4144 Woodhill Bend Dr · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$303,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful new D. R. Horton home in the Sunnycreek located in Crowley and Crowley ISD! The two-story Franklin floorplan Elevation Y, with an estimated Summer completion, offers 5 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage with a family-friendly layout that combines open-concept living with ample private bedroom space. The kitchen, dining area, and family room connect effortlessly, creating a bright and functional hub perfect for daily living and entertaining. The stylish kitchen includes quartz countertops, 36” painted cabinets, stainless steel appliances, a gas range, stainless steel sink, center island, and a walk-in pantry for generous storage.
Key facts
- 5,750 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2026
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $304k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $286k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $286k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
- Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 1275 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 52d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.57%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $408,249
- List price
- $303,990
- Delta
- -25.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4416 Stonedale Rd | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,016 (+7%) | 7mo | $525,000 | $260 | 62 |
| 6800 Cumberland Rd | 0.22mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 1,930 (+2%) | 20mo | $474,900 | $246 | 61 |
| 7025 Wycliff St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,909 (+1%) | 13mo | $340,000 | $178 | 51 |
| 4908 Southwest Blvd | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,610 (-15%) | 4mo | $349,000 | $217 | 48 |
| 7024 Pinon St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,756 (-7%) | 17mo | $400,000 | $228 | 38 |
| 6937 Overhill Rd | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,060 (+9%) | 18mo | $515,000 | $250 | 36 |
| 4705 Rockmoor Ln | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,140 (+13%) | 16mo | $399,000 | $186 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-26,249
- Equity at exit
- $45,326
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $816
- Equity at exit
- $26,283
Cash invested: $85,117 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 24.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $298,990 ($170/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 9 d
- This list price
- 88% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +27.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76036
- Home prices YoY
- -25.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 1275
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,864 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,594
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$42
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$601
- Net cashflow
- $395
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $567 | -5% $481 | +0% $395 | +5% $309 | +10% $223 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $169 | -5% $282 | +0% $395 | +5% $508 | +10% $621 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $548 | -0.5pp $473 | base $395 | +0.5pp $316 | +1.0pp $236 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,998
- Closing costs
- $9,120
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5930 River Bend Dr Benbrook, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2256 | $3,200 | $1.42 | 66d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7108 Willis Ave Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 10d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4132 Rothington Rd Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1895 | $2,600 | $1.37 | 7d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4132 Rothington Rd Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1895 | $2,600 | $1.37 | 52d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4709 Mayfair St Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1547 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5838 Humbert Ave Fort Worth, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2196 | $2,295 | $1.05 | 59d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5838 Humbert Ave Fort Worth, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2196 | $2,295 | $1.05 | 66d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Community features include jogging/bike path, park, playground, sidewalks, and community mailbox
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOA with annual fee (management fees included)HOA managed by VCM, Inc.
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage (garage faces front, 2-car single door)2 covered parking spaces
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- City waterCity sewerElectricity connectedIndividual gas meterIndividual water meterNatural gas availableCable availablePhone availableSewer availableUnderground utilitiesSidewalks and curbs; concrete
- Home design
- Single-family residenceTwo-storyNew construction (incomplete, 2026)Not attached to another propertySmoke detectors installed
- Construction
- Brick and frame constructionComposition roofSlab foundationSmart home features
- Exterior features
- Covered porch(es)Wood fencing in backyardFew treesLandscaped yardSprinkler systemSubdivision lotInterior lotUtilities easement
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas rangeMicrowaveDishwasherDisposalBuilt-in cabinetsWater line to refrigeratorPlumbed for gas in kitchen
- Bedrooms
- 5 bedrooms (primary suite on second level; other bedrooms on first and second levels)
- Flooring
- CarpetLuxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heat (natural gas)Central air (electric)
- Interior features
- Open floorplanEat-in kitchenKitchen islandGranite countersPantryCable TV availableSmart home systemVented exhaust fan
- Laundry & utility
- Full-size washer/dryer areaWasher hookupElectric dryer hookupUtility roomTankless water heaterGas water heater
HOA detail $42/mo · $504/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-08-03days on market $303,990 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $303,990 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $303,990 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $303,990 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $303,990 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $303,990 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $303,990 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $303,990 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $303,990 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $303,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $303,990 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $303,990 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $303,990 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $303,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $303,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $303,990 Active 24 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $303,990 Active 23 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $303,990 Active 22 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $303,990 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-07-09pricedays on market $303,990 Active 20 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $305,990 Active 18 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $305,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $305,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $305,990 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $305,990 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $305,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $305,990 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $305,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $305,990 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $305,990 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $305,990 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $305,990 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $305,990 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $305,990 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-21remarks 693-char remark
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2026-06-21$305,990 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,250 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,563 · $464/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,313/yr (+$359/mo · 345.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,362
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,028
- − Property taxes
- −$1,250
- − Insurance
- −$1,520
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,749
- − Management
- −$2,749
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$8,843
- Taxable loss
- −$281
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$67
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,810/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This home is in good condition with a fresh paint job and well-maintained landscaping, making it a good candidate for a cosmetic renovation to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Worth ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,109
- Composite
- 19.61/100
- National rank
- #8753
- State rank
- #742 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,380,417 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,044
- Household income
- $97,973
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.45%
- Current HPI
- 238.6365
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-0.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-08 Price Changed $303,990 NTREIS
- 2026-06-19 Listed $305,990 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…