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135 Johnson Acres
C- Composite 51.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

135 Johnson Acres · Childersburg, AL 35044
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 316 Days on market
Built 1973 10,018 sqft lot $81/sqft · 52% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Just off Old Sylacauga Hwy in Childersburg you will find this 3-4 bedroom and 1 bath home which is also a rock's throw from US Hwy 280 East. This home is being sold "in as is where is condition" but could be lived in while you renovate it to your taste. The kitchen is spacious with enough room for sit down meals. There is a covered deck on the back and the back yard is fenced in with work shops which could double as storage space. At the end of the driveway there is a detached one car garage which could be used to store lawn care equipment. This home is on a corner lot and has a good sized front yard. Call for an appointment to see if this home will meet your needs.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Fenced in back yard
  • Work shops

Tags

COVERED DECKFENCED IN BACK YARDWORK SHOPSCORNER LOTGOOD SIZED FRONT YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (0.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.2% in Childersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#457 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Talladega County (rural): math 15% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 129 in AL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $105k implies a 367% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 36% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.75%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$219,559
List price
$105,000
Delta
-52.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7545 Old Sylacauga Hwy 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,261 (-3%) 7mo $89,900 $71 77
7561 Old Sylacauga Hwy 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,192 (-8%) 3mo $138,300 $116 72
89 Dogwood St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,340 (+3%) 6mo $209,900 $157 68
88 College Park Dr 0.26mi 3/2.5 1,331 (+3%) 11mo $209,900 $158 68
249 College Park Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+8%) 5mo $218,370 $156 66
39 Dogwood St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,249 (-4%) 5mo $202,000 $162 66
1504 15th St SW 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,323 (+2%) 8mo $167,900 $127 64
11 Dogwood St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+8%) 12mo $241,240 $172 61
56 Taylor Ln 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+8%) 1mo $196,165 $140 61
31 Dogwood St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+8%) 7mo $209,990 $150 56
177 Dogwood St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,459 (+13%) 9mo $218,370 $150 54
176 Dogwood St 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,459 (+13%) 7mo $228,000 $156 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-6,498
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$7,819
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35044

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,049 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $822/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $839
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $225 -5% $195 +0% $165 +5% $136 +10% $106
Rent -10% $83 -5% $124 +0% $165 +5% $207 +10% $248
Rate -1.0pp $218 -0.5pp $192 base $165 +0.5pp $138 +1.0pp $111

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7933 Old Sylacauga Hwy Childersburg, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 825 $999 $1.21 3d 1 0.36mi
788 6th Ave SW Childersburg, AL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 5d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 316 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $105,000 Active 314 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 313 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 312 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 311 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 310 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 308 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 307 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 305 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 304 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 303 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 302 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 299 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 298 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 297 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 296 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 295 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $105,000 Active 294 DOM
  19. 2026-02-10
    status Active 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Just off Old Sylacauga Hwy in Childersburg you will find this 3-4 bedroom and 1 bath home which is also a rock's throw from US Hwy 280 East. This home is being sold "in as is where is condition" but could be lived in while you renovate it to your taste. The kitchen is spacious with enough room for sit down meals. There is a covered deck on the back and the back yard is fenced in with work shops which could double as storage space. At the end of the driveway there is a detached one car garage which could be used to store lawn care equipment. This home is on a corner lot and has a good sized front yard. Call for an appointment to see if this home will meet your needs.

  20. 2026-02-10
    historical 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Just off Old Sylacauga Hwy in Childersburg you will find this 3-4 bedroom and 1 bath home which is also a rock's throw from US Hwy 280 East. This home is being sold "in as is where is condition" but could be lived in while you renovate it to your taste. The kitchen is spacious with enough room for sit down meals. There is a covered deck on the back and the back yard is fenced in with work shops which could double as storage space. At the end of the driveway there is a detached one car garage which could be used to store lawn care equipment. This home is on a corner lot and has a good sized front yard. Call for an appointment to see if this home will meet your needs.

  21. 2025-08-08
    listed $105,000 Active 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Just off Old Sylacauga Hwy in Childersburg you will find this 3-4 bedroom and 1 bath home which is also a rock's throw from US Hwy 280 East. This home is being sold "in as is where is condition" but could be lived in while you renovate it to your taste. The kitchen is spacious with enough room for sit down meals. There is a covered deck on the back and the back yard is fenced in with work shops which could double as storage space. At the end of the driveway there is a detached one car garage which could be used to store lawn care equipment. This home is on a corner lot and has a good sized front yard. Call for an appointment to see if this home will meet your needs.

  22. 2004-01-28
    soldstatus $22,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$822 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$822 · $69/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 36% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,583
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$822
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,007
− Management
−$1,007
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$69
After-tax cash flow
$1,917/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Talladega County
NCES district ID
0103180
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,715
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7650
State rank
#75 of 129 in AL

Livability — Childersburg

Score
54/100
State rank
#457
US rank
#23818

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Childersburg, AL
City population
8,225
Population (ZIP)
8,225

Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,905 people
By 2030
77,160 · -2.2%
By 2040
72,937 · -7.6%
By 2050
68,279 · -13.5%
By 2075
57,884 · -26.6%
By 2100
47,220 · -40.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 35% Asian 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Greek 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Talladega

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.76%
Current HPI
160.56
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+366.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-10 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-08-08 Listed $105,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2004-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $822 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…