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315 Muegge
B Composite 71.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$119,900

315 Muegge · San Antonio, TX 78202
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 243 Days on market
Built 1956 5,183 sqft lot $114/sqft · 23% below area Est $156k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Buyer unable to obtain financing. Look at this incredible opportunity to own a 3- bedroom, 1-bath home just a short drive from downtown. This property offers a fenced front and back yard and covered back patio for outdoor enjoyment. Looking for an investment to expand your portfolio or want sweat equity in a starter home, this is the perfect fit.

Key facts

  • Covered back patio
  • 5,183 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

FENCED FRONT AND BACK YARDCOVERED BACK PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $47k; list at $120k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.86%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$155,743
List price
$119,900
Delta
-23.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2354 Burnet 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,046 (-1%) 11mo $150,000 $143 73
2118 Burnet 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,088 (+3%) 3mo $130,000 $119 68
1106 Onslow 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+2%) 12mo $155,000 $144 65
2710 E Houston St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,017 (-4%) 2mo $185,000 $182 64
2055 E Crockett St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,054 (-0%) 5mo $120,000 $114 63
1102 Onslow 0.45mi 3/2.0 995 (-6%) 6mo $119,950 $121 60
311 Hudson 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,008 (-4%) 9mo $170,000 $169 60
1901 Nolan 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,116 (+6%) 10mo $160,000 $143 52
218 Coleman 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (-7%) 1mo $200,000 $204 50
2836 E Houston St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 945 (-10%) 13mo $185,000 $196 38
1719 Dawson St 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,210 (+15%) 4mo $210,000 $174 33
632 Canton 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 920 (-13%) 10mo $70,000 $76 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$83,235
Equity at exit
$108,015
10-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
8.61×
Total profit
$255,430
Equity at exit
$232,939

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78202

Home prices YoY
27.0%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,401 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$264 /mo · $3,171/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$164

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,194
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Rotary San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,225 $1.13 14d 1 0.18mi
1010 Locke St Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 950 $879 $0.93 3d 1 0.22mi
2142 Lamar St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 0.26mi
2654 Dignowity Ave Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.5 980 $1,450 $1.48 43d 1 0.29mi
2239 Burnet St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1097 $1,450 $1.32 43d 1 0.33mi
2006 Hays St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1176 $1,750 $1.49 20d 1 0.38mi
1223 N Walters St Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,047 $1.08 3d 1 0.38mi
2118 Burnet St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,650 $1.64 3d 1 0.42mi
932 Poinsettia St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $945 $1.18 43d 1 0.42mi
710 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 708 $1,195 $1.69 43d 1 0.48mi
1650 Gorman San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $1,111 $1.17 23d 1 0.49mi
1622 Gorman San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1189 $1,325 $1.11 17d 1 0.50mi
1326 Ervin St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 3d 1 0.50mi
1510 Gorman San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 996 $1,300 $1.31 17d 1 0.52mi
1414 Gorman San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,175 $1.31 43d 1 0.54mi
906 Gulf St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,750 $1.35 4d 1 0.57mi
323 Gabriel San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,950 $1.39 21d 1 0.58mi
323 Gabriel San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 23d 1 0.58mi
323 Gabriel Unit 1 201 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.5 1000 $1,375 $1.38 43d 1 0.58mi
323 Gabriel Unit 1 101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,950 $1.39 23d 1 0.58mi
742 Gulf St Unit 746 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 744 $975 $1.31 12d 1 0.59mi
1104 N Gevers St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1276 $1,725 $1.35 43d 1 0.60mi
746 Gulf San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 744 $975 $1.31 14d 1 0.60mi
2818 E Houston St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1184 $1,495 $1.26 14d 1 0.63mi
418 Lockhart San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1479 $1,799 $1.22 21d 1 0.64mi
418 Lockhart St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1479 $1,590 $1.08 43d 1 0.64mi
607 Gulf San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1482 $1,395 $0.94 23d 1 0.66mi
1411 Lamar St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,125 $1.61 43d 1 0.69mi
508 Bee St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 828 $995 $1.20 17d 1 0.70mi
508 Bee St Unit 508-b San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 828 $995 $1.20 43d 1 0.70mi
601 Coleman St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 43d 1 0.72mi
639 Canton San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,295 $1.28 43d 1 0.72mi
706 Canton San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 994 $1,545 $1.55 23d 1 0.73mi
1323 Lamar St #1 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $999 $1.11 43d 1 0.75mi
452 Gulf San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1244 $1,899 $1.53 21d 1 0.79mi
634 Hood St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 762 $1,100 $1.44 43d 1 0.79mi
1412 Hays St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,495 $1.20 23d 1 0.80mi
438 Gulf St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 799 $975 $1.22 14d 1 0.81mi
1435 Gibbs San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 975 $1,435 $1.47 23d 1 0.85mi
1615 Nolan St Unit A San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1066 $1,400 $1.31 10d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 243 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 242 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 241 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 240 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 238 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 234 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $119,900 Active 233 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Price Change 232 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Price Change 229 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Price Change 228 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Price Change 227 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Price Change 226 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Price Change 225 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    status Back on Market 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Buyer unable to obtain financing. Look at this incredible opportunity to own a 3- bedroom, 1-bath home just a short drive from downtown. This property offers a fenced front and back yard and covered back patio for outdoor enjoyment. Looking for an investment to expand your portfolio or want sweat equity in a starter home, this is the perfect fit.

  15. 2026-03-26
    historical Active Option 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Buyer unable to obtain financing. Look at this incredible opportunity to own a 3- bedroom, 1-bath home just a short drive from downtown. This property offers a fenced front and back yard and covered back patio for outdoor enjoyment. Looking for an investment to expand your portfolio or want sweat equity in a starter home, this is the perfect fit.

  16. 2025-10-18
    listed $134,900 New 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Buyer unable to obtain financing. Look at this incredible opportunity to own a 3- bedroom, 1-bath home just a short drive from downtown. This property offers a fenced front and back yard and covered back patio for outdoor enjoyment. Looking for an investment to expand your portfolio or want sweat equity in a starter home, this is the perfect fit.

  17. 2025-10-07
    historical
  18. 2025-08-29
    status Back on Market
  19. 2025-08-19
    status Pending
  20. 2025-07-15
    historical Active Option
  21. 2025-05-28
    price $134,900
  22. 2025-04-09
    listed $139,900 New
  23. 2023-04-27
    soldstatus
  24. 2023-04-27
    soldstatus
  25. 2014-04-30
    soldstatus
  26. 2008-02-25
    soldstatus
  27. 2006-03-23
    soldstatus
  28. 2006-03-08
    soldstatus
  29. 2002-08-19
    soldstatus
  30. 2002-08-14
    soldstatus
  31. 2002-04-08
    soldstatus
  32. 1997-10-27
    soldstatus $47,215
  33. 1997-09-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,171 · $264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,171 · $264/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,813
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$3,171
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,345
− Management
−$1,345
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$148
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$36
After-tax cash flow
$1,931/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4838730
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,952
Composite
13.57/100
National rank
#9512
State rank
#805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,224
Household income
$47,478
Rent vs Own
44.2% rent · 55.8% own
Severe rent burden
543.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 28% White 17% Black 16% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 57% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 41%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 53.82%
Current HPI
253.3196
Rent YoY
▲ 8.20%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted LERA
  • 2026-03-26 Contingent LERA
  • 2025-10-18 Listed $134,900 LERA
  • 2025-10-07 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2025-08-29 Relisted LERA
  • 2025-08-19 Pending LERA
  • 2025-07-15 Contingent LERA
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $134,900 LERA
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $139,900 LERA
  • 2023-04-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-04-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-04-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-02-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-03-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-03-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-08-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-08-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-04-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $47,215 Public Records
  • 1997-09-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,171 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…