236 Birchwood Ct · Exeter, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move right into this like new 2 Bedroom Champion home. Home has a Open concept living room. kitchen with ''L'' shaped counters. Black Appliances. All Remain Master Bedroom suite is at rear of the home with walk in closet and master bathroom. Additional Bedroom and Bathroom is at the other end of the home. Exterior had off street parking for 2 cars, Shed amd oversized deck. In Birchwood Estates
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2022
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From Wyoming Ave use 1946 as address. Enter Birchwood Estate; once over railroad tracks, make a left onto Newport then right onto Second. Home on left.
- Financial info: Land is leased with a land lease of $650/month; Annual tax amount $811.06
- HOA & community: Has homeowners association; Annual association fee $650 (about $54.17/month); Association amenities include dog park and basketball court; Association fee includes sewer, water, trash, and grounds maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: 2 open parking spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design: Manufactured home (Single Wide); Champion The Ruby model; One story; Property is attached
- Construction: Vinyl skirting; Approximately 800 square feet
- Exterior features: Located in Birchwood Estates (park name); Zoned MHP
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 4.1% in Exeter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#392 in PA, #3,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Wyoming Area SD (suburban): math 24% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #381 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.53%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $22,502
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 35.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.23×
- Total profit
- $63,270
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18643
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,328 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $823/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$54
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $530
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187 Wyoming Ave Wyoming, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 208 Wyoming Ave Wyoming, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,400 | $2.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 242 Philadelphia Ave West Pittston, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,200 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $54 · $648/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $69,900 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
Move right into this like new 2 Bedroom Champion home. Home has a Open concept living room. kitchen with ''L'' shaped counters. Black Appliances. All Remain Master Bedroom suite is at rear of the home with walk in closet and master bathroom. Additional Bedroom and Bathroom is at the other end of the home. Exterior had off street parking for 2 cars, Shed amd oversized deck. In Birchwood Estates
-
2026-05-20price $69,900
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
Move right into this like new 2 Bedroom Champion home. Home has a Open concept living room. kitchen with ''L'' shaped counters. Black Appliances. All Remain Master Bedroom suite is at rear of the home with walk in closet and master bathroom. Additional Bedroom and Bathroom is at the other end of the home. Exterior had off street parking for 2 cars, Shed amd oversized deck. In Birchwood Estates
-
2026-05-06$75,000 Active 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
Move right into this like new 2 Bedroom Champion home. Home has a Open concept living room. kitchen with ''L'' shaped counters. Black Appliances. All Remain Master Bedroom suite is at rear of the home with walk in closet and master bathroom. Additional Bedroom and Bathroom is at the other end of the home. Exterior had off street parking for 2 cars, Shed amd oversized deck. In Birchwood Estates
-
2026-05-06$75,000 Active
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
Move right into this like new 2 Bedroom Champion home. Home has a Open concept living room. kitchen with ''L'' shaped counters. Black Appliances. All Remain Master Bedroom suite is at rear of the home with walk in closet and master bathroom. Additional Bedroom and Bathroom is at the other end of the home. Exterior had off street parking for 2 cars, Shed amd oversized deck. In Birchwood Estates
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $823 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $964 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$141/yr (+$12/mo · 17.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,931
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$823
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − HOA
- −$648
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $5,612
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,347
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,019/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Resale Replace kitchen faucet — Modernizes kitchen and improves functionality
- Both Upgrade light fixtures — Improves aesthetics and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen faucet — Modernizes kitchen and improves functionality ↑
- Both Upgrade light fixtures — Improves aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wyoming Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226730
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,856
- Composite
- 32.21/100
- National rank
- #5776
- State rank
- #381 of 539 in PA
Livability — Exeter
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #392
- US rank
- #3546
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Exeter, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,683
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Scotch-Irish 5% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.48%
- Current HPI
- 259.5339
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-6.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $69,900 LCAR
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $69,900 PMAR
- 2026-05-06 Listed $75,000 PMAR
- 2026-05-06 Listed $75,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2026): $823 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…