405 W Bundy Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$36,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1 bath home. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Seller is motivated and will consider reasonable concession.
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- Built 1958
- Listed 7 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
- Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($252 loan paydown + $976 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.47%
- DSCR
- 3.69
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $34,596
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 Chatham Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 942 (-2%) | 1mo | $33,700 | $36 | 74 |
| 309 W Ruth Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+5%) | 0mo | $27,000 | $27 | 72 |
| 6507 Dupont St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (+5%) | 12mo | $80,000 | $79 | 64 |
| 626 W Austin Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 869 (-10%) | 1mo | $34,000 | $39 | 64 |
| 5909 Edwards Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-3%) | 10mo | $20,600 | $22 | 59 |
| 1510 Juliah Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-10%) | 11mo | $39,969 | $46 | 59 |
| 1395 W Yale Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (+4%) | 3mo | $8,800 | $9 | 58 |
| 518 W Ruth Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-15%) | 3mo | $28,000 | $34 | 54 |
| 1498 W Genesee Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-10%) | 7mo | $77,900 | $90 | 49 |
| 7005 Daryll St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,093 (+14%) | 8mo | $43,000 | $39 | 47 |
| 402 W Gracelawn Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-10%) | 8mo | $4,669 | $5 | 44 |
| 302 W Gracelawn Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-13%) | 8mo | $16,000 | $19 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $36,608
- Equity at exit
- $15,746
- IRR
- 64.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.34×
- Total profit
- $85,193
- Equity at exit
- $23,762
Cash invested: $10,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48505
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,012 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$191
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $937/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $515
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,125
- Closing costs
- $1,095
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514 W Alma Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $925 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 246 E York Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5413 DuPont St Flint, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1038 | $900 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,000 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5280 Cedar Shores Ct Flint, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,148 | $1.00 | 13d | 6 | 1.29mi |
| 6113 Natchez Dr Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $990 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2216 Obrien Rd Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2025-10-11status Pending 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1 bath home. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Seller is motivated and will consider reasonable concession.
-
2025-10-11status Pending
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1 bath home. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Seller is motivated and will consider reasonable concession.
-
2025-10-01$36,500 Active 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1 bath home. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Seller is motivated and will consider reasonable concession.
-
2025-10-01$36,500 Active
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
Potential Investor Opportunity. 3 bedroom, 1 bath home. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing. Seller is motivated and will consider reasonable concession.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $937 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $937 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,045
- − Property taxes
- −$937
- − Insurance
- −$182
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$972
- − Management
- −$972
- − Depreciation
- −$1,062
- Taxable income
- $5,978
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,435
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,745/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,032
- Household income
- $33,283
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.67%
- Current HPI
- 202.4878
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-01 Listed $36,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-01 Listed $36,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $937 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…