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236 Birchwood Ct
B Composite 71.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

236 Birchwood Ct · Exeter, PA 18643
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 624 sqft · Manufactured public records · 43 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition $54/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move right into this like new 2 Bedroom Champion home. Home has a Open concept living room. kitchen with ''L'' shaped counters. Black Appliances. All Remain Master Bedroom suite is at rear of the home with walk in closet and master bathroom. Additional Bedroom and Bathroom is at the other end of the home. Exterior had off street parking for 2 cars, Shed amd oversized deck. In Birchwood Estates

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2022
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From Wyoming Ave use 1946 as address. Enter Birchwood Estate; once over railroad tracks, make a left onto Newport then right onto Second. Home on left.
  • Financial info: Land is leased with a land lease of $650/month; Annual tax amount $811.06
  • HOA & community: Has homeowners association; Annual association fee $650 (about $54.17/month); Association amenities include dog park and basketball court; Association fee includes sewer, water, trash, and grounds maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 open parking spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Single Wide); Champion The Ruby model; One story; Property is attached
  • Construction: Vinyl skirting; Approximately 800 square feet
  • Exterior features: Located in Birchwood Estates (park name); Zoned MHP

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 4.1% in Exeter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#392 in PA, #3,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wyoming Area SD (suburban): math 24% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #381 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $67,803 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.90%
Cap rate
15.40%
Cash-on-cash
32.53%
DSCR
2.45
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$22,502
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
35.2%
Equity multiple
4.23×
Total profit
$63,270
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18643

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,328 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $823/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$54
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$530

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
187 Wyoming Ave Wyoming, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 21d 1 0.48mi
208 Wyoming Ave Wyoming, PA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,400 $2.33 13d 1 0.53mi
242 Philadelphia Ave West Pittston, PA 1.0 1.0 675 $1,200 $1.78 21d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$54 · $648/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,900 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-20
    price $69,900 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Move right into this like new 2 Bedroom Champion home. Home has a Open concept living room. kitchen with ''L'' shaped counters. Black Appliances. All Remain Master Bedroom suite is at rear of the home with walk in closet and master bathroom. Additional Bedroom and Bathroom is at the other end of the home. Exterior had off street parking for 2 cars, Shed amd oversized deck. In Birchwood Estates

  18. 2026-05-20
    price $69,900
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Move right into this like new 2 Bedroom Champion home. Home has a Open concept living room. kitchen with ''L'' shaped counters. Black Appliances. All Remain Master Bedroom suite is at rear of the home with walk in closet and master bathroom. Additional Bedroom and Bathroom is at the other end of the home. Exterior had off street parking for 2 cars, Shed amd oversized deck. In Birchwood Estates

  19. 2026-05-06
    listed $75,000 Active 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Move right into this like new 2 Bedroom Champion home. Home has a Open concept living room. kitchen with ''L'' shaped counters. Black Appliances. All Remain Master Bedroom suite is at rear of the home with walk in closet and master bathroom. Additional Bedroom and Bathroom is at the other end of the home. Exterior had off street parking for 2 cars, Shed amd oversized deck. In Birchwood Estates

  20. 2026-05-06
    listed $75,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Move right into this like new 2 Bedroom Champion home. Home has a Open concept living room. kitchen with ''L'' shaped counters. Black Appliances. All Remain Master Bedroom suite is at rear of the home with walk in closet and master bathroom. Additional Bedroom and Bathroom is at the other end of the home. Exterior had off street parking for 2 cars, Shed amd oversized deck. In Birchwood Estates

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$823 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$964 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$141/yr (+$12/mo · 17.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,931
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$823
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,274
− Management
−$1,274
− HOA
−$648
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$5,612
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,347
After-tax cash flow
$5,019/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Replace kitchen faucet — Modernizes kitchen and improves functionality
  • Both Upgrade light fixtures — Improves aesthetics and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Replace kitchen faucet — Modernizes kitchen and improves functionality
  • Both Upgrade light fixtures — Improves aesthetics and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wyoming Area SD
NCES district ID
4226730
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$48,856
Composite
32.21/100
National rank
#5776
State rank
#381 of 539 in PA

Livability — Exeter

Score
76/100
State rank
#392
US rank
#3546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Exeter, PA
Population (ZIP)
12,683

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 20% Scotch-Irish 5% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.48%
Current HPI
259.5339
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $69,900 LCAR
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $69,900 PMAR
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $75,000 PMAR
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $75,000 LCAR

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $823 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…