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PEARSON TH Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 41.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$234,990

PEARSON TH Plan · Leland, NC 28451
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,418 sqft · Townhouse · 733 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the Pearson a two-story townhome with 3 bedrooms, 2.5 Baths, 1,418 sq ft and 1 car garage in a prime location!. Located in Leland, North Carolina in our Townes at SeaBrooke community. The Pearson is a two-story floor plan with a single-car garage. The kitchen overlooks the dining and living spaces, ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying family time while preparing meals with new stainless-steel appliances and Granite countertops. The second floor features the primary bedroom with a walk-in closet and double vanities. It also includes two additional bedrooms, a shared bathroom, and a laundry room for convenience. If you're looking for a functional and stylish two-story home, th

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Double vanities
  • Walk in closet

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT FIRST FLOORSPACIOUS KITCHENLARGE PRIMARY SUITEDOUBLE VANITIESWALK IN CLOSETWALK IN SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $234,990

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 garage space (1 parking space total)
  • Home design: Single-family plan home; Active listing

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
  • Interior features: Plan home (PEARSON TH); Living area approximately 1418

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $234,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $239,642.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($202/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (9.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Leland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#177 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Town Creek Elementary (math 50% / reading 53%, grade C-, #392 of 1,410 statewide, top 28%, 654 students, 100% FRL); Leland Middle (math 26% / reading 36%, grade F, #326 of 475 statewide, top 69%, 780 students, 100% FRL); North Brunswick High (math 57% / reading 49%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,450 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1224 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 733 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $206,791 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 733 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.30%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$239,642
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5784 Harebell Rd Unit 211 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $239,999 $169 94
6362 Cowslip Way Unit 183 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 3mo $235,999 $166 94
5815 Harebell Rd Unit 145 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 1mo $234,990 $166 93
5800 Harebell Rd #208 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $235,349 $166 93
6315 Cowslip Way #195 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 5mo $249,890 $176 93
5796 Harebell Rd Unit 209 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 3mo $229,999 $162 93
5795 Harebell Rd Unit 149 0.11mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $229,999 $162 93
6338 Cowslip Way Unit 186 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 6mo $259,990 $183 93
6342 Cowslip Way #185 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 6mo $259,990 $183 93
7098 Dunford Rd Unit 130 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $247,990 $175 92
5799 Harebell Rd Lot 148 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 3mo $235,990 $166 92
6311 Cowslip Way #194 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 6mo $249,990 $176 92

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.8%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-41,412
Equity at exit
$35,731
10-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-49,147
Equity at exit
$20,720

Cash invested: $67,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28451

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
1224
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,118 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,257
Tax est. 1.5%
$300 /mo · $3,595/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$445
Net cashflow
$17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,096
Max offer price $239,642
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $182 -5% $100 +0% $17 +5% $-66 +10% $-149
Rent -10% $-150 -5% $-67 +0% $17 +5% $101 +10% $184
Rate -1.0pp $138 -0.5pp $78 base $17 +0.5pp $-45 +1.0pp $-108

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,910
Closing costs
$7,189
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4162 High Glen Dr Unit 4162 , NC 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,000 $1.41 25d 1 0.05mi
5784 Harebell Rd Leland, NC 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,095 $1.48 25d 1 0.06mi
7111 Rock Fish Ln Leland, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1093 $1,875 $1.72 15d 19 0.64mi
6146 Liberty Hall Dr Leland, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1184 $4,690 $3.96 15d 31 0.65mi
8708 Red Leaf Run Belville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1063 $2,127 $2.00 15d 10 0.82mi
3100 Ascend Loop Belville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1077 $2,382 $2.21 15d 79 0.84mi
4118 Hobblebush Dr Leland, NC 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1580 $1,995 $1.26 15d 14 0.89mi
9125 Sunrise Creek Dr Leland, NC 4.0 2.5 1772 $2,440 $1.38 25d 1 0.93mi
3828 Starry Sky Rd Leland, NC 4.0 2.5 1772 $2,540 $1.43 15d 1 0.94mi
3907 Starry Sky Rd Leland, NC 3.0 2.0 1665 $2,294 $1.38 25d 1 0.97mi
3915 Starry Sky Rd Leland, NC 3.0 2.0 1708 $2,440 $1.43 23d 1 0.98mi
9102 Pine Notch Rd Leland, NC 3.0–5.0 2.0–3.0 2064 $2,155 $1.04 15d 5 1.31mi
824 Rolling Pines Loop Rd NE Leland, NC 3.0 2.0 1240 $2,000 $1.61 15d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $234,990 Active 733 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $234,990 Active 730 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $234,990 Active 729 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $234,990 Active 728 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $234,990 Active 727 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $234,990 Active 725 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $234,990 Active 724 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $234,990 Active 722 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $234,990 Active 721 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $234,990 Active 720 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $234,990 Active 719 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $234,990 Active 716 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $234,990 Active 714 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $234,990 Active 713 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $234,990 Active 712 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $234,990 Active 711 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,412
− Mortgage interest
−$13,424
− Property taxes
−$3,595
− Insurance
−$1,198
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,033
− Management
−$2,033
− Depreciation
−$6,971
Taxable loss
−$3,842
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$922
After-tax cash flow
$1,124/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brunswick County Schools
NCES district ID
3700420
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,494
Composite
39.23/100
National rank
#4011
State rank
#82 of 178 in NC

Livability — Leland

Score
68/100
State rank
#177
US rank
#9158

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Brunswick County · 131,536 people
City population
46,933
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
Population (ZIP)
46,933
Household income
$81,481
Rent vs Own
18.0% rent · 82.0% own
Severe rent burden
1049.0

Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,111 people
By 2030
165,705 · +8.9%
By 2040
188,494 · +23.9%
By 2050
206,228 · +35.6%
By 2075
237,876 · +56.4%
By 2100
251,451 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.99%
Current HPI
148.6217
Rent YoY
▲ 1.24%
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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