🏗️ New Construction
The Norwood II Plan · Auburn, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Norwood II is designed for comfort, convenience, and modern living. This two-car garage townhome features a mudroom and coat closet, providing convenient storage. The center island kitchen connects to a cozy breakfast nook and family room, creating a warm and inviting living space. Upstairs, the owner's suite is a private in the back of the home. The laundry room is conveniently located upstairs, making it easy to keep up with household chores. In addition to the owner's suite, there are two bedrooms and a bathroom in the front of the home, providing plenty of space for family or guests. The loft is a versatile space used as a playroom, home office, or additional living space.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Family room
- Mudroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $266k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-512 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (4.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (16.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $222k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#41 in GA, #4,693 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Barrow County (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #77 of 174 in GA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Auburn Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #633 of 1,228 statewide, top 54%, 766 students, 61% FRL); Westside Middle School (math 20% / reading 27%, grade F, #319 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 736 students, 66% FRL); Apalachee High School (math 13% / reading 35%, grade F, #203 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 1,894 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 53d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,427 units permitted in Barrow County in 2024 (311 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Barrow County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.70%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $327,311
- List price
- $265,900
- Delta
- -18.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Springbrook Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,780 (-2%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $183 | 54 |
| 448 10th St | 0.23mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,010 (+11%) | 22mo | $463,540 | $231 | 45 |
| 24 Autry Rd | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,886 (+4%) | 15mo | $305,000 | $162 | 43 |
| 248 Cheyenne Way | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,656 (-8%) | 21mo | $324,900 | $196 | 42 |
| 1382 6th Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 2,050 (+13%) | 11mo | $351,000 | $171 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-86,763
- Equity at exit
- $48,803
- IRR
- -30.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.33×
- Total profit
- $-122,143
- Equity at exit
- $28,300
Cash invested: $91,647 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 17 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 14.6 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $349,900 ($178/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 93 d
- This list price
- 6% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +1.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30011
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 425
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,216 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,716
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$409 /mo · $4,910/yr
- Insurance
- −$136
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $-512
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-285 | -5% $-398 | +0% $-512 | +5% $-625 | +10% $-738 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-687 | -5% $-599 | +0% $-512 | +5% $-424 | +10% $-337 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-347 | -0.5pp $-428 | base $-512 | +0.5pp $-596 | +1.0pp $-683 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,828
- Closing costs
- $9,819
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 Basswood Ln Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 1591 | $2,228 | $1.40 | 7d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 214 Cheyenne Way Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 19d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 214 Cheyenne Way Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 17d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 43 Pool Cir Auburn, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1571 | $1,605 | $1.02 | 10d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1730 Wynfield Ln Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $800 | $0.36 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 127 N Auburn Landing Pl Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1774 | $2,100 | $1.18 | 93d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 56 Auburn Hill Dr Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1774 | $2,350 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 245 Christy Ln Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $1,890 | $1.30 | 93d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 159 Auburn Run Ln Unit 1 Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1576 | $1,990 | $1.26 | 60d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 159 Auburn Run Ln Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1576 | $1,990 | $1.26 | 53d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 108 Auburn Gate Ln Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1774 | $2,100 | $1.18 | 93d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 116 Auburn Gate Ln Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1829 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 68d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 25 S Auburn Landing Pl Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1718 | $2,050 | $1.19 | 93d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 23 N Auburn Landing Pl Unit 1 Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,890 | $1.26 | 93d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3015 Gorman Dr Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1422 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 34d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 77 Auburn Woods Dr Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $1,995 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 91 Auburn Woods Dr Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $2,200 | $1.23 | 93d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 122 Auburn Valley Way Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $5,000 | $2.86 | 73d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 110 S Auburn Landing Pl Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1774 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 93d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2095 Emerson Dr Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2099 Emerson Dr Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,200 | $1.55 | 67d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 153 Auburn Valley Way Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,100 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 485 Auburn Valley Way Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $2,150 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 300 Auburn Valley Way Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $2,250 | $1.24 | 54d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 161 Auburn Valley Way Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 221 Auburn Valley Way Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1774 | $1,950 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 263 Auburn Valley Way Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 275 Auburn Valley Way Unit 1 Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $2,100 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 382 Scenic Ln Auburn, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $2,106 | $0.94 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $265,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $265,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $265,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $265,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $265,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $265,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $265,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $265,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $265,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $265,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $265,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $265,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $265,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $265,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $265,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-07-18remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-07-18days on market $265,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $265,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $265,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $265,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $265,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $265,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $265,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $265,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $265,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $265,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $265,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $265,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $265,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $265,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $265,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $265,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $265,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $265,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $265,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $265,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $265,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $265,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $265,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $265,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $265,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,900 Active 85 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,335
- − Property taxes
- −$4,910
- − Insurance
- −$1,637
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,127
- − Management
- −$2,127
- − Depreciation
- −$9,522
- Taxable loss
- −$12,068
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,896
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-car garage townhome is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and landscaping improvements to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barrow County
- NCES district ID
- 1300290
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,082
- Composite
- 27.63/100
- National rank
- #6921
- State rank
- #77 of 174 in GA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #4693
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, GA
- County
- Barrow County · 86,670 people
- City population
- 21,624
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,624
- Household income
- $86,402
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Barrow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,670 people
- By 2030
- 92,039 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 101,992 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 110,075 · +27.0%
- By 2075
- 124,017 · +43.1%
- By 2100
- 127,579 · +47.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Barrow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.5) · D 29.5% · R 70.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -40.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.5 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+50.5 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.30%
- Current HPI
- 212.2609
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.47%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
-7.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $265,900 Zillow
- 2026-03-11 Listed $285,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…