24011 Ridge Rd · Bernard, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 2018
- Listed 9 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 110 x 166 (0.42 acre); Zoned residential; Subdivision: LOTS 12,13 & 33 BLK UNIT 4 LEISURE LAKE EST
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present (association fee listed)
Exterior
- Utilities: Other water source
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; Residential property
- Construction: Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built area above grade: 896
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen includes refrigerator, range, and microwave
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating and other heating; Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Refrigerator, Range, Microwave; No fireplace; No basement
- Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $18k (63.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($793 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $18k (63.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#489 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Western Dubuque Community School District (rural): math 81% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #22 of 289 in IA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Cascade Elementary School (math 92% / reading 82%, grade A+, #16 of 616 statewide, top 3%, 282 students, 28% FRL); Drexler Middle School (math 76% / reading 81%, grade A+, #44 of 246 statewide, top 19%, 655 students, 27% FRL); Cascade Junior-Senior High School (math 87% / reading 88%, grade A, #7 of 336 statewide, top 2%, 395 students, 27% FRL).
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; HOA is 63% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 0.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -22.38%
- DSCR
- 0.00
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-2,455
- Equity at exit
- $30,787
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $6,653
- Equity at exit
- $55,283
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52032
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $793 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,252/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$166
- Net cashflow
- $-261
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-233 | -5% $-247 | +0% $-261 | +5% $-275 | +10% $-289 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-324 | -5% $-292 | +0% $-261 | +5% $-230 | +10% $-198 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-236 | -0.5pp $-248 | base $-261 | +0.5pp $-274 | +1.0pp $-287 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13$50,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,252 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,252 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,513
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,252
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$761
- − Management
- −$761
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable loss
- −$3,767
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$904
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,229/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Western Dubuque Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1931350
- Math proficiency
- 81% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,246
- Composite
- 69.57/100
- National rank
- #299
- State rank
- #22 of 289 in IA
Livability — Bernard
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #489
- US rank
- #10858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,277
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,736 people
- By 2030
- 18,227 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 17,049 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 15,848 · -15.4%
- By 2075
- 13,660 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 11,167 · -40.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Native American 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.5) · D 33.1% · R 65.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -56.9pp toward R · 2008: 24.4pp · 2024: -32.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.5 2020: R+26.1 2016: R+19.4 2012: D+16.8 2008: D+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.80%
- Current HPI
- 174.786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $50,000 ECIMLS
Property tax history
+29.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,252 · +65.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…