2461 Bradley St · Bristol, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Partially Updated Home Near Bristol Casino! This charming property features 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a partially finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Enjoy outdoor living on the screened-in covered porch, or entertain in the backyard with vinyl fencing offering privacy and low maintenance. A detached garage, carport, and ample driveway parking provide plenty of space for vehicles and storage. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an investment opportunity near a growing entertainment hub, this home checks all the boxes. Don't miss your chance - schedule a showing today! This property is in bankruptcy and is being sold 'AS IS'. Part or all of the information in this listing may have been obtained from a 3rd party and/or tax records and must be verified before assuming accurate. Buyer(s) must verify all information.
Key facts
- Vinyl fencing
- Detached garage
- 9,583 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $626 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.9% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#140 in VA, #4,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Bristol City Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #53 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Stonewall Jackson Elementary (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C+, #597 of 1,108 statewide, top 57%, 254 students, 102% FRL); Virginia Middle (math 56% / reading 71%, grade B+, #128 of 342 statewide, top 39%, 487 students, 101% FRL); Virginia High (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 637 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 101% FRL vs 58% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15 units permitted in Bristol city in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bristol County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 268 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $180k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 268 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.90%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $216,807
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -17.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2409 Bradley St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,607 (+1%) | 22mo | $245,000 | $152 | 74 |
| 664 Page St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,446 (-9%) | 0mo | $168,500 | $117 | 62 |
| 15 23rd St | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,580 (-0%) | 15mo | $285,000 | $180 | 58 |
| 2549 Bay St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+7%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $171 | 57 |
| 2333 Westfield St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,451 (-9%) | 15mo | $289,000 | $199 | 55 |
| 1225 Bristol View Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,501 (-5%) | 11mo | $280,000 | $187 | 51 |
| 2301 Bay St | 0.62mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,697 (+7%) | 20mo | $105,000 | $62 | 36 |
| 2225 Anderson St | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,760 (+11%) | 21mo | $225,000 | $128 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $10,621
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $60,279
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24201
- Active inventory
- 157
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,162 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $766/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $626
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $727 | -5% $676 | +0% $626 | +5% $575 | +10% $524 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $455 | -5% $540 | +0% $626 | +5% $711 | +10% $796 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $716 | -0.5pp $671 | base $626 | +0.5pp $579 | +1.0pp $531 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2510 Catherine St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 15d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 145 Midway St Unit 1397968P Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $5,335 | $3.84 | 22d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1156 Bristol View Dr Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1152 | $1,650 | $1.43 | 15d | 2 | 0.60mi |
| 203 Opal Ln Unit 4 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1405 Newton St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1718 Clifton Rd Bristol, TN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1672 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1216 Norway St Unit 102 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1216 Norway St Unit 101 Bristol, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2931 Broad St #124 Bristol, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $179,900 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 265 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 255 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 254 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 250 DOM
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2026-06-03price $179,900 Active 249 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 248 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 247 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $189,900 Active 246 DOM
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2026-02-10price $189,900 880-char remark
Show marketing remark (880 chars)
Partially Updated Home Near Bristol Casino! This charming property features 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a partially finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Enjoy outdoor living on the screened-in covered porch, or entertain in the backyard with vinyl fencing offering privacy and low maintenance. A detached garage, carport, and ample driveway parking provide plenty of space for vehicles and storage. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an investment opportunity near a growing entertainment hub, this home checks all the boxes. Don't miss your chance - schedule a showing today! This property is in bankruptcy and is being sold 'AS IS'. Part or all of the information in this listing may have been obtained from a 3rd party and/or tax records and must be verified before assuming accurate. Buyer(s) must verify all information.
-
2025-11-17price $194,900 880-char remark
Show marketing remark (880 chars)
Partially Updated Home Near Bristol Casino! This charming property features 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a partially finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Enjoy outdoor living on the screened-in covered porch, or entertain in the backyard with vinyl fencing offering privacy and low maintenance. A detached garage, carport, and ample driveway parking provide plenty of space for vehicles and storage. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an investment opportunity near a growing entertainment hub, this home checks all the boxes. Don't miss your chance - schedule a showing today! This property is in bankruptcy and is being sold 'AS IS'. Part or all of the information in this listing may have been obtained from a 3rd party and/or tax records and must be verified before assuming accurate. Buyer(s) must verify all information.
-
2025-09-27price $204,000 880-char remark
Show marketing remark (880 chars)
Partially Updated Home Near Bristol Casino! This charming property features 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a partially finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Enjoy outdoor living on the screened-in covered porch, or entertain in the backyard with vinyl fencing offering privacy and low maintenance. A detached garage, carport, and ample driveway parking provide plenty of space for vehicles and storage. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an investment opportunity near a growing entertainment hub, this home checks all the boxes. Don't miss your chance - schedule a showing today! This property is in bankruptcy and is being sold 'AS IS'. Part or all of the information in this listing may have been obtained from a 3rd party and/or tax records and must be verified before assuming accurate. Buyer(s) must verify all information.
-
2025-09-27$20,400 Active 880-char remark
Show marketing remark (880 chars)
Partially Updated Home Near Bristol Casino! This charming property features 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a partially finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Enjoy outdoor living on the screened-in covered porch, or entertain in the backyard with vinyl fencing offering privacy and low maintenance. A detached garage, carport, and ample driveway parking provide plenty of space for vehicles and storage. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an investment opportunity near a growing entertainment hub, this home checks all the boxes. Don't miss your chance - schedule a showing today! This property is in bankruptcy and is being sold 'AS IS'. Part or all of the information in this listing may have been obtained from a 3rd party and/or tax records and must be verified before assuming accurate. Buyer(s) must verify all information.
-
2024-05-30price $247,000
-
1994-03-01soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $766 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,475 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$709/yr (+$59/mo · 92.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$766
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,075
- − Management
- −$2,075
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $4,813
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,155
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,351/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bristol City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100450
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,978
- Composite
- 52.4/100
- National rank
- #1579
- State rank
- #53 of 131 in VA
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #4544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bristol, VA
- City population
- 16,039
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,039
Population outlook (Bristol County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,113 people
- By 2030
- 15,510 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 14,121 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 12,847 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 9,870 · -38.7%
- By 2100
- 7,883 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Iranian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bristol
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -206.40%
- Current HPI
- 196.2099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+245.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $189,900 TVRMLS
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $194,900 TVRMLS
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $204,000 TVRMLS
- 2025-09-27 Listed $20,400 TVRMLS
- 2024-05-30 Price Changed $247,000 TVRMLS
- 1994-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…