510 Highway 556 · Choudrant, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy totally remodeled home in Choudrant. This 2 bedroom 1 bath has new subfloor, flooring, bath, kitchen, water lines, hot water heater, front and back deck. Single car garage and storage room. Beautiful shady lot close to 1-20, schools but country feel!! Call today for a viewing!!!
Key facts
- New bath
- New kitchen
- Totally remodeled
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($575/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $98k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.1% in Choudrant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#62 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lincoln Parish (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #24 of 98 in LA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 171 units permitted in Lincoln Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Lincoln County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $120k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.71%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $117,600
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 Highway 556 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,150 (+3%) | 1mo | $121,000 | $105 | 95 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $17,731
- Equity at exit
- $54,248
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $58,454
- Equity at exit
- $83,831
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71227
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $976 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $524/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $48
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-04status Pending
-
2026-02-25price $120,000
-
2025-11-10price $128,000
-
2025-09-27$134,000 Active
-
2000-01-21soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $524 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $660 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$136/yr (+$11/mo · 26.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,709
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$524
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$937
- − Management
- −$937
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$1,501
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$360
- After-tax cash flow
- $935/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200990
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -27.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,901
- Composite
- 32.92/100
- National rank
- #5599
- State rank
- #24 of 98 in LA
Livability — Choudrant
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #7956
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,099
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,595 people
- By 2030
- 50,954 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 53,601 · +8.1%
- By 2050
- 57,178 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 69,580 · +40.3%
- By 2100
- 79,862 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Salvadoran 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.4) · D 36.5% · R 62.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -12.5pp · 2024: -25.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.4 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+12.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.04%
- Current HPI
- 281.8805
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+275.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Pending — NELABOR
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $120,000 NELABOR
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $128,000 NELABOR
- 2025-09-27 Listed $134,000 NELABOR
- 2000-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $524 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…