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185 Bearcreek Rd
B- Composite 68.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

185 Bearcreek Rd · Eatonton, GA 31024
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1997 0.71 ac lot $81/sqft · 72% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Less than 1 mile from Twin Bridges Marina on almost 3/4 of an acre sits this beautiful lot and home with brand new flooring, paint and decking. 3 Bedrooms 2 Baths, fireplace and big front and back yards. Sliding glass doors leading to the large back deck to enjoy the outdoors, split bedroom plan, wood burning fireplace and an abundance of natural light in this wonderful updated home! Lake access at the marina gives you all the fun Lake Sinclair has to offer!! Call me today!

Key facts

  • 0.71 acre lot
  • Built 1997
  • Listed 32 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: As-is sale; Listing accepts cash and other terms
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Community features include lake access and marina

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; Manufactured house structure; Built in 1997; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Tar/gravel roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fan(s); Electric cooling; Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Split bedroom plan; Walk-in closet(s); One-level living; Family room; Crawl space basement; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Mud room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 4.2% in Eatonton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#76 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Putnam County (rural): math 33% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #86 of 174 in GA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Putnam County Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #229 of 470 statewide, top 49%, 681 students, 81% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 522 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Putnam County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $99k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.24%
Cap rate
19.25%
Cash-on-cash
46.28%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$352,323
List price
$99,000
Delta
-71.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
176 Bear Creek Rd 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 20mo $89,000 $73 79

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.5%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$52,084
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
49.6%
Equity multiple
5.80×
Total profit
$133,170
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31024

Active inventory
522
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,219 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$466
Net cashflow
$1,069

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $99,000 Under Contract 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-05-16
    status Under Contract 427-char remark
  13. 2026-04-10
    listed $99,000 New 427-char remark
  14. 2019-01-16
    soldstatus $49,500
  15. 2019-01-15
    soldstatus $49,500 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Less than 1 mile from Twin Bridges Marina on almost 3/4 of an acre sits this beautiful lot and home with brand new flooring, paint and decking. 3 Bedrooms 2 Baths, fireplace and big front and back yards. Lake access at the marina gives you all the fun Lake Sinclair has to offer!! Call me today! 912-270-8254.

  16. 2019-01-15
    soldstatus $49,500
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Less than 1 mile from Twin Bridges Marina on almost 3/4 of an acre sits this beautiful lot and home with brand new flooring, paint and decking. 3 Bedrooms 2 Baths, fireplace and big front and back yards. Lake access at the marina gives you all the fun Lake Sinclair has to offer!! Call me today! 912-270-8254.

  17. 2018-10-26
    listed $57,000 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Less than 1 mile from Twin Bridges Marina on almost 3/4 of an acre sits this beautiful lot and home with brand new flooring, paint and decking. 3 Bedrooms 2 Baths, fireplace and big front and back yards. Lake access at the marina gives you all the fun Lake Sinclair has to offer!! Call me today! 912-270-8254.

  18. 2018-10-05
    listed $57,000
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Less than 1 mile from Twin Bridges Marina on almost 3/4 of an acre sits this beautiful lot and home with brand new flooring, paint and decking. 3 Bedrooms 2 Baths, fireplace and big front and back yards. Sliding glass doors leading to the large back deck to enjoy the outdoors, split bedroom plan, wood burning fireplace and an abundance of natural light in this wonderful updated home! Lake access at the marina gives you all the fun Lake Sinclair has to offer!! Call me today!

  19. 2018-08-08
    soldstatus $30,000
  20. 2018-08-08
    soldstatus $30,000
  21. 2018-07-25
    listed $35,900
  22. 2018-07-09
    listed $35,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,632
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,131
− Management
−$2,131
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$11,966
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,872
After-tax cash flow
$9,958/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Putnam County
NCES district ID
1304260
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,038
Composite
26.9/100
National rank
#7088
State rank
#86 of 174 in GA

Livability — Eatonton

Score
71/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#6665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Putnam County · 21,601 people
City population
21,601
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
21,601
Household income
$65,971
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
696.0

Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,747 people
By 2030
20,163 · -2.8%
By 2040
18,680 · -10.0%
By 2050
17,117 · -17.5%
By 2075
13,269 · -36.0%
By 2100
9,234 · -55.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Putnam

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.7% · R 71.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.9pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.9 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+35.8 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.84%
Current HPI
269.8265
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+175.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-05-23 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $99,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 2019-01-15 Sold (MLS) $49,500 LCBR
  • 2019-01-15 Sold (MLS) $49,500 GAMLS
  • 2018-10-26 Listed $57,000 LCBR
  • 2018-10-05 Listed $57,000 GAMLS
  • 2018-08-08 Sold (MLS) $30,000 GAMLS
  • 2018-08-08 Sold (MLS) $30,000 LCBR
  • 2018-07-25 Listed $35,900 LCBR
  • 2018-07-09 Listed $35,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

-9.3%/yr

Latest (2020): $165 · -9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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