1413 2nd St NE · Arab, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely remodeled brick rancher in Arab City School district. Seller is a licensed Realtor/Broker
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Remodeled
- Close to schools
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 90 x 185; Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Single Family Residence; Living area listed as 1,287 square feet
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Arab Development Company
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1968; Brick construction
- Construction: Brick exterior; Built in 1968
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Park nearby; Near golf course
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space foundation; Seven total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-164 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (15.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (36.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (36.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.2% in Arab — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#149 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Arab City (rural): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #9 of 129 in AL (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Arab Elementary School (math 59% / reading 73%, grade B+, #36 of 627 statewide, top 6%, 580 students, 52% FRL); Arab Junior High School (math 39% / reading 61%, grade C, #25 of 257 statewide, top 10%, 592 students, 51% FRL); Arab High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #28 of 305 statewide, top 10%, 779 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 29% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 180 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 163 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.63% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.70%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 13.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $218,890
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -13.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 Golfview Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (+9%) | 16mo | $199,000 | $150 | 66 |
| 204 10th Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (+7%) | 11mo | $201,000 | $153 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-41,324
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-49,834
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35016
- Home prices YoY
- -28.0%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 13.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,206 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $495/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $-164
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-56 | -5% $-110 | +0% $-164 | +5% $-218 | +10% $-271 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-259 | -5% $-211 | +0% $-164 | +5% $-116 | +10% $-69 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-68 | -0.5pp $-115 | base $-164 | +0.5pp $-213 | +1.0pp $-263 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249 12th Ave NE Arab, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1608 Old Huntsville Hwy Arab, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,195 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1057 N Main St Unit 11 Arab, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $775 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 543 7th Ave NW Arab, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 471 4th St NW Unit 5 Arab, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $775 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 500 4th St NE Arab, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 353 4th Ave NW Arab, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $190,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $190,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $190,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $190,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $190,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-02$199,900 Active 386-char remark
-
2023-03-17soldstatus $180,000 Sold 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Completely remodeled brick rancher in Arab City School district. Seller is a licensed Realtor/Broker
-
2023-03-17soldstatus $180,000
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Completely remodeled brick rancher in Arab City School district. Seller is a licensed Realtor/Broker
-
2023-02-24Contingent 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Completely remodeled brick rancher in Arab City School district. Seller is a licensed Realtor/Broker
-
2023-02-24$180,000 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Completely remodeled brick rancher in Arab City School district. Seller is a licensed Realtor/Broker
-
2022-12-09soldstatus $100,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
-
2022-12-09soldstatus $100,000
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
-
2022-11-02historical Contingent
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
-
2022-11-01price $124,900
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
-
2022-10-30status Active
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
-
2022-10-19historical Contingent
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
-
2022-10-14status Active
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
-
2022-10-14price $129,900
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
-
2022-09-17status Active
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
-
2022-09-13historical Contingent
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
-
2022-09-12$135,000 Active
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Full brick rancher in Arab city limits. 3 bedroom 2 bath house with one car carport. Large flat lot in established neighborhood. Chain link fence in back yard for pets and garden space.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $495 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $779 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$284/yr (+$24/mo · 57.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,476
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$495
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$5,456
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,309
- After-tax cash flow
- $-656/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Arab City
- NCES district ID
- 0100100
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,728
- Composite
- 46.58/100
- National rank
- #2422
- State rank
- #9 of 129 in AL
Livability — Arab
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #13733
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arab, AL
- City population
- 17,435
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,435
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,402 people
- By 2030
- 98,138 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 98,502 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 97,024 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 89,334 · -8.3%
- By 2100
- 74,749 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.7) · D 13.8% · R 85.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -56.4pp · 2024: -71.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.7 2020: R+68.7 2016: R+69.5 2012: R+60.1 2008: R+56.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.17%
- Current HPI
- 180.2225
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+40.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $190,000 VMLS
- 2026-05-02 Listed $199,900 VMLS
- 2023-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-17 Sold (MLS) $180,000 VMLS
- 2023-02-24 Listed — VMLS
- 2023-02-24 Listed $180,000 VMLS
- 2022-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-09 Sold (MLS) $100,000 VMLS
- 2022-11-02 Contingent — VMLS
- 2022-11-01 Price Changed $124,900 VMLS
- 2022-10-30 Relisted — VMLS
- 2022-10-19 Contingent — VMLS
- 2022-10-14 Relisted — VMLS
- 2022-10-14 Price Changed $129,900 VMLS
- 2022-09-17 Relisted — VMLS
- 2022-09-13 Contingent — VMLS
- 2022-09-12 Listed $135,000 VMLS
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $495 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…