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D+ Composite 49.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.6/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$649,000

240 Spaniards Rd · Rotonda, FL 33946
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,020 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 361 Days on market
Built 2002 0.66 ac lot Est $697k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MOTIVATED SELLER. .. Custom Built Josh Johnson Home for Sale, set on an impressive . 66 acre lot, this 2002 built 2,020 Sq Ft. home offers volume ceilings, abundant natural light, and a layout designed for comfort and creativity. The Primary Suite bathroom features stunning handcrafted Spanish tile, while the Xeriscape front & side yards provide easy, low maintenance living. Additional highlights include a NEW ROOF, Hurricane Shutters, a newer kitchen and expansive windows & sliders throughout. Set high above the street level, HAS NEVER SUFFERED STORM DAMAGE and features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths a family & living room and utility area along with a full 3 bay garage. The 3 bay g

Key facts

  • Hurricane shutters
  • Almost acre of land
  • Huge lots

Tags

HUGE LOTSCUSTOM DESIGNED AND BUILT HOMENEARLY BRAND-NEW KITCHENALMOST ACRE OF LANDHURRICANE SHUTTERSNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is homestead exempt; Zoning RSF3.5; Total living area approximately 2,020 sq ft (public records); Building area total approximately 2,952 sq ft; Lot size approximately 0.66 acres (125 x 230)
  • HOA & community: Association recreation owned; Deed restrictions; Park access through association; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Security: Owned security system; Fire alarm and smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Underground utilities; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; West-facing; Residential, completed condition; Canal water view
  • Construction: Concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by Josh Johnson
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed, screened and wrap-around rear porch; Screened rear porch; Sliding doors; Hurricane shutters; Rain gutters and exterior lighting; Private mailbox; Mature landscaping with trees; Level, landscaped lot with oversized dimensions; Near public transit; Flood zone (flood insurance required); Public maintained asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal; Stone countertops; Solid wood cabinetry
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning with zoning
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings, tray and vaulted ceiling details; High ceilings and open floorplan with kitchen/family-room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Solid wood cabinets with stone counters; Ceiling fans and thermostat; Walk-in closets; Window treatments including shades and aluminum frames; Exhaust fan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry area located in the garage; Electric water heater; Inside utility and storage rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $649k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-310 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $594k (8.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $523k (19.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $523k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.1% in Rotonda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#548 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Vineland Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 579 students, 45% FRL); L. A. Ainger Middle School (math 65% / reading 53%, grade B, #144 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 720 students, 40% FRL); Lemon Bay High School (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,360 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 916 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 361 days — a 12% lower offer ($571k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $649k implies a 2722% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $522,605 (19.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 361 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.77%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$696,900
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4663 Arlington Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 2,174 (+8%) 12mo $750,000 $345 62
510 Green Dolphin Dr S 0.67mi 3/2.0 2,134 (+6%) 14mo $900,000 $422 48
2 Windward Ter 0.70mi 3/3.0 1,953 (-3%) 23mo $390,000 $200 39
440 Spaniards Rd 0.48mi 3/3.0 2,251 (+11%) 22mo $566,500 $252 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-94,613
Equity at exit
$128,958
10-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-80,502
Equity at exit
$112,996

Cash invested: $181,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33946

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
916
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,226 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,403
Tax from tax record
$338 /mo · $4,061/yr
Insurance
$270
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,097
Net cashflow
$-310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,619
Max offer price $594,202
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $57 -5% $-127 +0% $-310 +5% $-494 +10% $-678
Rent -10% $-723 -5% $-517 +0% $-310 +5% $-104 +10% $103
Rate -1.0pp $17 -0.5pp $-145 base $-310 +0.5pp $-478 +1.0pp $-649

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$162,250
Closing costs
$19,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11 Amberjack Ter Placida, FL 3.0 2.0 2209 $7,985 $3.61 23d 1 0.33mi
11 Amberjack Ln Placida, FL 3.0 2.0 1786 $2,700 $1.51 15d 1 0.48mi
50 Barracuda Dr Placida, FL 3.0 2.0 2154 $3,000 $1.39 23d 1 0.57mi
2 Windward Ter Placida, FL 3.0 3.0 1953 $2,500 $1.28 23d 1 0.71mi
550 Gaspar Dr Placida, FL 3.0 3.0 1803 $5,500 $3.05 23d 1 0.77mi
10345 Longshore Rd #29 Placida, FL 3.0 3.0 2416 $6,900 $2.86 23d 1 0.77mi
10045 Links Ln #203 Rotonda West, FL 2.0 2.0 1543 $1,450 $0.94 15d 1 0.80mi
11000 Placida Rd #2201 Placida, FL 2.0 2.5 1973 $8,750 $4.43 23d 1 0.81mi
10425 Pilothouse Cir #131 Placida, FL 3.0 3.0 2390 $5,000 $2.09 23d 1 0.92mi
3923 Cape Haze Dr #302 Rotonda West, FL 3.0 3.0 2044 $3,100 $1.52 23d 1 1.03mi
13045 Via Aurelia Placida, FL 3.0 2.0 1961 $8,200 $4.18 23d 1 1.21mi
10446 Coquina Ct Placida, FL 3.0 2.0 1820 $4,500 $2.47 23d 1 1.22mi
8936 Scallop Way Placida, FL 3.0 2.0 2158 $5,200 $2.41 23d 1 1.44mi
8400 Placida Rd Unit G202 Rental Placida, FL 2.0 2.5 1688 $2,500 $1.48 23d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $649,000 Active 361 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $649,000 Active 357 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $649,000 Active 355 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $649,000 Active 354 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $649,000 Active 353 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $649,000 Active 352 DOM
  7. 2026-03-24
    price $649,000
  8. 2026-02-09
    price $589,000
  9. 2026-01-01
    status Active
  10. 2025-12-31
    historical
  11. 2025-12-10
    price $649,000
  12. 2025-12-10
    status Active
  13. 2025-04-18
    price $599,000
  14. 2025-03-21
    listed $615,000 Active
  15. 2024-05-31
    historical
  16. 2024-03-14
    price $649,000
  17. 2024-03-14
    status Active
  18. 2024-03-14
    historical
  19. 2024-01-25
    listed $649,000 Active
  20. 2023-12-31
    historical
  21. 2023-03-27
    listed $699,000 Active
  22. 2022-07-13
    listed $679,000 Active
  23. 2007-04-27
    historical
  24. 2006-01-03
    listed $475,000
  25. 1990-06-01
    soldstatus $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,061 · $338/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,387 · $449/mo
Expected delta
+$1,326/yr (+$110/mo · 32.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$62,713
− Mortgage interest
−$36,354
− Property taxes
−$4,061
− Insurance
−$8,364
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,017
− Management
−$5,017
− Depreciation
−$18,880
Taxable loss
−$14,980
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,595
After-tax cash flow
$-127/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Rotonda

Score
67/100
State rank
#548
US rank
#10359

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
10,490
Population (ZIP)
2,745

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.90%
Current HPI
288.559
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2721.7% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $649,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $589,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-01 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $649,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-18 Price Changed $599,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-21 Listed $615,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-14 Price Changed $649,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-14 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-14 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-25 Listed $649,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-27 Listed $699,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-13 Listed $679,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-27 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-01-03 Listed $475,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,061 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…