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2292 N Ironwood Dr #40
B Composite 72.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

2292 N Ironwood Dr #40 · Apache Junction, AZ 85120
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured · 54 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2000 Good condition Est $60k · 9% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully remodeled 2 bed, 2 bath mobile home in Windsong Mobile Home Park. Enjoy community amenities including a pool and clubhouse. This home features fresh interior and exterior paint, laminate wood floors throughout, new kitchen countertops, updated fixtures and hardware, new appliances, AC Unit less than 5 years old. The spacious primary suite offers a great walk-in closet and a large walk-in shower. Move-in ready and full of modern touches and a fences backyard with an amazing mountain view.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Community pool
  • Built 2000

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: South on Ironwood, right into Windsong Mobile Home Park
  • HOA & community: Land lease community (monthly land lease $715); Association fees include insurance, street maintenance, trash, and water; Community pool; Community spa; Biking/walking path

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 carport space
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured / Mobile home; Leasehold ownership; Mountain views
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Steel frame construction; Building area reported by builder
  • Exterior features: Gravel/stone front yard; Gravel/stone back yard; Chain link fencing; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Non-laminate counters; Pantry; Refrigerator, Dishwasher, Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; 9+ foot flat ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Pantry; Full bathroom in primary bedroom; Refrigerator, Dishwasher, Disposal
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Desert Vista Elementary School (math 18% / reading 23%, grade F, #729 of 1,109 statewide, top 67%, 536 students, 50% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $53,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.14%
Cap rate
18.25%
Cash-on-cash
42.72%
DSCR
2.90
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$60,480
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2292 N Ironwood Dr #55 0.00mi 2/2.0 960 (0%) 3mo $57,000 $59 97
2292 N Ironwood Dr #110 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (0%) 0mo $67,000 $70 94
2292 N Ironwood Dr #78 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (0%) 4mo $60,000 $63 92
2292 N Ironwood Dr #56 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (0%) 2mo $59,000 $61 89
2292 N Ironwood Dr #84 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,024 (+7%) 3mo $25,000 $24 86
2292 N Ironwood Dr #103 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+5%) 5mo $18,000 $18 82
2292 N Ironwood Dr #34 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,024 (+7%) 5mo $60,000 $59 74
2292 N Ironwood Dr #41 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,080 (+12%) 3mo $16,000 $15 71
1784 N Main Dr 0.33mi 2/1.0 833 (-13%) 4mo $249,995 $300 55
2200 N Delaware Dr #62 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+15%) 2mo $75,000 $68 50
1644 N Desert View Dr N 0.63mi 2/2.0 846 (-12%) 7mo $271,500 $321 45
875 W Smoketree St 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,080 (+12%) 7mo $337,000 $312 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$22,577
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
41.2%
Equity multiple
4.34×
Total profit
$51,383
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85120

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
468
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,175 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$548

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $586 -5% $567 +0% $548 +5% $529 +10% $510
Rent -10% $455 -5% $502 +0% $548 +5% $595 +10% $641
Rate -1.0pp $576 -0.5pp $562 base $548 +0.5pp $534 +1.0pp $519

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2185 W Ohio St Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 6d 1 1.10mi
455 N Delaware Dr Unit 7 Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,900 $1.79 26d 1 1.17mi
1440 N Idaho Rd Apache Junction, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1010 $1,900 $1.88 26d 3 1.24mi
135 N Palo Verde Dr Apache Junction, AZ 1.0 1.0 750 $915 $1.22 22d 1 1.36mi
135 N Palo Verde Dr Unit 8 Apache Junction, AZ 1.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 26d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $55,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    price $55,000
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $57,200 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,101
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,128
− Management
−$1,128
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$6,064
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,455
After-tax cash flow
$5,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully remodeled mobile home in Windsong Mobile Home Park is move-in ready with fresh paint, new appliances, and a fenced backyard with a mountain view.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both furniture — improves living space and adds value
  • Both smart home integration — increases appeal to tech-savvy buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both furniture — improves living space and adds value
  • Both smart home integration — increases appeal to tech-savvy buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

Score
66/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Apache Junction, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
56,611
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
31,191
Household income
$57,786
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
686.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.31%
Current HPI
313.4666
Rent YoY
▼ -3.50%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $55,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $57,200 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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