12620 Pecan St · Grand Bay, AL 36541

$151,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,180 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market

Built 1985 7,496 sqft lot $128/sqft · 22% below area Est $193k · 22% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.8/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +7.3/10.0
• 1% rule +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

Key facts

• Breakfast nook
• Stainless steel sink
• Remodeled kitchen

Tags

• CENTRAL AIR UNIT
• DEDICATED LAUNDRY AREA
• ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORS
• REMODELED KITCHEN
• BREAKFAST NOOK
• STAINLESS STEEL SINK

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $151k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (0.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $133k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.3% in Grand Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#103 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
• Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $70k; list at $151k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $132,880 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.99% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.48%
• DSCR: 1.33
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $192,941
• List price: $151,000
• Delta: -21.74%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
12301 Oakdale Ave	0.54mi	3/2.0	1,200 (+2%)	3mo	$174,000	$145	68
9101 Mccollough Rd	0.19mi	3/2.0	1,280 (+8%)	9mo	$279,000	$218	68
10601 Hillcrest Dr E	0.58mi	3/1.5	1,170 (-1%)	13mo	$97,375	$83	61
12460 Dailey Rd	0.70mi	3/2.0	1,242 (+5%)	5mo	$211,500	$170	52
12700 Longview Dr	0.56mi	3/2.0	1,292 (+10%)	5mo	$207,500	$161	52
10530 Mildred Ave	0.33mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,320 (+12%)	9mo	$195,000	$148	50
12670 Longview Dr	0.56mi	3/1.0	1,200 (+2%)	23mo	$35,000	$29	50
10815 Douglas Rd	0.66mi	3/2.0	1,183 (+0%)	20mo	$155,000	$131	50
12275 Oakdale Ave	0.59mi	2/2.5 (-1)	1,080 (-8%)	8mo	$160,500	$149	43
10039 Pecan St	0.70mi	3/1.0	1,120 (-5%)	21mo	$115,000	$103	39
10125 Pecan St	0.61mi	3/1.0	1,074 (-9%)	23mo	$110,000	$102	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -4.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.82×
• Total profit: $-7,736
• Equity at exit: $22,515

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.35×
• Total profit: $14,664
• Equity at exit: $13,056

Cash invested: $42,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36541

• Home prices YoY: -21.0%
• Active inventory: 135
• Price-to-rent: 8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,500 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$792
• Tax from tax record: −$67 /mo · $800/yr
• Insurance: −$63
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$315
• Net cashflow: $264

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,166

Max offer price $151,000

Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $349	-5% $306	+0% $264	+5% $221	+10% $178
Rent	-10% $145	-5% $204	+0% $264	+5% $323	+10% $382
Rate	-1.0pp $340	-0.5pp $302	base $264	+0.5pp $224	+1.0pp $185

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,750
• Closing costs: $4,530
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
12180 Franklin Creek Ct Grand Bay, AL	3.0	2.0	1345	$1,500	$1.12	14d	1	1.18mi

Listing history 37 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $151,000 Active 128 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $151,000 Active 125 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $151,000 Active 124 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   price $151,000 Active 123 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $152,000 Active 123 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $152,000 Active 122 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $152,000 Active 120 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $152,000 Active 119 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $152,000 Active 117 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $152,000 Active 116 DOM
11. 2026-06-09
    price $152,000 Active 115 DOM
12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $153,000 Active 115 DOM
13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $153,000 Active 114 DOM
14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $153,000 Active 111 DOM
15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $153,000 Active 110 DOM
16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $153,000 Active 109 DOM
17. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $153,000 Active 108 DOM
18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,000 Active 107 DOM
19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $154,000 Active 106 DOM
20. 2026-05-18
    price $155,000 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

21. 2026-05-11
    price $156,000 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

22. 2026-05-04
    price $157,000 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

23. 2026-04-27
    price $158,000 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

24. 2026-04-20
    price $159,000 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

25. 2026-04-13
    price $160,000 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

26. 2026-04-06
    price $161,000 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

27. 2026-03-30
    price $162,000 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

28. 2026-03-23
    price $163,000 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

29. 2026-03-16
    price $164,000 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

30. 2026-02-13
    listed $165,000 Active 1177-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1177 chars)

    Welcome to this adorable three-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bathroom cottage located in the desirable Grand Bay neighborhood. Meticulously renovated throughout, this home is sure to impress with its inviting features and thoughtful updates. Central air unit ensures comfortable climate year-round. Dedicated laundry area adds convenience to everyday living. Beautiful original hardwood floors accent the bedrooms, providing warmth and character. The remodeled kitchen includes breakfast nook for casual meals. White cabinets and butcher block style countertops. Stainless steel sink and fixture. Stainless range with glass top. The den offers versatile options, whether like a family room, formal living space, game room, or a spacious office. It features a half bath and a separate entrance for added functionality. Corner lot location offers additional privacy and curb appeal. Fresh paint inside and out gives the home a clean, modern look. New lighting fixtures and numerous ceiling fans enhance comfort and style. An awesome covered patio is perfect for cool evenings and outdoor cooking. Property is sold as is, where is. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

31. 2024-07-26
    historical $1,500
32. 2024-07-08
    price $1,500
33. 2024-06-07
    listed $1,700
34. 2021-04-22
    soldstatus $70,000
35. 2021-04-20
    soldstatus $70,000 460-char remark

    Show marketing remark (460 chars)

    Looking for a cute little cottage right in the middle of Grand Bay? This is the one for you. This home has great potential and could easily be renovated to meet your own personal tastes. This home features a split floor plan with 3 bedrooms and one bath in the main part of the home and a large master bedroom or bonus room just off the kitchen. The current owner has used this as a rental property so there is some potential to use this as an income property.

36. 2007-04-03
    soldstatus $184,000
37. 2006-10-04
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $800 · $67/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $800 · $67/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,000
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,458
• − Property taxes: −$800
• − Insurance: −$755
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,440
• − Management: −$1,440
• − Depreciation: −$4,393
• Taxable income: $714
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$171
• After-tax cash flow: $2,991/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mobile County
• NCES district ID: 0102370
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -28.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $42,455
• Composite: 22.9/100
• National rank: #8002
• State rank: #81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Grand Bay

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #103
• US rank: #11625

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Grand Bay, AL
• City population: 16,353
• Population (ZIP): 16,353

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 415,303 people
• By 2030: 411,755 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 399,670 · -3.8%
• By 2050: 382,616 · -7.9%
• By 2075: 337,353 · -18.8%
• By 2100: 283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 5% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

• 2024 margin: R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -55.38%
• Current HPI: 208.4722
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

+93.8% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-18 Price Changed $155,000 GCMLS AL
• 2026-05-11 Price Changed $156,000 GCMLS AL
• 2026-05-04 Price Changed $157,000 GCMLS AL
• 2026-04-27 Price Changed $158,000 GCMLS AL
• 2026-04-20 Price Changed $159,000 GCMLS AL
• 2026-04-13 Price Changed $160,000 GCMLS AL
• 2026-04-06 Price Changed $161,000 GCMLS AL
• 2026-03-30 Price Changed $162,000 GCMLS AL
• 2026-03-23 Price Changed $163,000 GCMLS AL
• 2026-03-16 Price Changed $164,000 GCMLS AL
• 2026-02-13 Listed $165,000 GCMLS AL
• 2024-07-26 Rental Removed $1,500 GCMLSAL
• 2024-07-08 Price Changed $1,500 GCMLSAL
• 2024-06-07 Listed for Rent $1,700 GCMLSAL
• 2021-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
• 2021-04-20 Sold (MLS) $70,000 GCMLS AL
• 2007-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $184,000 Public Records
• 2006-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $800 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.