2336 Murray Dr · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT HOME IN WASHINGTON LOCAL SCHOOLS. 4 BEDS. EAT IN KITCHEN. A FEW COSMETIC UPDATEW WOULD GO A LONG WAY. DETACHED GARAGE. QUIET STREET, FENCED YARD. PERFECT PROOPERTY FOR INVESTMENT OR FIRST TIME BUYER. DON'T WAIT!
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1953
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking for 4 vehicles
- Utilities: Electricity available (100 Amp service); Public water; Public sewer; WiFi available
- Home design: Single-family house; One and a half levels; No attached units or common walls
- Construction: Other construction materials; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (16 x 13); Gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Main-level bedroom (11 x 10); Upper-level bedroom (16 x 15)
- Flooring: Combination flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (3.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Washington Local (urban): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #528 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Silver Creek Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,087 of 1,584 statewide, top 70%, 653 students, 0% FRL); Whitmer High School (math 38% / reading 48%, grade F, #494 of 781 statewide, top 63%, 2,247 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 21% FRL vs 48% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $165k implies a 283% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.39%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,866
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- -5.16%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5737 Yermo Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,276 (+3%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $157 | 68 |
| 5541 Douglas Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-7%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $191 | 67 |
| 5322 Douglas Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,107 (-11%) | 3mo | $158,500 | $143 | 63 |
| 2341 Wernert Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,320 (+7%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $159 | 61 |
| 5810 Everwood Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,276 (+3%) | 2mo | $204,000 | $160 | 60 |
| 1825 Northover Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,332 (+8%) | 4mo | $174,900 | $131 | 50 |
| 4932 Bales Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,312 (+6%) | 3mo | $159,900 | $122 | 46 |
| 1826 Newport Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,075 (-13%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $135 | 40 |
| 4924 Roywood Rd | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,107 (-11%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $149 | 40 |
| 5845 Douglas Rd | 0.54mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,399 (+13%) | 1mo | $237,900 | $170 | 40 |
| 4914 Bales Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-12%) | 3mo | $121,000 | $111 | 38 |
| 1818 Christian Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,075 (-13%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $144 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-13,051
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $7,525
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43613
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,594 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,422/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $208
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2347 Bucklew Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2338 Bodette Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5941 Tetherwood Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1364 | $1,695 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1732 Newport Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1417 Primrose Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1411 | $1,625 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3145 Brock Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5831 Gany Mede Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,600 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4614 Commonwealth Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1459 | $1,295 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3353 W Laskey Rd Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4315 Garden Park Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,423 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-05-30status $164,900 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-05-06$164,900 Active 382-char remark
-
2025-11-28historical
-
2025-11-20price $164,900
-
2025-11-14$170,000 Active
-
2025-11-10historical
-
2025-10-14price $43,300
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
GREAT HOME IN WASHINGTON LOCAL SCHOOLS. 4 BEDS. EAT IN KITCHEN. A FEW COSMETIC UPDATEW WOULD GO A LONG WAY. DETACHED GARAGE. QUIET STREET, FENCED YARD. PERFECT PROOPERTY FOR INVESTMENT OR FIRST TIME BUYER. DON'T WAIT!
-
2022-01-11historical
-
2021-12-18$119,900 Active
-
2016-03-03soldstatus $43,000
-
2016-02-29soldstatus $43,300
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
GREAT HOME IN WASHINGTON LOCAL SCHOOLS. 4 BEDS. EAT IN KITCHEN. A FEW COSMETIC UPDATEW WOULD GO A LONG WAY. DETACHED GARAGE. QUIET STREET, FENCED YARD. PERFECT PROOPERTY FOR INVESTMENT OR FIRST TIME BUYER. DON'T WAIT!
-
2016-02-29price $49,900
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
GREAT HOME IN WASHINGTON LOCAL SCHOOLS. 4 BEDS. EAT IN KITCHEN. A FEW COSMETIC UPDATEW WOULD GO A LONG WAY. DETACHED GARAGE. QUIET STREET, FENCED YARD. PERFECT PROOPERTY FOR INVESTMENT OR FIRST TIME BUYER. DON'T WAIT!
-
2015-10-12$49,900
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
GREAT HOME IN WASHINGTON LOCAL SCHOOLS. 4 BEDS. EAT IN KITCHEN. A FEW COSMETIC UPDATEW WOULD GO A LONG WAY. DETACHED GARAGE. QUIET STREET, FENCED YARD. PERFECT PROOPERTY FOR INVESTMENT OR FIRST TIME BUYER. DON'T WAIT!
-
2012-10-02historical
-
2010-11-02$62,900
-
2010-10-20historical
-
2010-04-20$69,900
-
2009-04-28historical
-
2008-06-23$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,422 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,997 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$575/yr (+$48/mo · 40.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,131
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$1,422
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,531
- − Management
- −$1,531
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$210
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$50
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904823
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,105
- Composite
- 35.36/100
- National rank
- #4957
- State rank
- #528 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,780
- Household income
- $64,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 917.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 15% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.37%
- Current HPI
- 239.1345
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+120.2% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $164,900 NORIS
- 2025-11-28 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $164,900 NORIS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $170,000 NORIS
- 2025-11-10 Coming Soon — NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $43,300 NORIS
- 2022-01-11 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2021-12-18 Listed $119,900 NORIS
- 2016-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
- 2016-02-29 Sold (MLS) $43,300 NORIS
- 2016-02-29 Price Changed $49,900 NORIS
- 2015-10-12 Listed $49,900 NORIS
- 2012-10-02 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2010-11-02 Listed $62,900 NORIS
- 2010-10-20 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2010-04-20 Listed $69,900 NORIS
- 2009-04-28 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2008-06-23 Listed $74,900 NORIS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,422 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…