29 Harris Ave · Mechanicville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy homeownership for less than renting! Spacious rooms. Second floor has plenty of space for a second bath. New water heater 2012. Well cared for home. Move in and add your own touches. Gas hot air heat on first floor, electric baseboard heat on second floor. $126/month total average utilities. Taxes include $607 STAR exemption. Very Good Condition
Key facts
- Large basement
- 1st floor bedrooms
- Backyard space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tax information available (details not included per instructions)
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Living area includes finished below-grade space
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (three on the first floor, one on the second floor)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Ceramic tile bath; Wood-burning fireplace; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in basement; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-225 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $260k (13.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (21.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $236k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 1.9% in Mechanicville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#568 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, employment D.
- Mechanicville City School District (rural): math 57% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #270 of 590 in NY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $127k; list at $300k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.21%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $359,196
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -16.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162 S Main St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,072 (-3%) | 8mo | $383,000 | $185 | 70 |
| 208-210 S Second Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,180 (+2%) | 12mo | $285,000 | $131 | 69 |
| 4 Pawling Ave | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-7%) | 8mo | $500,000 | $250 | 53 |
| 204 N 2nd Ave | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,248 (+5%) | 12mo | $360,000 | $160 | 52 |
| 92 N Pearl St | 0.73mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,214 (+3%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $97 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $149,063
- Equity at exit
- $270,174
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.36×
- Total profit
- $450,317
- Equity at exit
- $582,640
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12118
- Home prices YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,360 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$392 /mo · $4,702/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$496
- Net cashflow
- $-225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-55 | -5% $-140 | +0% $-225 | +5% $-310 | +10% $-395 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-411 | -5% $-318 | +0% $-225 | +5% $-132 | +10% $-38 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-74 | -0.5pp $-148 | base $-225 | +0.5pp $-302 | +1.0pp $-382 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $299,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $310,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $310,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $310,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $310,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $310,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $310,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $310,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-22$315,000 Active 708-char remark
-
2013-12-31soldstatus $127,400
-
2013-12-13soldstatus $127,400 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Enjoy homeownership for less than renting! Spacious rooms. Second floor has plenty of space for a second bath. New water heater 2012. Well cared for home. Move in and add your own touches. Gas hot air heat on first floor, electric baseboard heat on second floor. $126/month total average utilities. Taxes include $607 STAR exemption. Very Good Condition
-
2013-10-16historical 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Enjoy homeownership for less than renting! Spacious rooms. Second floor has plenty of space for a second bath. New water heater 2012. Well cared for home. Move in and add your own touches. Gas hot air heat on first floor, electric baseboard heat on second floor. $126/month total average utilities. Taxes include $607 STAR exemption. Very Good Condition
-
2013-08-16$129,900 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Enjoy homeownership for less than renting! Spacious rooms. Second floor has plenty of space for a second bath. New water heater 2012. Well cared for home. Move in and add your own touches. Gas hot air heat on first floor, electric baseboard heat on second floor. $126/month total average utilities. Taxes include $607 STAR exemption. Very Good Condition
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,702 · $392/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,885 · $407/mo
- Expected delta
- +$183/yr (+$15/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$4,702
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,266
- − Management
- −$2,266
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$7,932
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,904
- After-tax cash flow
- $-794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mechanicville City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618900
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,701
- Composite
- 49.33/100
- National rank
- #2021
- State rank
- #270 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mechanicville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #568
- US rank
- #10227
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mechanicville, NY
- County
- Saratoga County · 166,192 people
- City population
- 17,069
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,069
- Household income
- $92,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 552.0
Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 238,889 people
- By 2030
- 243,681 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 249,118 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 248,638 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 241,675 · +1.2%
- By 2100
- 213,150 · -10.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 8% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.43%
- Current HPI
- 343.9893
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+130.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $299,900 Global MLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $310,000 Global MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $315,000 Global MLS
- 2013-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $127,400 Public Records
- 2013-12-13 Sold (MLS) $127,400 Global MLS
- 2013-10-16 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2013-08-16 Listed $129,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,702 · +189.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…