541 Whittier Ave · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely remodeled home in a great location. Walking distance to Burnet Park! The home has brand new carpet, a brand new kitchen with formica countertops, freshly painted throughout, remodeled bathroom, sealed dry basement. Wonderful enclosed porch and a two car detached garage!
Key facts
- Quartz counters
- Built in shelving
- Newer appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with electricity and garage door opener; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available; Circuit breaker electric panel
- Home design: 2-story single-family home; Existing construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Deck; Enclosed porch; Porch; Fully fenced yard; Blacktop driveway; Corner lot; Near public transit; Rectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Quartz countertops; Breakfast bar
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Separate/formal dining room; Kitchen island; Open living/dining area; Quartz countertops; Sliding glass door(s); Storage; Natural woodwork
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (located in basement); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (14.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,837/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2073% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $104k; list at $215k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.27%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,736
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 541 Whittier Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (0%) | 0mo | $285,100 | $217 | 100 |
| 415 Whittier Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,364 (+4%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $161 | 78 |
| 557 Tennyson Ave | 0.11mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,427 (+9%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $154 | 70 |
| 112 Bryant Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,292 (-2%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $128 | 70 |
| 513 Whittier Ave | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,457 (+11%) | 1mo | $202,000 | $139 | 69 |
| 461 Whittier Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,462 (+11%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $120 | 69 |
| 619 Ulster St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-7%) | 2mo | $243,500 | $199 | 66 |
| 1907 W Genesee St | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+1%) | 4mo | $118,000 | $89 | 63 |
| 305 Myrtle St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (-10%) | 1mo | $272,500 | $232 | 60 |
| 201 Cadwell St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,352 (+3%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $55 | 60 |
| 629 S Wilbur Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,389 (+6%) | 2mo | $124,000 | $89 | 54 |
| 311 Erie St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,157 (-12%) | 3mo | $177,000 | $153 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $134,002
- Equity at exit
- $193,689
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.86×
- Total profit
- $412,824
- Equity at exit
- $417,698
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13204
- Home prices YoY
- 31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,837 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,440/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $114
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $236 | -5% $175 | +0% $114 | +5% $53 | +10% $-8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-31 | -5% $41 | +0% $114 | +5% $187 | +10% $259 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $222 | -0.5pp $169 | base $114 | +0.5pp $58 | +1.0pp $2 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 349 Bryant Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 121 Whittier Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $600 | $0.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 202 Cayuga St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,750 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1741 W Onondaga St Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 14d | 3 | 0.70mi |
| 315 Grant Ave #17 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,275 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 410 Chemung St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 122 Putnam St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,050 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 318 Kellogg St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1523 | $1,675 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 318 Kellogg St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1523 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 121 W End Dr Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1082 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,575 | $1.86 | 14d | 5 | 1.25mi |
| 538 Erie Blvd W Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 306 Hall Ave Unit Left Side Solvay, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 5111 Ball Rd Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1138 | $1,820 | $1.60 | 14d | 16 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-13historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-09$215,000 Active
-
2014-04-30historical 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Completely remodeled home in a great location. Walking distance to Burnet Park! The home has brand new carpet, a brand new kitchen with formica countertops, freshly painted throughout, remodeled bathroom, sealed dry basement. Wonderful enclosed porch and a two car detached garage!
-
2014-04-28soldstatus $103,900 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Completely remodeled home in a great location. Walking distance to Burnet Park! The home has brand new carpet, a brand new kitchen with formica countertops, freshly painted throughout, remodeled bathroom, sealed dry basement. Wonderful enclosed porch and a two car detached garage!
-
2014-03-05$104,900 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Completely remodeled home in a great location. Walking distance to Burnet Park! The home has brand new carpet, a brand new kitchen with formica countertops, freshly painted throughout, remodeled bathroom, sealed dry basement. Wonderful enclosed porch and a two car detached garage!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,440 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,537 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,097/yr (+$91/mo · 76.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$1,440
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,763
- − Management
- −$1,763
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$2,297
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$551
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,920/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,440
- Household income
- $45,351
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2073.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 100.14%
- Current HPI
- 416.7272
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.24%
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+105.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-13 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $215,000 CNYIS
- 2014-04-30 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2014-04-28 Sold (MLS) $103,900 CNYIS
- 2014-03-05 Listed $104,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,440 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…