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6947 Highland Cir NW
B- Composite 67.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

6947 Highland Cir NW · Ida, MN 56308
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1975 1.84 ac lot ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Build Your Wooded Escape! Escape to nearly 4 acres of privacy nestled in the Highlands 1st Addition. This unique offering includes two parcels (to be sold together) totaling approximately 3.68 acres of medium-wooded land. Skip the high costs of initial site prep—city sewer, well, and power are already onsite at 6947 Highland Cir NW. The existing structure is a teardown, offering a clean slate for your custom floor plan. Enjoy the peace of a quiet cul-de-sac location while staying minutes away from the Central Lakes Trail and Alexandria’s famous Chain of Lakes. Seller is having the mobile home removed.

Key facts

  • Two parcels
  • Well
  • Power onsite

Tags

NEARLY 4 ACRESTWO PARCELSMEDIUM-WOODED LANDCITY SEWERWELLPOWER ONSITE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with non-standard surface; Attached or detached 1-car garage (240 sq ft)
  • Utilities: Well water; City sewer (connected); Propane fuel
  • Home design: Residential single-story home; Main entry and all living space on one level
  • Construction: Built on a foundation with dimensions 24x56; Roof older than 8 years
  • Exterior features: Metal exterior; Storage shed on the property; Light tree coverage; Additional land available

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level) — 12x12, 10x11, and 8x8
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Living/Dining room combination; Wood burning stove in the living room; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Alexandria Public School District (town): math 55% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #64 of 301 in MN (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Voyager Elementary (math 59% / reading 45%, grade C-, #368 of 857 statewide, top 47%, 425 students, 36% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 51% / reading 57%, grade B-, #48 of 258 statewide, top 19%, 913 students, 34% FRL); Alexandria Area High School (math 39% / reading 62%, grade D+, #131 of 471 statewide, top 28%, 1,302 students, 26% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 285 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (88 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $126,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.11%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$11,961
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$52,846
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56308

Active inventory
412
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,671 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $780/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$519

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,014
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $593 -5% $556 +0% $519 +5% $482 +10% $446
Rent -10% $387 -5% $453 +0% $519 +5% $585 +10% $651
Rate -1.0pp $585 -0.5pp $552 base $519 +0.5pp $485 +1.0pp $451

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $130,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    price $130,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $145,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
  18. 2026-05-08
    listed $145,000 Active 620-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$780 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,118 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$338/yr (+$28/mo · 43.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,051
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$780
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,604
− Management
−$1,604
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$4,349
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,044
After-tax cash flow
$5,185/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alexandria Public School District
NCES district ID
2703060
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$52,476
Composite
48.0/100
National rank
#2197
State rank
#64 of 301 in MN

Livability — Ida

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Douglas County · 27,008 people
Metro
Alexandria, MN
Population (ZIP)
27,008
Household income
$78,177
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
550.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,913 people
By 2030
39,636 · +1.9%
By 2040
40,564 · +4.2%
By 2050
40,819 · +4.9%
By 2075
40,824 · +4.9%
By 2100
38,379 · -1.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 22% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.1) · D 31.7% · R 66.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-25.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.5pp · 2024: -35.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.1 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+35.8 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -215.15%
Current HPI
189.1595
Rent YoY
Metro
Alexandria, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $130,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $145,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $780 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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