg St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1523 $1,675 $1.10 44d 1 1.15mi
318 Kellogg St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1523 $1,650 $1.08 44d 1 1.15mi
121 W End Dr Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1082 $1,500 $1.39 14d 1 1.18mi
409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 849 $1,575 $1.86 14d 5 1.25mi
538 Erie Blvd W Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1110 $2,100 $1.89 21d 1 1.37mi
306 Hall Ave Unit Left Side Solvay, NY 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,750 $1.56 44d 1 1.47mi
5111 Ball Rd Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1138 $1,820 $1.60 14d 16 1.50mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-09
    listed $215,000 Active
  4. 2014-04-30
    historical 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Completely remodeled home in a great location. Walking distance to Burnet Park! The home has brand new carpet, a brand new kitchen with formica countertops, freshly painted throughout, remodeled bathroom, sealed dry basement. Wonderful enclosed porch and a two car detached garage!

  5. 2014-04-28
    soldstatus $103,900 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Completely remodeled home in a great location. Walking distance to Burnet Park! The home has brand new carpet, a brand new kitchen with formica countertops, freshly painted throughout, remodeled bathroom, sealed dry basement. Wonderful enclosed porch and a two car detached garage!

  6. 2014-03-05
    listed $104,900 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Completely remodeled home in a great location. Walking distance to Burnet Park! The home has brand new carpet, a brand new kitchen with formica countertops, freshly painted throughout, remodeled bathroom, sealed dry basement. Wonderful enclosed porch and a two car detached garage!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,440 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,537 · $211/mo
Expected delta
+$1,097/yr (+$91/mo · 76.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,042
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$1,440
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,763
− Management
−$1,763
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$2,297
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$551
After-tax cash flow
$1,920/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,440
Household income
$45,351
Rent vs Own
70.8% rent · 29.2% own
Severe rent burden
2073.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 100.14%
Current HPI
416.7272
Rent YoY
▲ 8.24%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+105.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $215,000 CNYIS
  • 2014-04-30 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2014-04-28 Sold (MLS) $103,900 CNYIS
  • 2014-03-05 Listed $104,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,440 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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