2913 Fleetwood Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
COMING SOON! PHOTOS TO BE UPLOADED ON FRIDAY, MAY 22ND. PROPERTY IN NEED OF FULL RENOVATION.
Key facts
- Built 1926
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Flat roof
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Other foundation
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
- Basement: Basement with outside entrance; Unfinished basement space
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Kitchen with table space; Dining area; Window treatments; Wood floors; Traditional floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.00%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,972
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2913 Fleetwood Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,178 (0%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $81 | 98 |
| 3156 Woodring Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+2%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $167 | 67 |
| 2910 Clearview Ave | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,240 (+5%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $165 | 49 |
| 3316 E Northern Pkwy | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (-8%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $231 | 48 |
| 3209 Northway Dr | 0.50mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,280 (+9%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $152 | 47 |
| 3302 Northern Pkwy E | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,350 (+15%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $174 | 46 |
| 3240 Northway Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,024 (-13%) | 2mo | $259,499 | $253 | 46 |
| 6205 Catalpha Rd | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,160 (-2%) | 22mo | $225,000 | $194 | 43 |
| 3412 Mary Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (+5%) | 14mo | $242,000 | $195 | 42 |
| 2812 Clearview | 0.69mi | 3/3.0 | 1,240 (+5%) | 22mo | $209,000 | $169 | 32 |
| 3618 Bellevale Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+15%) | 18mo | $220,000 | $163 | 23 |
| 3321 Orlando Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+15%) | 17mo | $240,000 | $178 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $29,865
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.18×
- Total profit
- $84,518
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21214
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,845 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,523/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $709
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3010 Woodring Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2804 Christopher Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $2,200 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 6612 Birchwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 19d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3158 Woodring Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2423 Wellbridge Dr Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,325 | $1.96 | 20d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6212 Laurelton Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,325 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5600 Birchwood Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2604 Hamilton Ave Apt 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,195 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 6502 McClean Blvd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,537 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2805 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6410 Walther Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1195 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 43d | 7 | 0.76mi |
| 3108 Glendale Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1224 | $2,550 | $2.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3014 Hamilton Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,575 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3033 Hamilton Ave Unit 1R Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,195 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6502 McClean Blvd Unit 2211-B3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3607 Bayonne Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2106 Cloville Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3021 Echodale Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $999 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2525 Wendover Rd Unit B Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,650 | $2.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3807 Fleetwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,490 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3807 Fleetwood Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,550 | $1.65 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6624 Pioneer Dr Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,647 | $2.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7202 Sindall Rd Unit 7202 Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1629 Wentworth Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,895 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2900 Ailsa Ave Apt 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5906 Benton Heights Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,350 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1610 Wentworth Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1806 Ramblewood Rd Apt A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 903 | $1,847 | $2.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2807 Shirey Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1190 | $2,500 | $2.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4111 Century Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1432 | $2,500 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7839 Birmingham Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,775 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 35-C Mopec Cir Nottingham, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,445 | $1.31 | 2d | 10 | 1.34mi |
| 2077 Woodbourne Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,419 | $1.71 | 1d | 5 | 1.37mi |
| 1900 Ramblewood Rd Apt A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 903 | $1,847 | $2.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5424 Belle Vista Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4902 Gilray Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 776 | $2,400 | $3.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1908 E Belvedere Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,950 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1376 Halstead Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $2,400 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8204 Old Harford Rd Unit 2 Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8206 Old Harford Rd Unit 1 Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,750 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-22$95,000 Active
-
2026-05-19historical $95,000
-
2017-11-01historical Expired
-
2017-01-03Active
-
2017-01-02$89,900 Active
-
2016-06-03historical
-
2016-06-03historical
-
2016-06-02status Active
-
2016-05-31historical Expired
-
2016-03-10price
-
2016-02-02price
-
2015-11-30Active
-
2015-11-30$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,523 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,523 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$2,523
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,771
- − Management
- −$1,771
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $7,512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,803
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,709/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,092
- Household income
- $86,366
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 33% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.52%
- Current HPI
- 310.5637
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+5.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-19 Coming Soon $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-11-01 Delisted — MRIS
- 2017-01-03 Listed — MRIS
- 2017-01-02 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-06-03 Delisted — MRIS
- 2016-06-03 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-06-02 Relisted — MRIS
- 2016-05-31 Delisted — MRIS
- 2016-03-10 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2016-02-02 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2015-11-30 Listed — MRIS
- 2015-11-30 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,523 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…