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1534 Berrywood Ln
F Composite 33.36
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1534 Berrywood Ln · Flint, MI 48507
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 993 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1954 6,098 sqft lot Est $74k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OPEN HOUSE IS CANCELLED. Welcome to this beautifully remodeled move-in-ready Cape Cod. Fresh updates, thoughtful finishes, and a move-in ready feel greet you from the moment you walk in. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home features new flooring, fresh paint throughout, and fully updated bathrooms with new vanities, toilets, and bathtub surround. Partially finished basement with new electric panel. Outside you'll find a spacious fenced-in backyard perfect for entertaining and a large 2-car detached garage offering plenty of room for parking and storage. Situated in an up and coming neighborhood, homes like this don't last long. Don't let this gem pass you by!!! Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry; Wood siding
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.14 acres (50 x 120); No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Partially finished basement; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($270/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (1.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $2k; list at $100k implies a 3896% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.97%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$74,475
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1902 Crestbrook Ln 0.07mi 3/1.0 969 (-2%) 1mo $111,000 $115 92
1418 Blueberry Ln 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,045 (+5%) 4mo $78,000 $75 82
1514 W Atherton Rd 0.14mi 3/1.0 925 (-7%) 2mo $35,000 $38 80
3312 Renault Dr 0.48mi 3/1.0 988 (-0%) 3mo $185,000 $187 74
1413 Waldman Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 903 (-9%) 4mo $99,900 $111 73
1514 Vermilya Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (-4%) 0mo $66,000 $69 73
934 Campbell St 0.49mi 3/1.0 924 (-7%) 1mo $89,000 $96 65
912 Markham St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,020 (+3%) 4mo $71,000 $70 59
3805 Brunswick Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 921 (-7%) 4mo $25,000 $27 58
1105 Lincoln Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 896 (-10%) 2mo $38,000 $42 58
825 Vermilya Ave 0.69mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (+3%) 3mo $30,000 $29 56
3902 Brunswick Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,128 (+14%) 2mo $123,000 $109 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.5%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-17,588
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-24,410
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48507

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$986 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,289/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $957
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $79 -5% $51 +0% $23 +5% $-6 +10% $-34
Rent -10% $-55 -5% $-16 +0% $23 +5% $61 +10% $100
Rate -1.0pp $73 -0.5pp $48 base $23 +0.5pp $-3 +1.0pp $-30

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 23d 1 0.21mi
1023 Barrie Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 660 $775 $1.17 23d 1 0.62mi
813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $850 $1.17 15d 1 0.63mi
4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 666 $960 $1.44 15d 19 0.80mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 10 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 9 DOM
  12. 2026-05-22
    listed $99,900 Active 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    OPEN HOUSE IS CANCELLED. Welcome to this beautifully remodeled move-in-ready Cape Cod. Fresh updates, thoughtful finishes, and a move-in ready feel greet you from the moment you walk in. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home features new flooring, fresh paint throughout, and fully updated bathrooms with new vanities, toilets, and bathtub surround. Partially finished basement with new electric panel. Outside you'll find a spacious fenced-in backyard perfect for entertaining and a large 2-car detached garage offering plenty of room for parking and storage. Situated in an up and coming neighborhood, homes like this don't last long. Don't let this gem pass you by!!! Schedule your showing today!

  13. 2026-05-22
    listed $99,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    OPEN HOUSE IS CANCELLED. Welcome to this beautifully remodeled move-in-ready Cape Cod. Fresh updates, thoughtful finishes, and a move-in ready feel greet you from the moment you walk in. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home features new flooring, fresh paint throughout, and fully updated bathrooms with new vanities, toilets, and bathtub surround. Partially finished basement with new electric panel. Outside you'll find a spacious fenced-in backyard perfect for entertaining and a large 2-car detached garage offering plenty of room for parking and storage. Situated in an up and coming neighborhood, homes like this don't last long. Don't let this gem pass you by!!! Schedule your showing today!

  14. 2026-05-21
    historical $99,900 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    OPEN HOUSE IS CANCELLED. Welcome to this beautifully remodeled move-in-ready Cape Cod. Fresh updates, thoughtful finishes, and a move-in ready feel greet you from the moment you walk in. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home features new flooring, fresh paint throughout, and fully updated bathrooms with new vanities, toilets, and bathtub surround. Partially finished basement with new electric panel. Outside you'll find a spacious fenced-in backyard perfect for entertaining and a large 2-car detached garage offering plenty of room for parking and storage. Situated in an up and coming neighborhood, homes like this don't last long. Don't let this gem pass you by!!! Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2012-11-29
    soldstatus $2,500 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint Schools, 2 car garage, basement. Situated in quiet neighborhood. Priced agressivly for quick sale. Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. Bank of America or Merrill Lynch Pre-qualification required on all offers. The grantee(s), or purchaser(s), of the property may not re-sell, record an additional conveyance document, or otherwise transfer title to the property within 60 days following the grantor execution of this deed.

  16. 2012-11-29
    soldstatus $2,500
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint Schools, 2 car garage, basement. Situated in quiet neighborhood. Priced agressivly for quick sale. Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. Bank of America or Merrill Lynch Pre-qualification required on all offers. The grantee(s), or purchaser(s), of the property may not re-sell, record an additional conveyance document, or otherwise transfer title to the property within 60 days following the grantor execution of this deed.

  17. 2012-10-19
    historical
  18. 2012-07-16
    listed $2,550 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint Schools, 2 car garage, basement. Situated in quiet neighborhood. Priced agressivly for quick sale. Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. Bank of America or Merrill Lynch Pre-qualification required on all offers. The grantee(s), or purchaser(s), of the property may not re-sell, record an additional conveyance document, or otherwise transfer title to the property within 60 days following the grantor execution of this deed.

  19. 2012-07-16
    listed $2,550
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint Schools, 2 car garage, basement. Situated in quiet neighborhood. Priced agressivly for quick sale. Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. Bank of America or Merrill Lynch Pre-qualification required on all offers. The grantee(s), or purchaser(s), of the property may not re-sell, record an additional conveyance document, or otherwise transfer title to the property within 60 days following the grantor execution of this deed.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,289 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,289 · $191/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,830
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$2,289
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$946
− Management
−$946
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$1,354
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$325
After-tax cash flow
$595/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
28,723
Household income
$46,554
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1534.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.90%
Current HPI
132.3632
Rent YoY
▼ -1.04%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3817.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-11-29 Sold (MLS) $2,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-11-29 Sold (MLS) $2,500 REALCOMP
  • 2012-10-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-07-16 Listed $2,550 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-07-16 Listed $2,550 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,289 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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