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144 W Railroad St
D Composite 44.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$140,000

144 W Railroad St · Warwick, GA 31796
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,700 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 164 Days on market
Built 1920 0.54 ac lot $82/sqft · 19% above area Est $118k · 19% over ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 144 West Railroad St! This delightful single-family home , built in 1920 , perfectly blends historic charm with modern comfort. Featuring three large bedrooms and 2 full baths. This 1700 square feet home offers ample space for comfortable living. Beautiful hardwood floors, large kitchen with lots of cabinet space, and breakfast nook. Appliances included in the sale as well as washer and dryer. Large screened in porch across the front of the home!! Gas logs in a beautiful fireplace in Large living room!! Call today to see this charming home.

Key facts

  • Breakfast nook
  • Modern comfort
  • Historic charm

Tags

HISTORIC CHARMMODERN COMFORTHARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE KITCHENBREAKFAST NOOKLARGE SCREENED IN PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($812/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (12.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#395 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Worth County (town): math 28% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #91 of 174 in GA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Worth County Primary School (866 students, 100% FRL); Worth County Middle School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #271 of 470 statewide, top 60%, 686 students, 100% FRL); Worth County High School (math 11% / reading 32%, grade F, #218 of 424 statewide, top 53%, 863 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Worth County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • Worth County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,816 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.87%
Cash-on-cash
2.07%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$117,624
List price
$140,000
Delta
19.02%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$63,303
Equity at exit
$107,792
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
5.60×
Total profit
$180,483
Equity at exit
$215,345

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31796

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,228 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,321/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,143
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $147 -5% $107 +0% $68 +5% $28 +10% $-12
Rent -10% $-29 -5% $19 +0% $68 +5% $116 +10% $165
Rate -1.0pp $138 -0.5pp $103 base $68 +0.5pp $31 +1.0pp $-6

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $140,000 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,000 Active 162 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 161 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 160 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 159 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 158 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 156 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 155 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 152 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    status $140,000 Active 151 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    status $140,000 Pending 151 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 151 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 150 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $140,000 Active 149 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    status Active 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    Welcome to 144 West Railroad St! This delightful single-family home , built in 1920 , perfectly blends historic charm with modern comfort. Featuring three large bedrooms and 2 full baths. This 1700 square feet home offers ample space for comfortable living. Beautiful hardwood floors, large kitchen with lots of cabinet space, and breakfast nook. Appliances included in the sale as well as washer and dryer. Large screened in porch across the front of the home!! Gas logs in a beautiful fireplace in Large living room!! Call today to see this charming home.

  17. 2026-04-21
    status Pending 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    Welcome to 144 West Railroad St! This delightful single-family home , built in 1920 , perfectly blends historic charm with modern comfort. Featuring three large bedrooms and 2 full baths. This 1700 square feet home offers ample space for comfortable living. Beautiful hardwood floors, large kitchen with lots of cabinet space, and breakfast nook. Appliances included in the sale as well as washer and dryer. Large screened in porch across the front of the home!! Gas logs in a beautiful fireplace in Large living room!! Call today to see this charming home.

  18. 2026-04-18
    price $140,000 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    Welcome to 144 West Railroad St! This delightful single-family home , built in 1920 , perfectly blends historic charm with modern comfort. Featuring three large bedrooms and 2 full baths. This 1700 square feet home offers ample space for comfortable living. Beautiful hardwood floors, large kitchen with lots of cabinet space, and breakfast nook. Appliances included in the sale as well as washer and dryer. Large screened in porch across the front of the home!! Gas logs in a beautiful fireplace in Large living room!! Call today to see this charming home.

  19. 2026-04-02
    status Active 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    Welcome to 144 West Railroad St! This delightful single-family home , built in 1920 , perfectly blends historic charm with modern comfort. Featuring three large bedrooms and 2 full baths. This 1700 square feet home offers ample space for comfortable living. Beautiful hardwood floors, large kitchen with lots of cabinet space, and breakfast nook. Appliances included in the sale as well as washer and dryer. Large screened in porch across the front of the home!! Gas logs in a beautiful fireplace in Large living room!! Call today to see this charming home.

  20. 2026-03-28
    status Pending 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    Welcome to 144 West Railroad St! This delightful single-family home , built in 1920 , perfectly blends historic charm with modern comfort. Featuring three large bedrooms and 2 full baths. This 1700 square feet home offers ample space for comfortable living. Beautiful hardwood floors, large kitchen with lots of cabinet space, and breakfast nook. Appliances included in the sale as well as washer and dryer. Large screened in porch across the front of the home!! Gas logs in a beautiful fireplace in Large living room!! Call today to see this charming home.

  21. 2026-02-17
    price $150,000 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    Welcome to 144 West Railroad St! This delightful single-family home , built in 1920 , perfectly blends historic charm with modern comfort. Featuring three large bedrooms and 2 full baths. This 1700 square feet home offers ample space for comfortable living. Beautiful hardwood floors, large kitchen with lots of cabinet space, and breakfast nook. Appliances included in the sale as well as washer and dryer. Large screened in porch across the front of the home!! Gas logs in a beautiful fireplace in Large living room!! Call today to see this charming home.

  22. 2025-12-17
    listed $155,000 Active 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    Welcome to 144 West Railroad St! This delightful single-family home , built in 1920 , perfectly blends historic charm with modern comfort. Featuring three large bedrooms and 2 full baths. This 1700 square feet home offers ample space for comfortable living. Beautiful hardwood floors, large kitchen with lots of cabinet space, and breakfast nook. Appliances included in the sale as well as washer and dryer. Large screened in porch across the front of the home!! Gas logs in a beautiful fireplace in Large living room!! Call today to see this charming home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,321 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,321 · $110/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,738
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,321
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,179
− Management
−$1,179
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$1,556
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$374
After-tax cash flow
$1,185/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Worth County
NCES district ID
1305850
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,056
Composite
25.97/100
National rank
#7327
State rank
#91 of 174 in GA

Livability — Warwick

Score
59/100
State rank
#395
US rank
#19591

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Warwick, GA
Population (ZIP)
1,088

Population outlook (Worth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,547 people
By 2030
17,345 · -6.5%
By 2040
14,978 · -19.2%
By 2050
12,782 · -31.1%
By 2075
8,832 · -52.4%
By 2100
6,226 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (57%)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 40% Two or more races 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Worth

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.7% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -38.7pp · 2024: -50.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.4 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+50.0 2012: R+40.2 2008: R+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.15%
Current HPI
241.2202
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted CABOR
  • 2026-04-21 Pending CABOR
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $140,000 CABOR
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted CABOR
  • 2026-03-28 Pending CABOR
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $150,000 CABOR
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $155,000 CABOR

Property tax history

+15.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,321 · +114.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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