530 W Main St · Geneva, OH
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this Charming and updated colonial home that is awaiting its new owners. This home has gorgeous cub appeal with a classic and inviting porch to enjoy your morning coffee. As you enter you will notice an open concept and very spacious living room with newer carpet and an abundance of natural sunlight shining through. The dining room and kitchen have been fully updated with laminate flooring, soft close white cabinets and wrap around back splash. All appliances stay. All three bedrooms are on the second floor with master bed and ample closet space. The full bath on the second floor also have been completely updated up claw foot tub. At the end of the day enjoy your time on your private deck or three seasons room. The two car garage has been built with an extra room for storage space. This home wont stay long on the market especially at this price so set up your showing today.
Key facts
- Covered patios
- Vegetable gardens
- Butler's pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Detached garage; Driveway; Oversized garage with workshop
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas heating
- Home design: 2 stories; Stone foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Deck; Enclosed porch; Patio; Porch; Garden
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7 (includes bedrooms and other living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Interior features: Built-in features; High ceilings; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($118/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.6% in Geneva — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#291 in OH, #4,770 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Geneva Area City (town): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #362 of 656 in OH (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 155 units permitted in Ashtabula County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashtabula County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.23%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $186,172
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Swan St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (-3%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $168 | 71 |
| 164 Burrows St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,651 (+8%) | 2mo | $185,500 | $112 | 66 |
| 453 Lawn St | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,720 (+13%) | 13mo | $148,900 | $87 | 63 |
| 145 Walnut St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (-3%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $128 | 63 |
| 1050 W Main Ct | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,544 (+1%) | 11mo | $189,900 | $123 | 61 |
| 515 S Broadway | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,356 (-11%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $151 | 50 |
| 112 S Eagle St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (+9%) | 18mo | $137,400 | $82 | 50 |
| 180 E Union St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,462 (-4%) | 15mo | $66,000 | $45 | 48 |
| 182 Lockwood St | 0.18mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,320 (-14%) | 18mo | $161,000 | $122 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-29,370
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-24,836
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44041
- Home prices YoY
- -31.3%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,549 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $115 | -5% $62 | +0% $10 | +5% $-43 | +10% $-95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-113 | -5% $-51 | +0% $10 | +5% $71 | +10% $132 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $103 | -0.5pp $57 | base $10 | +0.5pp $-38 | +1.0pp $-87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 430 Garfield St Geneva, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,549 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-20$185,000 Active
-
2020-09-29soldstatus $129,900
-
2020-09-28soldstatus $129,900 Closed 898-char remark
Show marketing remark (898 chars)
Welcome to this Charming and updated colonial home that is awaiting its new owners. This home has gorgeous cub appeal with a classic and inviting porch to enjoy your morning coffee. As you enter you will notice an open concept and very spacious living room with newer carpet and an abundance of natural sunlight shining through. The dining room and kitchen have been fully updated with laminate flooring, soft close white cabinets and wrap around back splash. All appliances stay. All three bedrooms are on the second floor with master bed and ample closet space. The full bath on the second floor also have been completely updated up claw foot tub. At the end of the day enjoy your time on your private deck or three seasons room. The two car garage has been built with an extra room for storage space. This home wont stay long on the market especially at this price so set up your showing today.
-
2020-09-01status Pending 898-char remark
Show marketing remark (898 chars)
Welcome to this Charming and updated colonial home that is awaiting its new owners. This home has gorgeous cub appeal with a classic and inviting porch to enjoy your morning coffee. As you enter you will notice an open concept and very spacious living room with newer carpet and an abundance of natural sunlight shining through. The dining room and kitchen have been fully updated with laminate flooring, soft close white cabinets and wrap around back splash. All appliances stay. All three bedrooms are on the second floor with master bed and ample closet space. The full bath on the second floor also have been completely updated up claw foot tub. At the end of the day enjoy your time on your private deck or three seasons room. The two car garage has been built with an extra room for storage space. This home wont stay long on the market especially at this price so set up your showing today.
-
2020-07-22historical Contingent 898-char remark
Show marketing remark (898 chars)
Welcome to this Charming and updated colonial home that is awaiting its new owners. This home has gorgeous cub appeal with a classic and inviting porch to enjoy your morning coffee. As you enter you will notice an open concept and very spacious living room with newer carpet and an abundance of natural sunlight shining through. The dining room and kitchen have been fully updated with laminate flooring, soft close white cabinets and wrap around back splash. All appliances stay. All three bedrooms are on the second floor with master bed and ample closet space. The full bath on the second floor also have been completely updated up claw foot tub. At the end of the day enjoy your time on your private deck or three seasons room. The two car garage has been built with an extra room for storage space. This home wont stay long on the market especially at this price so set up your showing today.
-
2020-06-18$129,900 Active 898-char remark
Show marketing remark (898 chars)
Welcome to this Charming and updated colonial home that is awaiting its new owners. This home has gorgeous cub appeal with a classic and inviting porch to enjoy your morning coffee. As you enter you will notice an open concept and very spacious living room with newer carpet and an abundance of natural sunlight shining through. The dining room and kitchen have been fully updated with laminate flooring, soft close white cabinets and wrap around back splash. All appliances stay. All three bedrooms are on the second floor with master bed and ample closet space. The full bath on the second floor also have been completely updated up claw foot tub. At the end of the day enjoy your time on your private deck or three seasons room. The two car garage has been built with an extra room for storage space. This home wont stay long on the market especially at this price so set up your showing today.
-
1997-10-08soldstatus $52,400 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Spacious Older Home With Open Front Porch/Walkout Bay Window 1st Flr Laundry/Needs Some Paint & Paper/Tenant Occupied- 24 Hr Notice To Show/ Extra Rm Down Could Be Den Or Br
-
1997-10-07soldstatus $52,400
-
1997-08-08$49,900 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Spacious Older Home With Open Front Porch/Walkout Bay Window 1st Flr Laundry/Needs Some Paint & Paper/Tenant Occupied- 24 Hr Notice To Show/ Extra Rm Down Could Be Den Or Br
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,000 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,443 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- +$443/yr (+$37/mo · 22.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,000
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,487
- − Management
- −$1,487
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$3,056
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$733
- After-tax cash flow
- $851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Geneva Area City
- NCES district ID
- 3904405
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,525
- Composite
- 47.12/100
- National rank
- #2328
- State rank
- #362 of 656 in OH
Livability — Geneva
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #291
- US rank
- #4770
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Geneva, OH
- County
- Ashtabula · 97,617 people
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,992
- Household income
- $58,438
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12.5
Population outlook (Ashtabula County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 92,950 people
- By 2030
- 89,146 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 80,715 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 72,270 · -22.2%
- By 2075
- 55,780 · -40.0%
- By 2100
- 40,928 · -56.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashtabula
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.9pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.04%
- Current HPI
- 230.8747
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+270.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $185,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
- 2020-09-28 Sold (MLS) $129,900 MLSNOW
- 2020-09-01 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2020-07-22 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2020-06-18 Listed $129,900 MLSNOW
- 1997-10-08 Sold (MLS) $52,400 MLSNOW
- 1997-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $52,400 Public Records
- 1997-08-08 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,000 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…