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1612 Topping Ave
A Composite 85.22
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$83,000

1612 Topping Ave · Kansas City, MO 64126
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1910 5,613 sqft lot $62/sqft · 20% below area Est $104k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SELLING "AS IS" - NO SELLER'S DISCLOSURES. Minimum $1000 certified earnest deposit. Need pre-approval/proof of funds submitted with all offers.

Key facts

  • 5,613 sq ft lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 34 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 1.5-story floor plan
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 5,613 square feet; Flood plain status unknown

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gravity heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Concrete basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($574 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,510 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.88%
Cash-on-cash
23.51%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$103,587
List price
$83,000
Delta
-19.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1617 Belmont Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,240 (-8%) 7mo $85,000 $69 66
5825 E 13th St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,471 (+9%) 9mo $140,000 $95 65
6031 E 14th St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,236 (-8%) 8mo $79,000 $64 63
6216 E 11th St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,440 (+7%) 7mo $75,000 $52 54
1401 Belmont Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+12%) 12mo $90,000 $60 50
6625 E 16th St 0.57mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,492 (+11%) 1mo $160,000 $107 49
812 Beacon Ave 0.75mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (+4%) 5mo $52,000 $37 49
6325 E 18th Ter 0.45mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,247 (-7%) 10mo $250,000 $200 48
6011 E 8th St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,250 (-7%) 6mo $175,000 $140 47
1301 Bennington Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,460 (+9%) 8mo $165,000 $113 43
4711 E 17th St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,155 (-14%) 3mo $74,000 $64 38
6008 E 9th St 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,144 (-15%) 12mo $160,000 $140 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.9%
Equity multiple
4.19×
Total profit
$74,189
Equity at exit
$74,773
10-year hold
IRR
36.2%
Equity multiple
9.42×
Total profit
$195,638
Equity at exit
$161,251

Cash invested: $23,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64126

Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,232 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$435
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $578/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $83,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,750
Closing costs
$2,490
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5852 E 20th St Unit TOP-1724 Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1482 $1,075 $0.73 3d 1 0.37mi
6237 E 12th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1580 $1,150 $0.73 44d 1 0.51mi
6011 E 11th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 16d 1 0.55mi
1603 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,031 $0.97 12d 1 0.74mi
1812 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1650 $1,600 $0.97 16d 1 0.79mi
1905 Kensington Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,325 $1.03 24d 1 0.90mi
815 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1302 $1,600 $1.23 14d 1 0.99mi
1805 Jackson Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1250 $1,250 $1.00 44d 1 0.99mi
303 White Ave Unit 2 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1060 $950 $0.90 10d 1 1.27mi
135 Lawndale Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 920 $1,500 $1.63 7d 1 1.31mi
2424 Norton Ave Unit B Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 982 $1,150 $1.17 16d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $83,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $83,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $83,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $83,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $83,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $83,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $83,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $83,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $83,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $83,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $83,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $83,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $83,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    listed $83,000 Active 696-char remark
  15. 2026-05-15
    historical $83,000 696-char remark
  16. 2025-09-30
    historical
  17. 2025-06-20
    price $90,000
  18. 2025-04-10
    listed $93,000 Active
  19. 2009-06-24
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    SELLING "AS IS" - NO SELLER'S DISCLOSURES. Minimum $1000 certified earnest deposit. Need pre-approval/proof of funds submitted with all offers.

  20. 2009-03-26
    listed $18,900
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    SELLING "AS IS" - NO SELLER'S DISCLOSURES. Minimum $1000 certified earnest deposit. Need pre-approval/proof of funds submitted with all offers.

  21. 2007-09-20
    soldstatus
  22. 1990-03-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$578 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$805 · $67/mo
Expected delta
+$227/yr (+$19/mo · 39.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,785
− Mortgage interest
−$4,649
− Property taxes
−$578
− Insurance
−$415
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,183
− Management
−$1,183
− Depreciation
−$2,415
Taxable income
$4,363
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,047
After-tax cash flow
$4,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
City population
439,467
Population (ZIP)
6,433

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 57% Two or more races 29% White 19% Black 14% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 50% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 100.10%
Current HPI
369.8782
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+339.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $83,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Coming Soon $83,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-20 Price Changed $90,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-10 Listed $93,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-06-24 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-26 Listed $18,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-09-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1990-03-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $578 · +22.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…