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301 Roberts St
C Composite 56.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

301 Roberts St · Appalachia, VA 24216
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 213 Days on market
Built 1935 5,662 sqft lot $65/sqft · 8% below area Est $163k · 8% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully maintained 2 story Craftsman with 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2296 sq. ft. of heated space. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining, large living room, large laundry room, enclosed back concrete porch and large rear deck. Large unfinished basement with walkout access. Metal roof, vinyl siding, double pane windows, 2 heat pumps, public water and sewer on fenced corner lot. Off-street parking in back.

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1935

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (11.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#505 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wise County Public School District (town): math 74% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #11 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wise County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$162,557
List price
$150,000
Delta
-7.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
201 Brown St 0.32mi 4/2.0 2,323 (+1%) 9mo $137,800 $59 76
326 Park Ave 0.50mi 4/1.0 2,506 (+9%) 11mo $168,000 $67 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-18,860
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-9,474
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24216

Home prices YoY
-3.3%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,332 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $738/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,223
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 213 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 212 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 211 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 210 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 209 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 208 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 207 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 204 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 203 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 198 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 197 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 196 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 195 DOM
  16. 2026-02-25
    status Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Beautifully maintained 2 story Craftsman with 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2296 sq. ft. of heated space. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining, large living room, large laundry room, enclosed back concrete porch and large rear deck. Large unfinished basement with walkout access. Metal roof, vinyl siding, double pane windows, 2 heat pumps, public water and sewer on fenced corner lot. Off-street parking in back.

  17. 2026-02-11
    historical Active Under Contract 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Beautifully maintained 2 story Craftsman with 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2296 sq. ft. of heated space. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining, large living room, large laundry room, enclosed back concrete porch and large rear deck. Large unfinished basement with walkout access. Metal roof, vinyl siding, double pane windows, 2 heat pumps, public water and sewer on fenced corner lot. Off-street parking in back.

  18. 2025-11-13
    listed $150,000 Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Beautifully maintained 2 story Craftsman with 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2296 sq. ft. of heated space. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining, large living room, large laundry room, enclosed back concrete porch and large rear deck. Large unfinished basement with walkout access. Metal roof, vinyl siding, double pane windows, 2 heat pumps, public water and sewer on fenced corner lot. Off-street parking in back.

  19. 2024-11-04
    soldstatus $138,000 Closed 464-char remark
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Welcome Home! This Beautiful home has High ceilings throughout the entire residence! 2 options for washer and dryer hookups, 1 in the basement and 1 on the first floor. 1 car carport and additional parking available. 2 screened in porches front and back 371ft. New wiring throughout entire house updated in 2017 as well as the heat pumps. Come check this property out! Information taken from seller and public records should be verified by buyer and buyer's agent.

  20. 2024-11-04
    soldstatus $138,000
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Welcome Home! This Beautiful home has High ceilings throughout the entire residence! 2 options for washer and dryer hookups, 1 in the basement and 1 on the first floor. 1 car carport and additional parking available. 2 screened in porches front and back 371ft. New wiring throughout entire house updated in 2017 as well as the heat pumps. Come check this property out! Information taken from seller and public records should be verified by buyer and buyer's agent.

  21. 2024-10-03
    historical Active Under Contract 464-char remark
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Welcome Home! This Beautiful home has High ceilings throughout the entire residence! 2 options for washer and dryer hookups, 1 in the basement and 1 on the first floor. 1 car carport and additional parking available. 2 screened in porches front and back 371ft. New wiring throughout entire house updated in 2017 as well as the heat pumps. Come check this property out! Information taken from seller and public records should be verified by buyer and buyer's agent.

  22. 2024-09-02
    price $152,000 464-char remark
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Welcome Home! This Beautiful home has High ceilings throughout the entire residence! 2 options for washer and dryer hookups, 1 in the basement and 1 on the first floor. 1 car carport and additional parking available. 2 screened in porches front and back 371ft. New wiring throughout entire house updated in 2017 as well as the heat pumps. Come check this property out! Information taken from seller and public records should be verified by buyer and buyer's agent.

  23. 2024-08-03
    listed $160,000 Active 464-char remark
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Welcome Home! This Beautiful home has High ceilings throughout the entire residence! 2 options for washer and dryer hookups, 1 in the basement and 1 on the first floor. 1 car carport and additional parking available. 2 screened in porches front and back 371ft. New wiring throughout entire house updated in 2017 as well as the heat pumps. Come check this property out! Information taken from seller and public records should be verified by buyer and buyer's agent.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$738 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,230 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$492/yr (+$41/mo · 66.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,981
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$738
− Insurance
−$1,416
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,278
− Management
−$1,278
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$1,497
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$359
After-tax cash flow
$1,390/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wise County Public School District
NCES district ID
5104080
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$35,624
Composite
63.37/100
National rank
#625
State rank
#11 of 131 in VA

Livability — Appalachia

Score
56/100
State rank
#505
US rank
#22417

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Appalachia, VA
Population (ZIP)
2,356

Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,714 people
By 2030
33,742 · -5.5%
By 2040
29,870 · -16.4%
By 2050
26,233 · -26.5%
By 2075
18,296 · -48.8%
By 2100
12,147 · -66.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wise

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.3) · D 18.1% · R 81.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.7pp · 2024: -63.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.3 2020: R+61.7 2016: R+62.0 2012: R+48.8 2008: R+27.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.82%
Current HPI
112.8878
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Relisted TVRMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Contingent TVRMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $150,000 TVRMLS
  • 2024-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
  • 2024-11-04 Sold (MLS) $138,000 TVRMLS
  • 2024-10-03 Contingent TVRMLS
  • 2024-09-02 Price Changed $152,000 TVRMLS
  • 2024-08-03 Listed $160,000 TVRMLS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $738 · +56.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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