240 Spaniards Rd · Rotonda, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$649,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MOTIVATED SELLER. .. Custom Built Josh Johnson Home for Sale, set on an impressive . 66 acre lot, this 2002 built 2,020 Sq Ft. home offers volume ceilings, abundant natural light, and a layout designed for comfort and creativity. The Primary Suite bathroom features stunning handcrafted Spanish tile, while the Xeriscape front & side yards provide easy, low maintenance living. Additional highlights include a NEW ROOF, Hurricane Shutters, a newer kitchen and expansive windows & sliders throughout. Set high above the street level, HAS NEVER SUFFERED STORM DAMAGE and features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths a family & living room and utility area along with a full 3 bay garage. The 3 bay g
Key facts
- Hurricane shutters
- Almost acre of land
- Huge lots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is homestead exempt; Zoning RSF3.5; Total living area approximately 2,020 sq ft (public records); Building area total approximately 2,952 sq ft; Lot size approximately 0.66 acres (125 x 230)
- HOA & community: Association recreation owned; Deed restrictions; Park access through association; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Security: Owned security system; Fire alarm and smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Underground utilities; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; West-facing; Residential, completed condition; Canal water view
- Construction: Concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by Josh Johnson
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed, screened and wrap-around rear porch; Screened rear porch; Sliding doors; Hurricane shutters; Rain gutters and exterior lighting; Private mailbox; Mature landscaping with trees; Level, landscaped lot with oversized dimensions; Near public transit; Flood zone (flood insurance required); Public maintained asphalt road
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal; Stone countertops; Solid wood cabinetry
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning with zoning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings, tray and vaulted ceiling details; High ceilings and open floorplan with kitchen/family-room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Solid wood cabinets with stone counters; Ceiling fans and thermostat; Walk-in closets; Window treatments including shades and aluminum frames; Exhaust fan
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry area located in the garage; Electric water heater; Inside utility and storage rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $649k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-310 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $594k (8.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $523k (19.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $523k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.1% in Rotonda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#548 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Vineland Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 579 students, 45% FRL); L. A. Ainger Middle School (math 65% / reading 53%, grade B, #144 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 720 students, 40% FRL); Lemon Bay High School (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,360 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 916 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 361 days — a 12% lower offer ($571k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $649k implies a 2722% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 361 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.77%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $696,900
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4663 Arlington Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 2,174 (+8%) | 12mo | $750,000 | $345 | 62 |
| 510 Green Dolphin Dr S | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 2,134 (+6%) | 14mo | $900,000 | $422 | 48 |
| 2 Windward Ter | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 | 1,953 (-3%) | 23mo | $390,000 | $200 | 39 |
| 440 Spaniards Rd | 0.48mi | 3/3.0 | 2,251 (+11%) | 22mo | $566,500 | $252 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-94,613
- Equity at exit
- $128,958
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-80,502
- Equity at exit
- $112,996
Cash invested: $181,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33946
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 916
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,226 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,403
- Tax from tax record
- −$338 /mo · $4,061/yr
- Insurance
- −$270
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,097
- Net cashflow
- $-310
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $57 | -5% $-127 | +0% $-310 | +5% $-494 | +10% $-678 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-723 | -5% $-517 | +0% $-310 | +5% $-104 | +10% $103 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $17 | -0.5pp $-145 | base $-310 | +0.5pp $-478 | +1.0pp $-649 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,250
- Closing costs
- $19,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Amberjack Ter Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2209 | $7,985 | $3.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 11 Amberjack Ln Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $2,700 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 50 Barracuda Dr Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2154 | $3,000 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2 Windward Ter Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1953 | $2,500 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 550 Gaspar Dr Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1803 | $5,500 | $3.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10345 Longshore Rd #29 Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2416 | $6,900 | $2.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10045 Links Ln #203 Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $1,450 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 11000 Placida Rd #2201 Placida, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1973 | $8,750 | $4.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 10425 Pilothouse Cir #131 Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2390 | $5,000 | $2.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3923 Cape Haze Dr #302 Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2044 | $3,100 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13045 Via Aurelia Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1961 | $8,200 | $4.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 10446 Coquina Ct Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $4,500 | $2.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 8936 Scallop Way Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2158 | $5,200 | $2.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 8400 Placida Rd Unit G202 Rental Placida, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1688 | $2,500 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $649,000 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $649,000 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $649,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $649,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $649,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $649,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $649,000
-
2026-02-09price $589,000
-
2026-01-01status Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-12-10price $649,000
-
2025-12-10status Active
-
2025-04-18price $599,000
-
2025-03-21$615,000 Active
-
2024-05-31historical
-
2024-03-14price $649,000
-
2024-03-14status Active
-
2024-03-14historical
-
2024-01-25$649,000 Active
-
2023-12-31historical
-
2023-03-27$699,000 Active
-
2022-07-13$679,000 Active
-
2007-04-27historical
-
2006-01-03$475,000
-
1990-06-01soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,061 · $338/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,387 · $449/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,326/yr (+$110/mo · 32.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $62,713
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,354
- − Property taxes
- −$4,061
- − Insurance
- −$8,364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,017
- − Management
- −$5,017
- − Depreciation
- −$18,880
- Taxable loss
- −$14,980
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,595
- After-tax cash flow
- $-127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Rotonda
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #548
- US rank
- #10359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 10,490
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,745
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.90%
- Current HPI
- 288.559
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+2721.7% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $649,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $589,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $649,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-10 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-18 Price Changed $599,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-21 Listed $615,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-14 Price Changed $649,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-14 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-14 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-25 Listed $649,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-27 Listed $699,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-13 Listed $679,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-03 Listed $475,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1990-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,061 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…