168 US HWY 101 #7 · Hoquiam, WA 98550

$80,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 195 Days on market

Built 1994 $87/sqft · 43% above area Est $56k · 43% over ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Comfortable living just outside of town! Riversbend Mobile Park offers #7 — a well-kept 2 bed, 3/4 bath one-level 1994 modular with detached outbuilding for storage. Inside you’ll find an open-concept kitchen and living area with updated flooring throughout and a mini-split for efficient heating and cooling. The kitchen features a split dual stove, maple cabinets, and beautiful countertops that add warmth and character. A newer washer and dryer are also included, making this home move-in ready. Enjoy two good-sized bedrooms and a nicely updated bath. Outside offers a roomy shed for extra storage. Space rent is $550/month and includes water, sewer, and garbage — a comfortab

Key facts

• Open-concept kitchen
• Detached outbuilding
• Updated flooring

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHEN
• DETACHED OUTBUILDING
• UPDATED FLOORING
• MINI-SPLIT FOR HEAT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $685 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 3.8% in Hoquiam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#171 in WA, #4,268 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools D-.
• Hoquiam School District (town): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #250 of 291 in WA (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.05% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.44%
• Cash-on-cash: 43.38%
• DSCR: 2.93
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $56,065
• List price: $80,000
• Delta: 42.69%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 2 within 2.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
168 US HWY 101 #7	0.00mi	2/1.0	924 (0%)	1mo	$80,000	$87	100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 32.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.37×
• Total profit: $30,701
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 39.6%
• Equity multiple: 4.71×
• Total profit: $83,127
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Washington: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 98550

• Active inventory: 154
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,641 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$33 /mo · $400/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$345
• Net cashflow: $685

Break-even live

Break-even rent $774

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $730	-5% $707	+0% $685	+5% $662	+10% $639
Rent	-10% $555	-5% $620	+0% $685	+5% $749	+10% $814
Rate	-1.0pp $725	-0.5pp $705	base $685	+0.5pp $664	+1.0pp $643

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
335 Endresen Rd Hoquiam, WA	3.0	1.0	914	$2,300	$2.52	44d	1	1.11mi

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-05-11
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-07
   price $80,000
3. 2026-03-03
   price $87,500
4. 2025-10-28
   listed $95,000 Active
5. 2022-07-29
   soldstatus $85,000 Closed
6. 2022-06-28
   status Pending
7. 2022-06-06
   listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $400 · $33/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $784 · $65/mo
• Expected delta: +$384/yr (+$32/mo · 95.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥76°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,687
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$400
• − Insurance: −$1,902
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,575
• − Management: −$1,575
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $7,426
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,782
• After-tax cash flow: $6,433/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hoquiam School District
• NCES district ID: 5303660
• Math proficiency: 30% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $39,039
• Composite: 32.31/100
• National rank: #10914
• State rank: #250 of 291 in WA

Livability — Hoquiam

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #171
• US rank: #4268

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
• City population: 12,316
• Metro: Aberdeen, WA
• Population (ZIP): 12,316
• Household income: $55,040
• Rent vs Own: 33.3% rent · 66.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 438.0

Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 66,443 people
• By 2030: 63,255 · -4.8%
• By 2040: 56,466 · -15.0%
• By 2050: 50,516 · -24.0%
• By 2075: 39,296 · -40.9%
• By 2100: 31,142 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 4% Asian 2% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -136.94%
• Current HPI: 249.3102
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Aberdeen, WA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	2	$269B
▸Technology / Retail	1	$638B
▸Technology	1	$245B
▸Telecommunications	1	$38B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$36B
▸Automotive / Trucks	1	$34B

Price history

-5.9% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-11 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-07 Price Changed $80,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-03 Price Changed $87,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-28 Listed $95,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-06-28 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-06-06 Listed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+11.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $400 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.