516 Pottsville St · Minersville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$44,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention Investors . Check out this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Minersville. Bring your ideas and make this one your own. As-is, Cash sale. Call to set up a private showing!
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1900
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 space); On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Semi-detached home; Estimated year built
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Permanent foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Porch(es); Above-grade other structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heating and hot water
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Daylight full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 8.0% in Minersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#742 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment F.
- Minersville Area SD (town): math 21% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #420 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $45k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.42%
- DSCR
- 3.24
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $76,608
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 S 3rd St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (+0%) | 1mo | $32,500 | $24 | 81 |
| 528 Lytle St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-12%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $102 | 73 |
| 325 New Castle St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (-2%) | 2mo | $68,000 | $52 | 65 |
| 457 Church St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (+12%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $48 | 63 |
| 428 North St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,307 (-3%) | 6mo | $46,500 | $36 | 61 |
| 206 Oak St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 10mo | $82,500 | $69 | 61 |
| 235 S 4th St | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+6%) | 6mo | $139,900 | $99 | 60 |
| 466 N North St | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (+4%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 311 Pine St | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,404 (+4%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $121 | 56 |
| 137 Carbon St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,482 (+10%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $57 | 50 |
| 141 Carbon St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,163 (-14%) | 5mo | $42,000 | $36 | 47 |
| 444 Lewis St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,158 (-14%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $39 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $43,256
- Equity at exit
- $24,553
- IRR
- 55.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.11×
- Total profit
- $102,174
- Equity at exit
- $41,613
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17954
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,493/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $529
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 504 Laurel St Minersville, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-01status $44,999 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$44,999 Active
-
2016-10-20soldstatus $17,000
-
2016-03-01historical
-
2016-01-22historical
-
2015-08-20$25,000
-
2015-03-23$49,000
-
1996-10-04soldstatus $26,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,493 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,493 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$1,493
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $6,044
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,451
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minersville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215510
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,865
- Composite
- 29.77/100
- National rank
- #6433
- State rank
- #420 of 539 in PA
Livability — Minersville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #742
- US rank
- #7439
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minersville, PA
- City population
- 27,121
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,564
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 5% Romanian 5% Subsaharan African 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Current HPI
- 209.7647
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+73.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $44,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-01-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-08-20 Listed $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-03-23 Listed $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,493 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…