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24011 Ridge Rd
D Composite 40.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.0/30.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$50,000

24011 Ridge Rd · Bernard, IA 52032
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 448 sqft · Manufactured public records · 10 Days on market
Built 2018 $500/mo HOA · 63% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Built 2018
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 110 x 166 (0.42 acre); Zoned residential; Subdivision: LOTS 12,13 & 33 BLK UNIT 4 LEISURE LAKE EST
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present (association fee listed)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Other water source
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built area above grade: 896
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen includes refrigerator, range, and microwave
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating and other heating; Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Refrigerator, Range, Microwave; No fireplace; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $18k (63.5% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($793 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $18k (63.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#489 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Western Dubuque Community School District (rural): math 81% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #22 of 289 in IA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Cascade Elementary School (math 92% / reading 82%, grade A+, #16 of 616 statewide, top 3%, 282 students, 28% FRL); Drexler Middle School (math 76% / reading 81%, grade A+, #44 of 246 statewide, top 19%, 655 students, 27% FRL); Cascade Junior-Senior High School (math 87% / reading 88%, grade A, #7 of 336 statewide, top 2%, 395 students, 27% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; HOA is 63% of rent.
Recommended offer $18,271 (63.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
0.03%
Cash-on-cash
-22.38%
DSCR
0.00
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-2,455
Equity at exit
$30,787
10-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$6,653
Equity at exit
$55,283

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52032

Home prices YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$793 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,252/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$500
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$166
Net cashflow
$-261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,123
Max offer price $18,271
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-233 -5% $-247 +0% $-261 +5% $-275 +10% $-289
Rent -10% $-324 -5% $-292 +0% $-261 +5% $-230 +10% $-198
Rate -1.0pp $-236 -0.5pp $-248 base $-261 +0.5pp $-274 +1.0pp $-287

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$500 · $6,000/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $50,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,252 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,252 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,513
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$1,252
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$761
− Management
−$761
− HOA
−$6,000
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable loss
−$3,767
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$904
After-tax cash flow
$-2,229/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Western Dubuque Community School District
NCES district ID
1931350
Math proficiency
81% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
81% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$61,246
Composite
69.57/100
National rank
#299
State rank
#22 of 289 in IA

Livability — Bernard

Score
67/100
State rank
#489
US rank
#10858

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,277

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,736 people
By 2030
18,227 · -2.7%
By 2040
17,049 · -9.0%
By 2050
15,848 · -15.4%
By 2075
13,660 · -27.1%
By 2100
11,167 · -40.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Native American 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.5) · D 33.1% · R 65.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-56.9pp toward R · 2008: 24.4pp · 2024: -32.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.5 2020: R+26.1 2016: R+19.4 2012: D+16.8 2008: D+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.80%
Current HPI
174.786
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $50,000 ECIMLS

Property tax history

+29.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,252 · +65.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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